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CVX vs XOM
CVX vs XOM Stock Comparison: Momentum Clash in Energy
Key Takeaways
- XOM has outperformed CVX year-to-date with 24% gains versus 21%, driven by stronger production growth in key basins like Permian and Guyana.
- CVX offers a higher dividend yield at 3.9% compared to XOM's 2.8%, appealing to income-focused investors amid stable payouts.
- XOM's larger market cap of $626B dwarfs CVX's $367B, reflecting greater scale in upstream operations and EBITDA.
- Recent expansions highlight contrasts: CVX advancing in Greece and Libya, while XOM navigates EU regulations and Venezuela opportunities.
- Both stocks trade at premiums to the sector P/E average, with XOM at 22x and CVX at 28x trailing earnings.
- Energy sector leadership in 2026 underscores relative strength, but oil price volatility poses shared risks.
Introduction
Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) stand as integrated oil giants dominating the energy landscape, with operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and chemicals. This CVX vs XOM stock comparison examines their relative performance amid rising oil prices, geopolitical shifts, and sector tailwinds. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors prioritizing dividends or growth will find value in contrasting their business models, recent catalysts, and market positioning. As energy outperforms the S&P 500 in recent market activity, understanding these peers' trade-offs aids informed portfolio decisions in a volatile commodity environment.
CVX Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron Corporation (CVX) operates through Upstream and Downstream segments, focusing on crude oil, natural gas, and refined products globally. With a market cap of approximately $367 billion, CVX emphasizes shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks alongside exploration growth.
In recent weeks, CVX shares have climbed around 11% monthly and 21% year-to-date, trading near $184 amid broader energy strength. Key drivers include new offshore leases in Greece for ultra-deepwater exploration and reentry into Libya, bolstering its upstream portfolio. Expansion in Venezuela via U.S. licenses further signals production upside. Sentiment benefits from a dividend hike to $1.78 per share, yielding nearly 4%, though valuation at 28x trailing P/E reflects premium pricing amid oil at $70s Brent levels. Geopolitical factors and refining margins have supported stability, outperforming the S&P 500.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), the world's largest investor-owned energy firm by market cap at $626 billion, integrates upstream production, energy products, chemicals, and specialty segments. It leverages scale in Permian Basin and Guyana for output growth.
XOM stock has surged about 14% in the past month and 24% year-to-date, hovering around $148, outpacing peers on production records. Recent momentum stems from robust cash flows funding dividends and buybacks, despite EU methane regulation pressures. Venezuela asset recovery potential adds catalysts, aligning with shale efficiencies. At 22x trailing P/E and 2.8% yield, XOM trades at a relative discount, buoyed by higher ROE near 11% and profitability edges in recent quarters. Investor interest remains high amid sector rotation into energy.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVX and XOM share integrated models but diverge in scale and focus: XOM's larger upstream (4.8M boe/d vs. CVX's 4.1M) drives superior EBITDA ($69B vs. $41B) and YTD momentum (24% vs. 21%). Growth contrasts include XOM's Guyana/Permian edge versus CVX's Hess synergies and Mediterranean/Libya pushes. Recent relative performance favors XOM's 14% monthly gain over CVX's 11%, tied to cash generation amid $70 oil.
Risk profiles differ: XOM's lower beta (0.36) signals stability versus CVX's 0.67, but both face commodity swings and regulations—EU methane for XOM, Venezuela geopolitics for both. Sector exposure is balanced, yet XOM boasts higher ROE (11% vs. 7%). Market sentiment tilts to XOM for operational leverage, while CVX's higher yield (3.9% vs. 2.8%) suits defensives. P/E gaps (22x vs. 28x) highlight XOM's value in growth trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor XOM for its trend consistency, superior YTD momentum, production scale, and relative valuation positioning. Observable catalysts like Permian dominance and cash flow strength suggest higher probability of outperformance versus CVX's yield tilt, though both benefit from energy rotation. Probabilistic edges point to XOM in short-to-medium term relative performance.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a Hold and XOM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileXOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -7.20% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -8.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +0.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was +33.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+0.01% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVX | XOM | CVX / XOM | |
| Capitalization | 373B | 620B | 60% |
| EBITDA | 41.4B | 67.9B | 61% |
| Gain YTD | 23.909 | 24.842 | 96% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.21 | 22.27 | 127% |
| Revenue | 184B | 324B | 57% |
| Total Cash | 6.3B | 10.7B | 59% |
| Total Debt | 40.8B | 43.5B | 94% |
CVX | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVX's Valuation (47) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (69). This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (16). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's SMR Rating (65) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (78). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVX (44). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (17). This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 58% | 9 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 41% | 6 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 32% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 54% |
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XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.