Advertisement
TGS vs YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TGS, a natural gas transportation and midstream specialist, announced a $3 billion investment in a Vaca Muerta natural gas liquids (NGL) project, signaling strong growth potential in Argentina's shale boom.
- YPF, Argentina's leading integrated oil and gas company, secured a multibillion-dollar fracking contract with Halliburton in Vaca Muerta, boosting its upstream capabilities amid record shale oil output.
- Year-to-date, YPF has outperformed with a 23.14% return compared to TGS's 5.85%, reflecting stronger momentum in oil exploration and production.
- Over one year, YPF gained 52.73% versus TGS's 15.15%, driven by Vaca Muerta catalysts and positive analyst upgrades.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: $38.21 for TGS (30% potential) and $53.94 for YPF (21% potential), highlighting relative value in midstream versus integrated plays.
- Both stocks benefit from Argentina's energy export push but face risks from macroeconomic volatility and commodity price swings.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines TGS and YPF, two key players in Argentina's burgeoning energy sector tied to the Vaca Muerta shale formation. TGS focuses on natural gas transportation and liquids production, while YPF operates a fully integrated oil and gas model. Traders seeking exposure to South American shale growth, midstream stability, or upstream momentum, and investors tracking relative performance in volatile emerging markets, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent catalysts, and market positioning. With Argentina positioning Vaca Muerta as a global energy exporter, these stocks offer insights into sector trade-offs amid recent infrastructure and production advances.
TGS Overview and Recent Performance
TGS (Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.) is Argentina's leading natural gas transporter, operating pipelines to distribution companies, power plants, and industrials, alongside production of natural gas liquids (NGLs) like propane and butane, midstream services, and telecommunications. Headquartered in Buenos Aires and controlled by Compañía de Inversiones de Energía S.A., it plays a pivotal role in evacuating Vaca Muerta output.
In recent market activity, TGS shares traded around $29.27, within a 52-week range of $19.74–$36.35, with a market cap of $4.4 billion. Year-to-date performance stands at 5.85%, lagging broader indices, while one-year returns reached 15.15%. Recent weeks saw volatility, with a 4% daily drop amid broader energy sector pressures, influenced by commodity fluctuations and pipeline capacity constraints. Sentiment has been buoyed by a landmark $3 billion NGL project in Vaca Muerta, expected to generate $1.2 billion in annual exports over four years, alongside pipeline expansions like Perito Moreno. Analysts maintain a buy rating with a $38.21 target, citing midstream resilience.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima) is Argentina's largest energy firm, spanning upstream exploration/production, downstream refining/petrochemicals, and gas/power segments. It drives Vaca Muerta development, selling crude, natural gas, and refined products across South America.
Trading near $44.43 lately, YPF spans a 52-week range of $22.82–$48.96, boasting an $18.7 billion market cap. It delivered robust YTD gains of 23.14% and 52.73% over one year, outpacing peers amid shale momentum. Recent weeks featured upward moves, supported by record shale oil production (up 35–42% year-over-year) and a major Halliburton contract for Vaca Muerta fracking. Price realizations and production dips pressured Q4 results, but Vaca Muerta focus and export infrastructure like pipelines sustain optimism. Analysts rate it a moderate buy with a $53.94 target.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the top 25 AI trading bots selected from over 351 total bots, curated by AI analysis for superior performance in current market conditions. These bots employ diverse strategies—spanning momentum, sector rotation, and pattern recognition—across timeframes like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 60-minute charts, trading stocks, ETFs, and crypto in sectors including energy, semiconductors, industrials, and precious metals. Standout stats include annualized returns up to 162%, win rates of 51–88%, and profit factors reaching 11.70, with some generating over $48,000 in closed P/L on model portfolios. Energy bots, for instance, feature multi-ticker strategies with 75%+ returns. Only the most promising bots earn a trending spot, helping traders adapt to volatility. Explore these high-performing AI tools to enhance your strategy today.
Head-to-Head Comparison
TGS and YPF both leverage Vaca Muerta but diverge in models: TGS' midstream focus offers fee-based stability from transportation and NGL processing, contrasting YPF's integrated exposure to volatile upstream drilling/production and downstream refining. Growth drivers differ—TGS via $3 billion NGL/pipeline expansions for exports, YPF through shale oil ramps and fracking tech partnerships. Recent momentum favors YPF (23% YTD vs. 6%), but TGS shows higher analyst upside potential. Risks include Argentina's inflation/currency woes for both, plus commodity sensitivity for YPF and regulatory/tariff exposure for TGS. Sentiment tilts positive on shale catalysts, with YPF drawing momentum flows and TGS midstream appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors YPF due to superior trend consistency, stronger YTD/one-year momentum, and Vaca Muerta upstream catalysts like the Halliburton deal amid rising shale output. While TGS offers midstream stability and attractive valuation upside, YPF's relative positioning and analyst support suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current energy export environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TGS is a Hold and YPF is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TGS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileYPF’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- TGS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TGS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while YPF’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TGS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
TGS (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +0.24% price change this week, while YPF (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
TGS is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+1.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| TGS | YPF | TGS / YPF | |
| Capitalization | 4.43B | 17.1B | 26% |
| EBITDA | 1.01T | 2.49B | 40,450% |
| Gain YTD | -5.372 | 20.741 | -26% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.06 | 11.70 | 120% |
| Revenue | 1.76T | 18.6B | 9,478% |
| Total Cash | 1.81T | 1.69B | 106,738% |
| Total Debt | 1.57T | 10.8B | 14,546% |
TGS | YPF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TGS's Valuation (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (62) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (28) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's SMR Rating (51) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for YPF (92) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew somewhat faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
YPF's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TGS (73) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that YPF’s stock grew similarly to TGS’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (72) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
| TGS | YPF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 85% | 6 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 77% | 10 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 87% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SOXS | 9.23 | 0.96 | +11.61% |
| Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF | |||
| TRSY | 30.16 | 0.01 | +0.02% |
| Xtrackers US 0-1 Year Treasury ETF | |||
| ADIV | 18.95 | -0.21 | -1.08% |
| Guinness Atkinson Asia Pcfc Div Bldr ETF | |||
| SMOT | 36.92 | -0.41 | -1.10% |
| VanEck Morningstar SMID Moat ETF | |||
| EHY | 10.94 | -0.42 | -3.69% |
| Amplify Ethereum Max Income Covered Call ETF | |||
TGS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGS has been closely correlated with YPF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TGS jumps, then YPF could also see price increases.
YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.