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CP vs UNP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) vs. Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) and Union Pacific (UNP) are leading North American railroad operators with significant exposure to freight transportation and economic cycles.
- In recent market activity, both stocks have shown resilience amid broader transportation sector dynamics, with UNP posting stronger year-to-date returns compared to CP in available performance metrics.
- Market capitalizations reflect differing scales, with UNP maintaining a larger valuation than CP based on recent data points.
- Fundamental analysis indicators from comparative tools suggest UNP holds a slight edge in long-term scoring over CP, while technical signals remain mixed for both.
- Both companies operate in a capital-intensive industry sensitive to fuel costs, regulatory changes, and intermodal demand shifts.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between CP’s post-merger integration benefits and UNP’s established network efficiency.
Introduction
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) and Union Pacific (UNP) represent two prominent players in the North American rail freight sector. Investors and traders often compare these stocks to assess relative positioning within the transportation industry, evaluate responses to macroeconomic factors such as industrial production and trade volumes, and identify potential opportunities in cyclical equities. This analysis appeals to those focused on sector-specific allocation, momentum evaluation, and diversified exposure to infrastructure-related assets in the current market environment.
CP Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited operates an extensive rail network spanning Canada, the United States, and Mexico following its merger with Kansas City Southern. The company transports a range of commodities including grain, energy products, and intermodal containers. In recent weeks, CP stock has reflected broader rail sector trends influenced by fluctuating freight volumes and economic indicators. Performance metrics indicate year-to-date gains in the low-to-mid 20% range amid ongoing integration efforts and operational adjustments. Market sentiment has been shaped by network expansion benefits and cost management initiatives, contributing to measured price behavior without extreme volatility in the recent period.
UNP Overview and Recent Performance
Union Pacific Corporation manages a major rail system primarily across the western United States, serving key industries such as agriculture, energy, and chemicals. The company emphasizes network optimization and service reliability. Recent market activity has seen UNP demonstrate solid momentum, with year-to-date returns exceeding those of peers in available comparisons. Stock behavior has responded to steady demand patterns and efficiency improvements, supported by a larger market capitalization that provides scale advantages. Sentiment remains balanced, driven by consistent operational execution and exposure to domestic freight flows.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business models, CP benefits from a cross-border network post-merger, offering diversified geographic exposure, while UNP leverages its extensive domestic western routes for operational scale. Growth drivers include volume recovery for both, though CP faces integration-related considerations and UNP emphasizes efficiency gains. Recent momentum shows UNP with comparatively stronger year-to-date results. Risk factors encompass regulatory scrutiny and fuel price sensitivity industry-wide, with CP carrying additional merger execution elements. Sector exposure centers on rail freight for both, though market sentiment appears marginally more constructive toward UNP based on fundamental scoring differentials in comparative analyses.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, fundamental scores, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI analysis currently points toward a modest preference for UNP over CP. This assessment draws from stronger long-term fundamental indicators and recent performance differentials, though technical signals remain mixed and probabilistic in nature. Market conditions and sector dynamics could influence future evaluations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CP is a StrongBuy and UNP is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUNP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UNP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UNP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UNP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CP (@Railroads) experienced а -0.64% price change this week, while UNP (@Railroads) price change was +1.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was +2.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
CP is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
UNP is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (+2.90% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
| CP | UNP | CP / UNP | |
| Capitalization | 82.1B | 183B | 45% |
| EBITDA | 8.32B | 13.1B | 63% |
| Gain YTD | 25.384 | 32.937 | 77% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.04 | 24.88 | 117% |
| Revenue | 15B | 24.7B | 61% |
| Total Cash | 409M | 1.04B | 40% |
| Total Debt | 24.3B | 31.5B | 77% |
CP | UNP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UNP's Valuation (87) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (91). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (63). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's SMR Rating (23) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (77). This means that UNP’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (44). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (33). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
| CP | UNP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 8 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 33% |
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CP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CP has been closely correlated with CNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CP jumps, then CNI could also see price increases.
UNP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UNP has been closely correlated with NSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UNP jumps, then NSC could also see price increases.