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CRGY vs YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CRGY delivered record Q1 2026 production and revenue growth in recent market activity, with YTD returns exceeding 65%.
- YPF benefits from Vaca Muerta shale expansions and analyst upgrades, posting 1-year gains over 52% amid Argentina's energy push.
- Both stocks trade at attractive forward P/E ratios under 9x, with CRGY offering a 3.57% dividend yield and stronger profitability margins.
- CRGY's U.S.-focused operations provide stability, while YPF faces higher geopolitical risks but higher growth potential.
- Analyst targets suggest 25-30% upside for both, with CRGY at $17.43 and YPF at $53.94.
- Recent momentum favors CRGY on earnings beats, contrasting YPF's litigation resolutions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CRGY and YPF, two energy firms in oil and gas exploration and production. CRGY, a U.S.-based independent, focuses on key shale basins, while YPF, Argentina's integrated major, leverages Vaca Muerta shale. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing sector exposure in volatile oil markets will find value here, particularly amid recent earnings and geopolitical shifts influencing sentiment and positioning.
CRGY Overview and Recent Performance
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is a Houston-based exploration and production (E&P) firm targeting crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs in the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta basins. It emphasizes acquisitions for returns-driven growth and stable cash flows from low-decline assets.
In recent weeks, CRGY reported Q1 2026 results with record production of 341 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), revenue up 24.5% year-over-year to $1.18 billion, and adjusted EBITDAX of $690 million. Despite a net loss from derivative impacts, operating cash flow hit $409 million and levered free cash flow (FCF) reached $192 million. The firm refinanced debt, boosting liquidity to $2 billion, and closed Eagle Ford minerals deals. Stock momentum reflects YTD gains over 65%, supported by analyst upgrades and a 3.57% dividend yield, with sentiment lifted by acquisition synergies and oil price resilience.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is Argentina's leading integrated energy company, spanning upstream E&P, refining, and marketing, with a strong foothold in the Vaca Muerta shale formation.
Recent market activity saw YPF advance shareholder approvals for 2025 results, reserves, and mergers, alongside note buybacks ahead of maturities. The firm gained full control of Southern Hub assets post-Pluspetrol exit and awarded Halliburton a long-term Vaca Muerta completions contract. Q4 2025 showed revenue growth but EPS losses; Q1 2026 estimates eye profitability. Shares posted YTD returns of 23% and 1-year gains over 52%, buoyed by shale output records and UBS target hikes to $45, though tempered by litigation resolutions and economic volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CRGY and YPF both operate in oil/gas E&P but diverge in scale and geography. CRGY's U.S. shale focus yields liquids-rich output and acquisition synergies, with recent Q1 revenue beats and 1.00 price/sales versus YPF's 0.93; however, YPF offers integrated downstream buffers and 36.6% quarterly revenue growth from Vaca Muerta.
Growth drivers: CRGY via Permian/Eagle Ford M&A (debt/equity 107%); YPF through LNG pacts and shale contracts (similar leverage at 101%). Momentum favors CRGY's 65% YTD surge on FCF strength (3.71% margins, ROE 3.51%) over YPF's 23% amid losses (-4.68% margins, negative ROE). Risks: CRGY faces U.S. regulatory/hedge volatility; YPF contends with Argentina's policy shifts. Sector exposure aligns on energy, but CRGY sentiment edges via dividends/stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CRGY for superior trend consistency, Q1 production records, positive EPS beats, and U.S. stability amid oil strength. With forward P/E at 8.46x, robust FCF, and 25%+ upside to targets, it shows stronger relative positioning versus YPF's growth catalysts tempered by regional risks—though YPF holds appeal for shale upside.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CRGY is a StrongBuy and YPF is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CRGY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileYPF’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CRGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CRGY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while YPF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CRGY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +8.86% price change this week, while YPF (@Integrated Oil) price change was +6.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +2.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +40.24%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +3.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
CRGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+2.78% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
@Integrated Oil (+3.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CRGY | YPF | CRGY / YPF | |
| Capitalization | 4.53B | 18.8B | 24% |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 2.49B | 51% |
| Gain YTD | 66.738 | 32.633 | 205% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.39 | 11.70 | 217% |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 18.6B | 20% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.69B | - |
| Total Debt | 5.71B | 10.8B | 53% |
YPF | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CRGY | YPF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 74% | 13 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 87% |
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CRGY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CRGY has been closely correlated with MGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CRGY jumps, then MGY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CRGY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRGY | 100% | +1.86% | ||
| MGY - CRGY | 80% Closely correlated | +0.94% | ||
| CHRD - CRGY | 80% Closely correlated | +0.03% | ||
| NOG - CRGY | 79% Closely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| OVV - CRGY | 79% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| PR - CRGY | 79% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
More | ||||
YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.