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CRGY vs YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) delivered a strong second-quarter earnings beat with raised full-year production guidance, supporting positive sentiment in recent market activity.
- YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) advanced its 4x4 portfolio optimization through asset divestitures and continued liability management via bond repurchases and redemptions.
- CRGY has shown robust year-to-date price appreciation and analyst target increases, reflecting operational momentum in U.S. upstream energy.
- YPF executed a 10-for-1 share split to enhance liquidity and reported progress in shale development alongside conventional asset sales.
- Both companies operate in the energy sector with exposure to oil and gas prices, though CRGY focuses on U.S. upstream production while YPF maintains an integrated Argentine business model.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights CRGY's earnings-driven gains versus YPF's strategic portfolio adjustments amid regional economic factors.
Introduction
This comparison examines Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) and YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF), two energy sector equities with distinct operational footprints. CRGY represents a U.S.-focused upstream producer, while YPF operates as an integrated oil and gas company primarily in Argentina. The analysis targets traders and investors seeking insights into relative performance, business model contrasts, and market positioning within the current energy environment. Such evaluations assist in assessing sector exposure, momentum drivers, and risk profiles without providing investment recommendations.
CRGY Overview and Recent Performance
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is an independent upstream oil and gas exploration and production company with significant assets in the Permian Basin and other U.S. basins. In recent weeks, the stock benefited from a second-quarter earnings beat, including adjusted earnings per share well above expectations and revenue growth. Management raised full-year 2026 production guidance to a range of 327-335 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. Analyst firms increased price targets, citing robust free cash flow generation and operational efficiencies. The share price has reflected this positive sentiment through meaningful year-to-date gains, with the stock trading near the middle of its 52-week range amid broader energy sector dynamics.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is Argentina's leading integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, with key exposure to the Vaca Muerta shale formation. Recent market activity featured continued execution of the 4x4 portfolio plan, including the sale of non-operated conventional assets in Mendoza for approximately $205 million. The company also pursued liability management through bond repurchases and announced an early redemption of a bond series. A 10-for-1 share split was implemented to improve liquidity for retail investors. Share price movement in recent weeks showed volatility consistent with macroeconomic influences in Argentina, with the stock trading near the upper end of its 52-week range.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) maintains a pure-play upstream model centered on U.S. shale and conventional production, offering direct leverage to domestic energy prices and operational execution. In contrast, YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) operates an integrated value chain in Argentina, combining upstream, downstream, and marketing activities with notable shale growth potential at Vaca Muerta. Recent momentum for CRGY stems primarily from earnings outperformance and guidance revisions, whereas YPF's activity centers on portfolio optimization and financial restructuring. Risk factors differ markedly: CRGY faces commodity price and execution risks typical of U.S. producers, while YPF contends with currency, regulatory, and geopolitical considerations inherent to its primary market. Sector exposure remains energy for both, yet market sentiment has favored CRGY's earnings visibility in recent periods over YPF's strategic repositioning amid regional dynamics. Trade-offs include CRGY's higher dividend yield potential versus YPF's scale in an emerging shale play.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including earnings consistency, production guidance updates, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron's AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) over YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF). CRGY demonstrates stronger trend alignment with positive catalysts from operational results, while YPF's positioning reflects ongoing portfolio adjustments that introduce additional variables. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing data patterns rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CRGY is a Buy and YPF is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CRGY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileYPF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CRGY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CRGY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while YPF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CRGY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +5.45% price change this week, while YPF (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +4.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.11%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +4.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
CRGY is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+4.91% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
@Integrated Oil (+4.31% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CRGY | YPF | CRGY / YPF | |
| Capitalization | 4.03B | 19.6B | 21% |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 5.6B | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 48.266 | 38.413 | 126% |
| P/E Ratio | 152.50 | 1.29 | 11,822% |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 18.6B | 20% |
| Total Cash | 9.78M | 1.69B | 1% |
| Total Debt | 5.37B | 10.8B | 50% |
YPF | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CRGY | YPF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 86% |
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| GUNR | 53.49 | 0.31 | +0.58% |
| FlexShares Mstar Glbl Upstrm Nat Res ETF | |||
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| First Trust S-Network Glb E-Com ETF | |||
| TOLZ | 59.57 | 0.24 | +0.40% |
| ProShares DJ Brookfield Global Infras | |||
| BAMO | 35.29 | -0.04 | -0.12% |
| Brookstone Opportunities ETF | |||
| HCMT | 42.62 | -0.19 | -0.43% |
| Direxion HCM Tactical EnhU.S.EqStratETF | |||
YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.