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CPRT vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart (CPRT) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Copart (CPRT) shares have fallen approximately 47% over the past year, trading near 52-week lows around $33, reflecting challenges in insurance auction volumes.
- O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) has shown relative stability, with shares around $93 and a modest year-to-date gain of over 2%, supported by positive analyst updates.
- CPRT exhibits lower valuation at a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 20.8 versus ORLY's 31.4, but recent quarterly revenue declined 3.6% year-over-year.
- ORLY reported stronger quarterly revenue growth of 7.8% and earnings growth of 9.8%, with upcoming Q1 results anticipated positively.
- Both stocks lack dividends, but CPRT maintains minimal debt/equity (0.98%) compared to ORLY's higher leverage.
- Analyst consensus targets suggest upside for both: $44 for CPRT (33% potential) and $112 for ORLY (20% potential).
Introduction
Copart (CPRT) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) operate in complementary segments of the automotive aftermarket. CPRT provides online auctions for salvaged and clean-title vehicles, primarily serving insurers, while ORLY is a leading retailer of automotive parts and accessories to professional and DIY customers. This comparison is relevant for investors eyeing auto sector exposure amid fluctuating vehicle repair demands and insurance trends in recent market activity. Traders may assess relative momentum, valuations, and growth prospects to position for sector rotations or economic shifts.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
Copart (CPRT), with a market capitalization of approximately $32 billion, operates an asset-light online auction platform for used and damaged vehicles. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near its 52-week low of $32.20, down sharply from a high of $63.85, pressured by a 3.6% year-over-year revenue decline in Q2 fiscal 2026 and softer volumes from key insurance customers. Earnings per share fell 10% to $0.36, contributing to year-to-date gains of about 16% overshadowed by a 47% annual drop. Sentiment reflects concerns over temporary insurance slowdowns, though strong free cash flow of $1.04 billion TTM (trailing twelve months) and low debt support balance sheet resilience. Upcoming Q3 earnings, with EPS projected at $0.42, could influence near-term recovery.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY), boasting a $78 billion market cap, dominates the automotive aftermarket retail space through over 6,000 stores. Shares have held steady around $93 in recent market activity, within a 52-week range of $86.77 to $108.72, with year-to-date returns near 2.3% and a 30-day gain of over 3%. Positive drivers include 7.8% quarterly revenue growth and 9.8% earnings growth, alongside comparable store sales up 5.6% in recent quarters. Analyst sentiment has improved, with additions to outperform lists and raised price targets ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 29. While higher leverage poses risks, robust operating cash flow of $2.76 billion TTM bolsters expansion and buyback capacity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: CPRT's scalable auction platform benefits from network effects but ties closely to insurance claims cycles, while ORLY's retail network drives recurring parts sales amid aging vehicle fleets. Growth contrasts show ORLY with superior recent revenue (7.8% vs. -3.6%) and ROA (13.8% vs. 11%). Momentum favors ORLY's stability (beta 0.60 vs. 1.14), though CPRT offers cheaper entry via lower P/E and P/S ratios. Risk profiles highlight CPRT's pristine balance sheet (current ratio 10.1, minimal debt) against ORLY's leverage for growth funding. Market sentiment leans positive for ORLY pre-earnings, while CPRT eyes volume rebound in the auto sector.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models would likely favor ORLY in the current environment due to its trend consistency, positive revenue momentum, lower volatility, and favorable analyst positioning ahead of earnings. While CPRT presents value at depressed levels with strong cash generation, relative stability and growth catalysts tilt probabilistic edge toward ORLY for near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a StrongBuy and ORLY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileORLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а -7.16% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -4.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +0.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.45%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was +0.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Sep 09, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+0.17% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Auto Parts: OEM (+0.48% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| CPRT | ORLY | CPRT / ORLY | |
| Capitalization | 28.1B | 71.5B | 39% |
| EBITDA | 1.9B | 4.1B | 46% |
| Gain YTD | -21.175 | -5.460 | 388% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.85 | 28.09 | 67% |
| Revenue | 4.61B | 18.2B | 25% |
| Total Cash | 5.1B | 253M | 2,017% |
| Total Debt | 96.1M | 8.73B | 1% |
CPRT | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 99 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CPRT's Valuation (87) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ORLY (96) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that CPRT’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (99) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (1) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (51) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (63) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's P/E Growth Rating (67) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (90) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 36% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 58% | 14 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 47% |
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