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CNQ vs MGY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) vs. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CNQ and MGY operate in the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, with CNQ focusing on large-scale Canadian assets and MGY on high-quality U.S. acreage in South Texas.
- In recent weeks, both companies announced dividend increases—CNQ by 6.4% to $0.625 per share and MGY by 10% to $0.165 per share—reflecting operational confidence amid volatile energy markets.
- CNQ boasts a market cap near $98 billion with diversified reserves, while MGY's $5.75 billion cap highlights nimbler U.S.-focused growth potential.
- Recent stock momentum shows CNQ trading around $47 with resilience in oil price swings, compared to MGY near $30 amid mixed monthly gains.
- Energy sector tailwinds like geopolitical tensions support both, but CNQ's scale provides stability over MGY's regional intensity.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits CNQ, a leading Canadian oil and gas producer, against MGY, a U.S.-based independent E&P player focused on the Eagle Ford Shale. Both companies navigate the volatile energy market influenced by oil prices, geopolitical events, and production dynamics. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing dividend yields or growth in the sector will find value here, especially amid recent dividend hikes and shifting sentiment in oil and gas stocks.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is Canada's largest crude oil producer and second-largest natural gas producer, with core operations in Western Canada, the U.K. North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company emphasizes low-cost, long-life assets like its oil sands and heavy oil developments. In recent market activity, CNQ shares have hovered around $47 on the NYSE, showing resilience despite oil price fluctuations tied to global supply concerns. Sentiment has been bolstered by a 6.4% quarterly dividend increase to $0.625 per share, underscoring strong cash flows and production records. Broader performance reflects a 52-week range of $38.58 to $70.99, with recent weeks highlighting stability amid sector volatility.
MGY Overview and Recent Performance
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) is an independent E&P company engaged in acquiring, developing, and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, primarily from the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk in South Texas. Its strategy targets high-return inventory on premium acreage. Recently, MGY shares traded near $30, with mixed momentum including a reported 12% rise over some 30-day periods amid energy sector shifts. A 10% dividend hike to $0.165 per Class A share has supported positive sentiment, driven by production growth and favorable commodity pricing. The 52-week range spans $20.45 to $32.76, with recent activity reflecting sensitivity to U.S. oil dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CNQ and MGY share E&P exposure but contrast in scale and geography: CNQ’s massive reserves and diversified portfolio offer lower-risk, long-term output, while MGY leverages concentrated, high-margin U.S. assets for agile growth. Recent momentum favors CNQ’s steadiness versus MGY’s sharper swings. Risk factors include commodity exposure for both, but CNQ mitigates via hedging and scale, while MGY faces basin-specific challenges. Market sentiment tilts toward dividend reliability, with both hiking payouts recently amid oil-driven sector positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CNQ for its superior trend consistency, production scale, and relative stability in recent energy market conditions. Factors like robust dividend growth and resilient performance amid volatility position it favorably over MGY’s higher-beta profile, though both benefit from sector catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNQ is a Buy and MGY is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMGY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MGY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MGY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +5.33% price change this week, while MGY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +5.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +2.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +40.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+2.78% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | MGY | CNQ / MGY | |
| Capitalization | 103B | 5.58B | 1,846% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 875M | 2,000% |
| Gain YTD | 45.997 | 39.480 | 117% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.80 | 17.44 | 68% |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 1.32B | 3,371% |
| Total Cash | 113M | 96.7M | 117% |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 411M | 4,209% |
CNQ | MGY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MGY's Valuation (35) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (76). This means that MGY’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (24). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (52) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (54). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (42). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
MGY's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (47). This means that MGY’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | MGY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 70% | 13 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 68% |
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CNQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNQ has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNQ jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.