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CPRT vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart (CPRT) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CPRT is a global online vehicle auction platform facing near-term volume declines and margin compression, even as it pursues a $1.9 billion acquisition of ACV Auctions.
- ORLY is a leading automotive aftermarket parts retailer posting steady comparable-store sales growth and strong free cash flow, despite a sluggish share price.
- Both names have trailed the broader market recently, but their drivers differ: CPRT is navigating a profitability reset, while ORLY is extending a multi-decade record of sales consistency.
- CPRT's revenue has held roughly flat while net income fell sharply, whereas ORLY grew revenue 8% and earnings per share (EPS) by 10% in its latest quarter.
- Relative performance favors ORLY on trend consistency and stability, though CPRT carries higher optionality from its acquisition strategy and international expansion.
Introduction
Investors comparing CPRT and ORLY are effectively weighing two very different corners of the automotive economy. Copart operates online vehicle salvage auctions that rely heavily on insurance companies, while O'Reilly Automotive sells aftermarket parts through thousands of retail stores. Both depend on the aging U.S. vehicle fleet, yet their market positioning, growth drivers, and recent stock behavior diverge meaningfully. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors evaluating relative performance, momentum, and risk within automotive-adjacent industries — and for those curious how an AI-driven framework might rank the two names under current market conditions.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
CPRT (Copart, Inc.) runs a global online auction platform for used and salvage vehicles, serving buyers in roughly 11 countries and facilitating millions of transactions annually through its virtual bidding technology. About 80% of its vehicle volume has historically come from insurers declaring cars a total loss. Recent market activity has been challenging: the stock is down roughly 31% year to date and well below its 52-week high, reflecting a sharp contraction in valuation.
The pressure stems partly from fundamentals. In its latest fiscal quarter, Copart reported revenue up about 2.4% year over year, but net income fell roughly 17% and diluted EPS declined around 14%. Global units sold slipped, and domestic insurance volume fell after a customer loss, while operating expense per vehicle rose double digits. Offsetting these headwinds, international units grew about 10%, and management has announced a $1.9 billion cash acquisition of ACV Auctions, a digital marketplace, targeting a close by the end of calendar 2026. A JPMorgan upgrade to Overweight and the return of co-founder Jay Adair as CEO have also shaped recent sentiment.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.) is one of the largest U.S. specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, serving both do-it-yourself (DIY) customers and professional service providers across roughly 6,700 stores. The company has posted comparable-store sales (also called "comps," meaning same-store growth) increases for more than three decades, a track record few retailers match. Like Copart, its stock has been weak — down about 5% in 2026 and roughly 19% over the past year, trading below its September 2025 record.
The business itself has remained resilient. In its most recent quarter, O'Reilly grew revenue 8% to $4.89 billion and increased diluted EPS 10% to $0.86, driven by 6% comparable-store sales growth. Professional sales rose 12.5% for a fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit gains, while DIY growth stayed softer. Management raised full-year guidance, and at a September analyst day outlined plans to open more stores in a single year than at any point in company history. An aging vehicle fleet, aggressive share buybacks, and a potential acquisition of the NAPA aftermarket business are among the factors influencing current positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different links in the automotive value chain. Copart monetizes vehicles at the end of their life through an asset-light, technology-driven auction model, while O'Reilly supplies the parts that keep aging vehicles running through a large physical retail network. Their growth drivers diverge accordingly: Copart's outlook hinges on total-loss frequency, insurance volumes, and its ACV acquisition, whereas O'Reilly leans on steady comparable-store growth, professional-channel share gains, and unit expansion.
Recent momentum tells a nuanced story. CPRT's share price has fallen more sharply as investors absorb margin pressure and a customer-related volume decline, although the ACV deal and international growth offer potential catalysts. ORLY has held up better on fundamentals — growing revenue and EPS — but its premium valuation leaves less room for error, and softer DIY traffic plus higher leverage are notable risk factors. On sector exposure, both are consumer- and automotive-sensitive, but O'Reilly's business has historically proven more defensive in economic downturns, while Copart is more exposed to insurance dynamics and cyclical used-vehicle pricing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ORLY in the current environment. O'Reilly's trend consistency — decades of comparable-store sales growth, rising EPS, and robust free cash flow — combined with a raised guidance range and clear near-term catalysts such as store expansion, offers a more stable relative positioning than Copart's current setup. CPRT's ACV acquisition and international momentum are meaningful positives, but its recent net-income decline and volume softness introduce more variability into the trend picture. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: if Copart's margin reset proves temporary and the ACV integration succeeds, the relative ranking could shift. Investors should weigh each name's risk profile against their own objectives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a Hold and ORLY is a Buy.
Momentum Indicator for CPRT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CPRT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 47 of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CPRT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CPRT just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CPRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +6.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPRT advanced for three days, in 182 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
CPRT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CPRT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for CPRT entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CPRT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.832) is normal, around the industry mean (5.950). P/E Ratio (17.840) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.719). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.678) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.321) is also within normal values, averaging (9.694).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CPRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
ORLY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORLY turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORLY as a result. In 49 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
ORLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORLY advanced for three days, in 207 of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 136 of 267 cases where ORLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
ORLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ORLY's P/B Ratio (-39.670) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.841). P/E Ratio (28.487) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.798) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
CPRT | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 65 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ORLY's Valuation (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (73) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (53) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (62) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (81) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 57% | 5 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 62% | 16 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 51% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ORLY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а +5.54% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +4.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -3.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.35%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -3.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-3.44% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Auto Parts: OEM (-3.10% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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CPRT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CPRT has been loosely correlated with FND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CPRT jumps, then FND could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CPRT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPRT | 100% | +1.16% | ||
| FND - CPRT | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| WSM - CPRT | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.83% | ||
| RH - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | +5.01% | ||
| HD - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| LOW - CPRT | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
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ORLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ORLY has been closely correlated with AZO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ORLY jumps, then AZO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ORLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| AZO - ORLY | 79% Closely correlated | +2.01% | ||
| AAP - ORLY | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.03% | ||
| CPRT - ORLY | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
| LKQ - ORLY | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.05% | ||
| MUSA - ORLY | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.94% | ||
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