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OLN vs SQM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Olin Corporation (OLN) vs. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Olin Corporation (OLN) operates primarily in chemicals and ammunition, with recent quarterly results showing net losses amid softer demand in key segments.
- Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) focuses on lithium, fertilizers, and specialty chemicals, reporting strong year-over-year revenue growth in its latest quarter driven by lithium sales volumes.
- OLN stock has traded in a lower range recently, with a dividend maintained despite profitability pressures, while SQM has shown more positive price momentum ahead of its upcoming earnings.
- Sector exposure differs markedly: OLN faces cyclical pressures in basic chemicals, whereas SQM benefits from electric vehicle and energy storage demand for lithium.
- Market sentiment appears more constructive for SQM in recent market activity, supported by volume growth guidance, compared to OLN's focus on cost management and a pending transaction.
- Both stocks exhibit volatility typical of materials sector names, with SQM displaying relatively higher recent price appreciation.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare stocks within the materials sector to assess relative value, risk profiles, and exposure to macroeconomic trends such as commodity prices and industrial demand. Olin Corporation (OLN) and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) represent distinct sub-sectors, with the former centered on chlor-alkali products and ammunition and the latter on lithium and fertilizers. This comparison provides insights for those evaluating cyclical materials plays, portfolio diversification across chemicals, or positioning ahead of earnings cycles. Market participants may find the analysis relevant when monitoring broader trends in industrial activity and battery metals demand.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
Olin Corporation (OLN) is a major producer of chlor-alkali chemicals, epoxy resins, and Winchester ammunition. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected challenges from softer pricing and volumes in its chemical segments, contributing to reported net losses in the first quarter. Second-quarter results highlighted ongoing cost-control efforts, while the company maintained its quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share. Recent market activity has also included updates on a planned transaction with Huntsman, which could influence future operations if completed. Broader sentiment has been tempered by cyclical headwinds in basic materials, with the share price trading near the lower end of its recent range.
SQM Overview and Recent Performance
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) is a leading producer of lithium chemicals, specialty plant nutrients, and iodine. The company delivered robust first-quarter results with revenue increasing substantially year-over-year, supported by higher lithium sales volumes and improved pricing dynamics. Guidance for full-year lithium sales growth was raised, reflecting stronger demand expectations. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience and upward movement ahead of the second-quarter earnings release scheduled for mid-August. Sentiment has benefited from lithium market recovery tied to electric vehicle adoption, positioning the shares more favorably within the materials space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Olin Corporation (OLN) and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) differ significantly in business models: OLN derives the majority of revenue from industrial chemicals and defense-related ammunition, exposing it to construction, manufacturing, and government spending cycles. In contrast, SQM maintains substantial lithium operations alongside fertilizers, aligning it more closely with electric vehicle and renewable energy themes. Recent momentum has favored SQM, with stronger revenue trends and positive price action, while OLN has navigated profitability pressures and dividend sustainability amid softer demand. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, though SQM carries additional exposure to lithium price swings and regulatory considerations in Chile. Market sentiment in recent weeks has reflected greater optimism toward lithium-linked names versus traditional chemical producers facing margin compression.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings trends, volume growth, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) over Olin Corporation (OLN). The lithium producer’s demonstrated revenue expansion and raised sales guidance provide a clearer near-term catalyst profile compared with the cyclical challenges facing the chlor-alkali and ammunition segments. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to continuation of current market conditions rather than a guarantee of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is OLN is a Buy and SQM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
OLN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSQM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- OLN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SQM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
OLN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SQM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- OLN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SQM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -6.01% price change this week, while SQM (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +6.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
OLN is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
SQM is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-1.66% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.14% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| OLN | SQM | OLN / SQM | |
| Capitalization | 1.98B | 22.6B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 410M | 1.62B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | -15.353 | 16.439 | -93% |
| P/E Ratio | 48.57 | 16.30 | 298% |
| Revenue | 6.7B | 5.3B | 126% |
| Total Cash | 177M | 3.87B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 3.41B | 5.11B | 67% |
OLN | SQM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 11 Undervalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLN's Valuation (11) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SQM (35) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to SQM’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's SMR Rating (58) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (94) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
SQM's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (82) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that SQM’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Industrial Specialties industry is significantly better than the same rating for SQM (90) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew significantly faster than SQM’s over the last 12 months.
| OLN | SQM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 14 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 69% |
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