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CP vs UNP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) vs. Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CP and UNP are leading North American railroad operators with strong year-to-date performance exceeding broader market indices in recent market activity.
- CP benefits from its expanded three-nation network, highlighted by record grain volumes in recent weeks, while UNP shows momentum from analyst upgrades and proposed merger developments.
- Recent quarterly results for both companies demonstrate revenue growth, though UNP posted more consistent earnings beats amid pricing power and volume gains.
- Market sentiment reflects pullbacks for both stocks from summer highs, with CP trading near $89 and UNP near $280 as of mid-to-late September 2026.
- Key contrasts include CP’s cross-border synergies versus UNP’s domestic scale and potential transcontinental expansion.
- Relative positioning favors stability and catalysts for UNP in the current environment based on observable trend and analyst activity.
Introduction
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) and Union Pacific (UNP) represent two prominent players in the North American rail sector, offering investors exposure to freight transportation, logistics efficiency, and economic cycles. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative opportunities within the industrials space. Participants in railroad equities, sector rotation strategies, or those monitoring supply-chain indicators may find the analysis particularly relevant amid evolving freight demand and regulatory developments.
CP Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited operates an extensive rail network spanning Canada, the United States, and Mexico following its merger integration. The company focuses on bulk commodities, intermodal shipments, and automotive traffic, leveraging precision scheduled railroading for operational efficiency. In recent weeks, CP achieved a new monthly record for Canadian grain and grain products hauled in August 2026, underscoring demand strength along its cross-border corridors. Second-quarter 2026 results showed revenue growth of approximately 13% year-over-year, supported by volume increases, though reported earnings per share declined modestly. The stock has experienced a pullback from recent highs, with year-to-date returns around 21-22% amid broader market activity and sector dynamics.
UNP Overview and Recent Performance
Union Pacific Corporation provides freight rail services across the western two-thirds of the United States, emphasizing intermodal, agricultural, energy, and industrial products. The operator maintains a focus on service reliability and cost management. Recent market activity includes solid second-quarter 2026 results with revenue rising about 12% year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share beating estimates, driven by volume growth and pricing gains. UNP received a Buy upgrade from UBS in mid-September 2026, citing stronger growth outlook, alongside advancing customer support for a proposed combination with Norfolk Southern. The shares have eased from July peaks but delivered year-to-date gains near 22-28%, reflecting resilience amid fuel cost shifts favoring rail over trucking.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CP and UNP both operate within the railroads industry but differ in geographic scope and growth vectors. CP’s integrated North American network provides unique cross-border exposure and synergy realization post-merger, supporting commodity-focused volumes such as grain. In contrast, UNP benefits from larger domestic scale and potential efficiencies from a proposed merger that could enhance transcontinental reach. Recent momentum shows UNP with more visible analyst support and merger-related catalysts, while CP highlights operational records in bulk segments. Risk factors include regulatory scrutiny for UNP’s combination plans and integration execution for CP, alongside shared exposure to economic cycles and fuel price fluctuations. Market sentiment remains constructive for both, with UNP exhibiting slightly stronger relative positioning in recent trading periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings delivery, and emerging catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to UNP. Stronger volume trends, recent analyst upgrades, and merger optionality contribute to more stable momentum signals compared with CP’s solid but narrower commodity-driven records. This assessment reflects relative positioning rather than certainty and should be evaluated alongside individual risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CP is a Buy and UNP is a StrongBuy.
CP | UNP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 25 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UNP's Valuation (87) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (91). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (59). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's SMR Rating (26) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (76). This means that UNP’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
UNP's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (49). This means that UNP’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CP's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as UNP (29). This means that CP’s stock grew similarly to UNP’s over the last 12 months.
| CP | UNP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while UNP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UNP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UNP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- UNP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CP (@Railroads) experienced а -1.64% price change this week, while UNP (@Railroads) price change was -2.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was +0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
CP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
UNP is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (+0.04% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
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CP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CP has been closely correlated with CNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CP jumps, then CNI could also see price increases.
UNP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UNP has been closely correlated with NSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 94% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UNP jumps, then NSC could also see price increases.