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EC vs YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EC has delivered stronger year-to-date returns than YPF, supported by robust refining results and operational momentum in recent market activity.
- Both companies operate in the integrated oil and gas sector with exposure to Latin American energy markets, but EC benefits from Colombian stability while YPF navigates Argentine economic dynamics.
- Recent earnings highlights for EC include significant revenue growth and record refining performance, whereas YPF has focused on asset optimization and portfolio streamlining.
- Risk profiles differ: EC faces geopolitical and cybersecurity considerations, while YPF emphasizes deleveraging and conventional asset sales.
- Market sentiment reflects EC’s outperformance in broader energy trends, with YPF showing steady positioning ahead of its upcoming quarterly results.
- Relative momentum favors consistency in EC’s operational catalysts over YPF’s restructuring initiatives in the current environment.
Introduction
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) represent two prominent integrated oil and gas companies from Latin America, making them relevant for comparison in the energy sector. Investors and traders focused on emerging-market energy exposure, commodity price sensitivity, and regional economic factors may find this analysis useful for assessing relative positioning. The comparison highlights differences in business scale, recent operational developments, and market responses without implying directional outcomes.
EC Overview and Recent Performance
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is Colombia’s primary oil and gas company, engaged in exploration, production, refining, and petrochemicals. In recent market activity, the stock has shown notable strength, driven by strong second-quarter results that included substantial revenue increases and record refining performance. Additional developments include progress on international expansion through a potential controlling stake in Brazil’s Brava Energia and a deepwater gas discovery offshore Colombia. Sentiment has been influenced by these operational positives alongside isolated cybersecurity incidents earlier in the period, contributing to a generally constructive performance backdrop over recent weeks.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is Argentina’s leading integrated energy firm, with operations spanning upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and natural gas. Recent market activity reflects ongoing portfolio optimization under its 4x4 plan, including the sale of conventional assets in Mendoza. The company has also executed bond redemptions and share buybacks to support liquidity management. Performance has remained steady ahead of the second-quarter earnings call scheduled for August 11, 2026, with focus on shale developments and deleveraging efforts shaping investor attention in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) share integrated oil and gas business models but differ in geographic focus and scale. EC maintains a larger production base with refining strengths, while YPF emphasizes upstream shale opportunities and conventional asset divestitures. Recent momentum has favored EC through earnings-driven gains, contrasting with YPF’s emphasis on financial restructuring and asset sales. Risk factors include regulatory and geopolitical elements for both, though EC contends with additional cybersecurity considerations and YPF with local economic variables. Sector exposure remains similar in energy commodities, yet market sentiment has reflected EC’s stronger relative performance in recent activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to EC over YPF. Stronger recent operational results and momentum provide a more stable profile in the current environment, though outcomes remain subject to broader market and commodity dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EC is a Hold and YPF is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileYPF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while YPF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EC (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +2.32% price change this week, while YPF (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +4.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
EC is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+4.31% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EC | YPF | EC / YPF | |
| Capitalization | 34.1B | 19.6B | 174% |
| EBITDA | 28.04T | 5.6B | 500,929% |
| Gain YTD | 89.098 | 38.413 | 232% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.18 | 1.29 | 867% |
| Revenue | 116.95T | 18.6B | 628,785% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.69B | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 10.8B | - |
EC | YPF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 1 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
YPF's Valuation (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EC (50). This means that YPF’s stock grew similarly to EC’s over the last 12 months.
EC's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as YPF (23). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
EC's SMR Rating (24) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for YPF (93). This means that EC’s stock grew significantly faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
EC's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as YPF (43). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
EC's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for YPF (100). This means that EC’s stock grew significantly faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
| EC | YPF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 86% |
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YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.