Advertisement
OLN vs SQM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Olin Corporation (OLN) vs. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- OLN reported a first-quarter 2026 net loss amid lower chemical volumes and pricing, while adjusted EBITDA declined year-over-year.
- SQM delivered robust one-year returns exceeding 140% driven by lithium price recovery and expanding demand in electric vehicles and energy storage.
- Analysts have raised price targets for both stocks in recent weeks, reflecting improving sentiment despite sector-specific headwinds.
- OLN operates in basic chemicals and ammunition with stable dividends, whereas SQM focuses on lithium and specialty fertilizers with higher growth volatility.
- Relative performance shows SQM outperforming on momentum metrics, while OLN offers more defensive cash flow characteristics.
- Market positioning contrasts cyclical chemical exposure for OLN against lithium supply-chain leverage for SQM.
Introduction
This comparison examines OLN and SQM for traders and investors seeking insight into relative performance within the materials sector. Both companies operate in chemical and resource-intensive industries but differ in end-market exposure and growth profiles. The analysis highlights recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and market sentiment to support informed decision-making in the current environment. It is relevant for those evaluating cyclical versus growth-oriented materials plays.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
Olin Corporation (OLN) produces chlorine, caustic soda, epoxy resins, and ammunition through its Winchester brand. In recent market activity, the stock traded near $26 following first-quarter 2026 results that showed a net loss of $83 million and lower adjusted EBITDA compared with the prior year. Sales declined modestly amid softer volumes and pricing in the chemicals segment. Despite the earnings miss, multiple analysts raised price targets in mid-May, citing early signs of stabilization in epoxy and ammunition demand. Broader sentiment has been supported by the company’s consistent dividend and liquidity position, though the shares have underperformed broader market indices over longer periods.
SQM Overview and Recent Performance
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) is a leading producer of lithium, potassium nitrate, iodine, and fertilizers. Recent market activity has seen the stock advance to levels near $80, delivering year-to-date gains of approximately 17.5% and one-year returns exceeding 140%. Performance has been driven by a rebound in lithium prices and sustained demand from electric-vehicle and energy-storage applications. Analysts have also lifted price targets in recent weeks, reflecting optimism around capacity expansions and supply dynamics. The company’s results have benefited from higher realized prices, though the shares remain sensitive to commodity cycles and global macroeconomic conditions.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots from hundreds available that trade thousands of different tickers. Only the strongest performers suited to prevailing market conditions earn placement in this section. Available bots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and ticker universes, with many demonstrating double-digit returns over various periods alongside defined risk parameters. This resource allows traders to explore automated approaches tailored to individual preferences. Review the full selection at Trending AI Robots.
Head-to-Head Comparison
OLN and SQM differ markedly in business models: OLN maintains integrated chemical and ammunition operations with relatively stable cash flows, while SQM derives significant exposure from lithium mining and specialty fertilizers. Growth drivers favor SQM through electric-vehicle supply chains, whereas OLN relies on industrial and defense demand. Recent momentum has been stronger for SQM, supported by commodity price recovery, compared with OLN’s earnings pressures. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, with SQM facing additional geopolitical and EV-adoption uncertainties. Sector exposure positions OLN in basic materials and SQM in battery materials. Market sentiment reflects analyst upgrades for both, though SQM exhibits higher beta to lithium trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and recent momentum, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to SQM. The stock’s alignment with lithium demand catalysts and stronger relative performance in recent market activity support this positioning, though OLN offers defensive attributes that could appeal under different conditions. Outcomes remain subject to evolving commodity prices and macroeconomic developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is OLN is a StrongBuy and SQM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
OLN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSQM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- OLN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SQM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
OLN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SQM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- OLN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SQM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -9.87% price change this week, while SQM (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -7.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -6.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -1.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
OLN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
SQM is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-6.40% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (-1.18% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| OLN | SQM | OLN / SQM | |
| Capitalization | 2.45B | 21.9B | 11% |
| EBITDA | 408M | 1.62B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 4.579 | 12.456 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 48.57 | 27.51 | 177% |
| Revenue | 6.72B | 5.3B | 127% |
| Total Cash | 192M | 3.87B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 3.31B | 5.11B | 65% |
OLN | SQM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 17 Undervalued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 8 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLN's Valuation (17) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SQM (43) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to SQM’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Profit vs Risk Rating (64) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's SMR Rating (58) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (95) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as OLN (62) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SQM (13) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to SQM’s over the last 12 months.
| OLN | SQM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 68% | 12 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 73% |
Advertisement
OLN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OLN has been closely correlated with DOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OLN jumps, then DOW could also see price increases.