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CNI vs CP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) vs. Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CNI and CP have posted strong year-to-date gains around 16-17%, highlighting resilience in the rail sector amid recent market activity.
- CNI trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 20.7 compared to CP's 26.3, suggesting relative value.
- Recent analyst actions include price target increases for both stocks, driven by volume growth and operational improvements.
- CP benefits from recent tentative labor agreements, potentially reducing operational risks.
- Dividend yields favor CNI at 2.3% versus CP's 0.8%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Market caps stand at $70B for CNI and $78B for CP, with both near 52-week highs.
Introduction
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) dominate North America's rail industry, operating extensive networks for freight transport. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors eyeing transportation and infrastructure sectors, where economic cycles influence performance. Traders monitoring relative strength in industrials may find value in assessing their recent momentum, valuations, and catalysts. With both stocks exhibiting stability amid broader market volatility, understanding their head-to-head dynamics aids in portfolio allocation decisions during current economic conditions.
CNI Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) operates a 20,000-mile network spanning Canada coast-to-coast and into the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast, hauling intermodal, grain, and energy products. In recent weeks, CNI shares have climbed toward the upper end of their 52-week range ($90.74-$115.15), reflecting strong volume momentum and operational efficiency. Bank of America recently raised its price target to $122, citing service improvements and volume growth. Year-to-date performance stands at 16.12%, supported by a favorable operating margin and EPS of $5.54 (trailing twelve months, TTM). Sentiment has shifted positively on rail sector tailwinds, though sensitivity to commodity prices and labor costs persists.
CP Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP), post its merger with Kansas City Southern, manages a 20,000-mile single-line network connecting Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, emphasizing intermodal and merchandise freight. Shares have advanced in recent market activity, nearing the 52-week high ($68.42-$89.42), buoyed by year-to-date gains of 17.21%. Positive developments include tentative long-term labor pacts with key unions, mitigating strike risks, alongside analyst price target hikes. With a TTM EPS of $3.30 and market cap of $78B, performance reflects merger synergies, though higher beta (1.19) indicates greater volatility than peers. Investor sentiment benefits from expanded geographic reach.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CNI and CP thrive in freight rail, but CNI emphasizes Canadian bulk commodities while CP leverages post-merger Mexico-U.S.-Canada connectivity for intermodal growth. Recent momentum is comparable, with one-year returns near 20%, though CP shows slightly higher YTD gains. Valuation contrasts emerge: CNI's lower P/E and higher yield suit value investors, versus CP's premium for expansion catalysts. Risk factors include economic slowdowns affecting volumes and labor negotiations, with CP more exposed via higher beta. Sector exposure overlaps in industrials, but market sentiment favors stability in CNI amid volume-driven rallies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CNI, based on superior relative valuation (P/E 20.7), higher dividend yield (2.3%), lower beta for stability, and consistent trend strength near 52-week highs. While CP offers growth from network synergies, CNI's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, absent major catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNI is a Hold and CP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CNI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CNI (@Railroads) experienced а -1.16% price change this week, while CP (@Railroads) price change was +0.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was +0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNI is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
CP is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (+0.77% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
| CNI | CP | CNI / CP | |
| Capitalization | 72.3B | 80B | 90% |
| EBITDA | 9.1B | 8.32B | 109% |
| Gain YTD | 20.364 | 22.341 | 91% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.86 | 28.05 | 78% |
| Revenue | 17.3B | 15B | 115% |
| Total Cash | 573M | 409M | 140% |
| Total Debt | 22.5B | 24.3B | 93% |
CNI | CP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 38 | 39 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNI's Valuation (75) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (90). This means that CNI’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CP's Profit vs Risk Rating (70) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CNI (84). This means that CP’s stock grew similarly to CNI’s over the last 12 months.
CNI's SMR Rating (43) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (77). This means that CNI’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
CNI's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (47). This means that CNI’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CNI's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (49). This means that CNI’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
| CNI | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 42% | 8 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 50% | 5 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 35% |
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CNI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNI has been closely correlated with CP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNI jumps, then CP could also see price increases.
CP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CP has been closely correlated with CNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CP jumps, then CNI could also see price increases.