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DOW vs SQM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dow Inc. (DOW) vs. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dow Inc. (DOW) delivered strong Q2 2026 results with net sales rising 20% year-over-year, supported by higher pricing across segments.
- Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) reported robust Q1 2026 growth in revenue and net income, with Q2 results scheduled for release shortly.
- Year-to-date, DOW has outperformed broader market benchmarks more substantially than SQM, reflecting differences in sector momentum.
- DOW operates primarily in the chemicals and materials sector with diversified global exposure, while SQM maintains significant lithium and fertilizer operations tied to battery and agricultural demand.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing positive price movements amid broader basic materials sentiment, though volatility profiles differ due to underlying commodity exposures.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between DOW’s pricing-driven stability and SQM’s growth sensitivity to lithium market dynamics.
Introduction
This comparison examines Dow Inc. (DOW) and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM), two companies in the basic materials space with distinct business models and market drivers. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance, sector positioning, and recent sentiment shifts in chemicals versus specialty minerals may find the analysis relevant. The focus remains on observable factors such as earnings trends, price behavior in recent weeks, and broader market context to support informed evaluation without forward-looking speculation.
Dow Inc. (DOW) Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is a global materials science company engaged in the production of chemicals, plastics, and advanced materials used across packaging, infrastructure, and consumer goods industries. In recent market activity, the stock has benefited from strong second-quarter 2026 financial results, with net sales reaching $12.1 billion, up 20% from the prior year, driven primarily by improved pricing and operational efficiencies. These results exceeded analyst expectations despite softer volumes in certain segments. Broader market conditions, including steady demand recovery in key end-markets, have supported positive sentiment toward the shares during recent weeks.
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Overview and Recent Performance
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) is a Chilean specialty chemicals producer with leading positions in lithium compounds, potassium fertilizers, and industrial chemicals. The company reported substantial year-over-year gains in its first-quarter 2026 results, including revenue growth of nearly 70% and a significant increase in net income. With second-quarter earnings scheduled for imminent release, recent weeks have seen the stock respond to lithium sector sentiment and overall basic materials trends. Performance has reflected both commodity price movements and company-specific operational updates amid evolving supply dynamics in the battery materials space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Dow Inc. (DOW) and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) differ markedly in business models: the former emphasizes diversified chemical production with exposure to cyclical industrial demand, while the latter concentrates on lithium and fertilizers, linking performance more directly to energy transition and agricultural cycles. Recent momentum has favored DOW through pricing gains and earnings beats, contrasting with SQM’s reliance on lithium price recovery amid upcoming results. Risk factors include commodity volatility for both, though SQM faces greater sensitivity to battery metal supply expansions. Sector exposure places DOW in broader materials while SQM aligns with specialty chemicals and clean energy themes. Market sentiment in recent weeks has reflected these distinctions, with stability in chemical pricing supporting one profile and lithium demand trends influencing the other.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent earnings delivery, relative stability amid sector headwinds, and positioning within broader materials demand, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable relative performance to Dow Inc. (DOW) over Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM). This assessment draws from pricing resilience and diversified exposure rather than any single catalyst. The conclusion remains probabilistic and tied to current data patterns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOW is a Buy and SQM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOW’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSQM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DOW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SQM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SQM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SQM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -3.30% price change this week, while SQM (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +6.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOW is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
SQM is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-1.66% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.14% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| DOW | SQM | DOW / SQM | |
| Capitalization | 21.8B | 22.6B | 96% |
| EBITDA | 2.65B | 1.62B | 164% |
| Gain YTD | 31.854 | 16.439 | 194% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.92 | 16.30 | 466% |
| Revenue | 41.3B | 5.3B | 779% |
| Total Cash | 3.74B | 3.87B | 97% |
| Total Debt | 19.4B | 5.11B | 379% |
DOW | SQM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 93 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SQM's Valuation (35) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (86) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's SMR Rating (58) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (93) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as DOW (49) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is significantly better than the same rating for SQM (90) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew significantly faster than SQM’s over the last 12 months.
| DOW | SQM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 14 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 69% |
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DOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOW has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DOW jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.