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CVI vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CVR Energy (CVI) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVR Energy (CVI) is a smaller, more focused refining and nitrogen fertilizer producer that delivered a strong Q2 2026 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of $0.34.
- Phillips 66 (PSX) offers broader downstream exposure across refining, marketing, midstream, and chemicals, contributing to superior year-to-date returns near 66%.
- Recent market activity shows CVI with notable one-month gains exceeding 24%, while PSX demonstrates more consistent longer-term momentum and scale advantages.
- Both companies operate in the energy refining sector, yet PSX benefits from greater diversification and higher institutional ownership compared with CVI’s event-driven profile.
- Volatility remains a key distinction, with CVI exhibiting sharper price swings tied to refining margins and operational throughput.
- Observable trend consistency and earnings stability metrics currently position PSX more favorably in algorithmic assessments of relative performance.
Introduction
This comparison examines CVR Energy (CVI) and Phillips 66 (PSX), two publicly traded companies in the oil refining and marketing sector. Investors and traders seeking to evaluate relative performance, business model differences, and market positioning within the energy space may find the analysis useful. The review focuses on recent developments, price behavior, and sector dynamics to provide a balanced view of how each stock has responded to prevailing market conditions over recent weeks and broader periods.
CVI Overview and Recent Performance
CVR Energy (CVI) operates primarily in petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. The company reported second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded consensus estimates, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.34 versus an expected $0.26 and revenue of $2.74 billion. Recent market activity reflects positive sentiment following the earnings release, contributing to one-month gains above 24% as of late July 2026. Stock price behavior has shown volatility typical of smaller refiners, influenced by throughput volumes and margin fluctuations in the petroleum segment. Year-to-date returns have reached approximately 34-40%, outpacing the broader market in the near term.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is a diversified downstream energy company with operations spanning refining, marketing, midstream logistics, and chemicals. The stock has delivered robust year-to-date performance near 66%, supported by steady operational execution and sector tailwinds. Recent market activity indicates continued momentum, with one-year returns exceeding 77% as of early August 2026. Price behavior reflects greater stability relative to smaller peers, aided by scale and diversified revenue streams. Institutional interest and free cash flow generation have contributed to a more measured response to energy market fluctuations over recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVR Energy (CVI) maintains a narrower business model centered on refining and fertilizer, resulting in higher sensitivity to refining margins and regional operational factors. In contrast, Phillips 66 (PSX) benefits from multi-segment diversification that supports more stable earnings across market cycles. Recent momentum favors CVI in the short term with sharper price advances, while PSX exhibits stronger cumulative returns over longer windows. Risk factors for CVI include elevated volatility and smaller scale, whereas PSX faces typical large-cap exposure to broader commodity price shifts. Sector sentiment remains constructive for both, yet PSX’s positioning within institutional portfolios and free cash flow profile provide a relative edge in consistency metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, diversification of revenue streams, and relative positioning within the energy sector, Tickeron’s AI would likely favor Phillips 66 (PSX) in the current market environment. The company’s multi-segment structure provides a steadier earnings trajectory that algorithmic models tend to reward, reinforced by stronger year-to-date momentum and robust free cash flow generation. CVR Energy (CVI) presents a more volatile, event-driven profile that may appeal to certain tactical strategies, but narrower margins and recent operational considerations suggest a less consistent pattern for trend-following approaches. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects the AI’s reading of current market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVI is a Hold and PSX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVI (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -12.55% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -3.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -8.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVI is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-8.60% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| CVI | PSX | CVI / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 3.13B | 81.4B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 785M | 9.2B | 9% |
| Gain YTD | 24.721 | 60.477 | 41% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.14 | 11.64 | 388% |
| Revenue | 8.47B | 134B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 737M | 5.15B | 14% |
| Total Debt | 1.8B | 27.1B | 7% |
CVI | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSX's Valuation (50) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as CVI (78). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to CVI’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as CVI (49). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to CVI’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's SMR Rating (59) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as CVI (60). This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to CVI’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (8) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVI (49). This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVI’s over the last 12 months.
CVI's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for PSX (97). This means that CVI’s stock grew significantly faster than PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| CVI | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 78% | 10 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 75% | 5 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 66% |
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CVI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVI has been closely correlated with DK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVI jumps, then DK could also see price increases.
PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.