DGRO
Price
$80.29
Change
+$0.92 (+1.16%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
43.75B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VTV
Price
$226.55
Change
+$1.61 (+0.72%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
190.74B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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DGRO vs VTV

DGRO vs VTV Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 22, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO) vs. Vanguard Value ETF (VTV)

1) Key Takeaways

  • DGRO tracks the Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index and selects U.S. companies with a history of consistently growing dividends, while VTV tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index and screens for value-oriented large-cap stocks.
  • Costs are low on both sides: DGRO charges 0.08% and VTV charges 0.03%, making VTV one of the cheapest broad value exposures available.
  • Sector exposures diverge meaningfully — DGRO carries a heavier information technology allocation (roughly 18–19%), while VTV is more concentrated in financials and industrials.
  • Both funds share several large-cap holdings such as JPMorgan Chase, Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, and AbbVie, but arrive at them through different selection logic (dividend growth versus value).
  • Risk profiles are similar on the surface — both carry equity betas below the broad market — but VTV leans more cyclical, while DGRO tilts toward quality dividend payers.

2) Introduction

Income-focused and value-oriented investors frequently weigh these two funds together, but they are not direct substitutes. DGRO pursues dividend growth, favoring companies with durable payout expansion, whereas VTV is a pure large-cap value strategy that buys what the market has priced cheaply. In a market environment marked by sector rotation, shifting interest-rate expectations, and renewed debate over megacap technology valuations, understanding these structural differences matters more than headline returns. This ETF comparison examines how each fund's sector exposure, cost structure, and selection methodology shape its relative positioning for investors seeking either growing income or deep value exposure.

3) iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO) Overview

DGRO is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index. It screens for U.S. equities that have grown their dividends for at least five consecutive years and that maintain a sustainable payout ratio, then weights holdings by dividend dollars rather than market capitalization. The fund holds roughly 400 securities and carries an expense ratio of 0.08%.

Its largest positions include MSFT, AAPL, JPM, JNJ, XOM, ABBV, AVGO, and PG. Sector allocation skews toward financials (about 19–20%), information technology (about 18–19%), and health care (about 17%), with smaller consumer staples and industrials sleeves. Because selection is tied to dividend growth history, the fund emphasizes established, cash-generating businesses rather than high-growth names.

4) Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) Overview

VTV is a passively managed, full-replication fund tracking the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index (CRSP is the Center for Research in Security Prices). It holds around 310 large-cap U.S. stocks identified as value through valuation-oriented screens, charging just 0.03%. With total assets well into the hundreds of billions of dollars, it is among the largest and most liquid value ETFs in the market.

Top holdings include BRK.B, JPM, XOM, JNJ, WMT, MU, ABBV, and CVX. Financials lead at roughly 21%, followed by industrials (about 16%) and health care (about 14%), with a comparatively modest technology sleeve. This structure makes VTV a diversified bet on economically sensitive, lower-valuation large caps rather than a dividend-growth strategy.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the large-cap U.S. equity universe, but their fortunes are shaped by different themes. Rising or sustained interest rates tend to benefit financials, a dominant weight in both funds, while energy and industrial exposure link performance to commodity prices and the capital-expenditure cycle. Meanwhile, the debate over artificial intelligence (AI) spending and megacap technology valuations cuts the other way: DGRO's larger technology sleeve gives it more exposure to that dynamic, while VTV's lighter tech weighting insulates it somewhat. Dividend-oriented investors also watch payout sustainability and share-buyback activity, whereas value investors focus on price-to-earnings and price-to-book discounts relative to the broader market.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, VTV has benefited from a broad rotation into value and cyclical sectors, with financials, industrials, and energy leading at various points. DGRO has performed more in line with a quality-plus-income profile, supported by steady dividend payers but with technology exposure adding both upside and volatility. Relative positioning differs chiefly by sector mix: VTV is more heavily weighted to economically sensitive value names, while DGRO blends dividend growth with a meaningful technology allocation. Both funds have shown lower realized volatility than the broad index, but VTV's cyclical tilt can make it more responsive to shifts in rate expectations and commodity trends.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own search and uncover actionable opportunities.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VTV in the current environment. Its lower expense ratio, deeper value orientation, and heavier weighting toward financials and industrials align with the prevailing rotation away from expensive growth equities. That said, DGRO retains a quality advantage through its dividend-growth discipline, which can provide steadier income and resilience during earnings downturns. The probabilistic edge tilts toward VTV on cost efficiency and sector momentum, while DGRO remains a competitive choice for income-focused investors seeking compounding payout growth.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
DGRO vs. VTV commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DGRO is a Hold and VTV is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for DGRO with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

DGRO in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026

DGRO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 31 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DGRO as a result. In 74 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DGRO just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where DGRO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The 10-day moving average for DGRO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DGRO advanced for three days, in 295 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DGRO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

DGRO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DGRO entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VTV with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

VTV in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026

VTV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 36 cases where VTV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VTV as a result. In 76 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where VTV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

VTV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VTV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTV advanced for three days, in 291 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for VTV entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
DGROVTV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 24 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 24 days ago
72%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
64%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
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DGRO
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VTV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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DGRO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DGRO has been closely correlated with BEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DGRO jumps, then BEN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DGRO
1D Price
Change %
DGRO100%
+1.16%
BEN - DGRO
80%
Closely correlated
-0.51%
TROW - DGRO
79%
Closely correlated
+0.15%
TXN - DGRO
78%
Closely correlated
-1.81%
KEY - DGRO
78%
Closely correlated
+0.86%
VSH - DGRO
77%
Closely correlated
-9.54%
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