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SU vs XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Suncor Energy (SU) vs. Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Suncor Energy (SU) has significantly outperformed Exxon Mobil (XOM) year-to-date, with returns around 53% compared to XOM's 28%.
- Both stocks offer comparable dividend yields near 2.6-2.7%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- SU trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 19 versus XOM's 26, suggesting relative value.
- In recent market activity, SU has shown stronger momentum, while XOM experienced a pullback of around 6-7% over the past month.
- XOM benefits from a much larger market capitalization of over $635 billion compared to SU's $80 billion, offering greater scale and diversification.
- Over the past year, SU returned nearly 93%, outpacing XOM's 49%.
Introduction
Suncor Energy (SU) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) represent two prominent players in the integrated oil and gas sector, with SU focusing on Canadian oil sands and XOM maintaining a global footprint. This stock comparison examines their recent performance, valuations, and market positioning amid fluctuating energy prices and geopolitical tensions. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing dividends and stability in the energy space will find value in understanding their relative strengths, especially as oil market dynamics evolve in recent weeks.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy (SU) is a leading Canadian integrated energy company, primarily engaged in oil sands development, refining, and marketing. In recent market activity, SU has exhibited robust performance, with shares rallying significantly year-to-date on the back of elevated crude oil prices and improved operational efficiencies at its key assets. The stock recently traded around $67.55, approaching its 52-week high, reflecting positive sentiment driven by strong production levels and favorable commodity pricing. Broader factors like global energy demand have bolstered investor confidence, contributing to outperformance relative to the broader sector.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil (XOM), one of the world's largest energy supermajors, operates across upstream exploration, refining, chemicals, and low-carbon ventures. Recent quarters saw XOM report solid Q1 2026 results, surpassing revenue and earnings expectations despite operational hurdles and market volatility. However, the stock has faced headwinds in recent weeks, declining about 6-7% over the past month amid broader market rotations away from energy. Trading near $152.75, it remains below its 52-week high, influenced by profit-taking and shifting investor focus, though its diversified portfolio provides resilience.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both SU and XOM operate integrated business models, blending upstream production with downstream refining, but differ in scale and geography: SU's oil sands-centric operations in Canada expose it more directly to bitumen dynamics, while XOM's global assets, including low-cost Permian Basin and Guyana fields, offer broader diversification. Growth drivers include SU's production ramp-ups and XOM's LNG expansions. Recent momentum favors SU, with superior relative performance, though XOM edges in stability (lower beta of 0.18 vs. 0.59). Risks for SU involve Canadian regulations and higher breakevens; XOM faces geopolitical exposures. Market sentiment tilts toward SU for short-term trades, XOM for scale.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors SU over XOM in this stock comparison, based on stronger trend consistency, superior year-to-date and one-year returns, and relative momentum in recent market activity. While XOM offers greater stability and global positioning, SU's valuation and performance edge suggest higher probability of near-term upside potential.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SU is a Hold and XOM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileXOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SU’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
Price Growth
SU (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -5.24% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -5.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -2.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-2.83% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| SU | XOM | SU / XOM | |
| Capitalization | 75.8B | 599B | 13% |
| EBITDA | 15.6B | 67.9B | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 44.297 | 20.935 | 212% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.60 | 24.68 | 67% |
| Revenue | 52.4B | 324B | 16% |
| Total Cash | 3.65B | 10.7B | 34% |
| Total Debt | 14.5B | 43.5B | 33% |
SU | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 33 Fair valued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (33) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XOM (66). This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (14). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (60) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (65). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (51). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (15). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
| SU | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 6 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 44% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VXUS | 85.43 | 1.18 | +1.40% |
| Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | |||
| LCAP | 32.52 | 0.25 | +0.77% |
| Principal Capital Appreciation Sel ETF | |||
| GIGB | 45.92 | 0.16 | +0.35% |
| Goldman Sachs Acss Invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| XTOC | 35.44 | 0.10 | +0.28% |
| Innovator US Equity Acclrtd Pls ETF™ Oct | |||
| XDEC | 42.34 | 0.06 | +0.15% |
| FT Vest US Eq Enh & Mdt Bfr ETF Dec | |||
SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.
XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | 100% | -1.37% | ||
| CVX - XOM | 81% Closely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| CRGY - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| CVE - XOM | 67% Closely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| EQNR - XOM | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.60% | ||
| SU - XOM | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
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