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Serhii Bond's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 28, 2023

Boost Your Returns: Trade Choppy & Inverse ETFs: 29.53% ($NET) & 3.95% ($SDOW)

A Comparative Analysis of Trading Strategies: Choppy Market Trader vs. Inverse ETF Trader

In the dynamic world of trading and investments, strategies can be as diverse as the traders who implement them. As we venture deeper into this realm, we can better understand the financial performance of different strategies by comparing them directly. This article will delve into the performance analysis of two such strategies - The Choppy Market Trader strategy focusing on Net (NET), and the Inverse ETF Trader strategy focusing on Dow Jones Industrial Average Short (SDOW).

The Choppy Market Trader Strategy

A Choppy Market Trader strategy is specifically designed to profit in markets that are not trending, where prices move within a specific range for an extended period. The strategy typically involves multiple short-term trades designed to capitalize on the small price movements that occur within these ranges.

The highlighted security for this strategy is NET, which yielded a lucrative +29.53% return. This impressive performance underscores the potential for high profits that can be achieved even when markets are directionless. Traders with the ability to identify suitable stocks and correctly time their trades can unlock substantial value, as evidenced by the high returns from the Choppy Market Trader strategy on NET.

Inverse ETF Trader Strategy

On the other hand, the Inverse ETF Trader strategy revolves around taking long positions on inverse Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Inverse ETFs are designed to perform inversely to the index they track, thereby allowing traders to profit from declines in the market or specific sectors.

In this comparison, we look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average Short (SDOW). This inverse ETF is designed to inversely track the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Despite being a contrarian strategy, it managed to generate a positive return of +3.95%. This reinforces the notion that inverse ETFs can provide a worthwhile hedge against market downturns or capitalize on anticipated market drops.

Comparative Insight

By juxtaposing these two strategies, we can observe the significant disparity in their returns. The Choppy Market Trader strategy, as applied to NET, has significantly outperformed the Inverse ETF Trader strategy on SDOW, with returns of +29.53% versus +3.95% respectively.

The inherent distinction in the mechanisms of these two strategies, however, makes them useful in different market conditions. The Choppy Market Trader strategy tends to thrive in a non-trending, volatile market, while the Inverse ETF Trader strategy can deliver returns during market downturns.

This comparison underscores the importance of strategy selection based on prevailing market conditions and one's understanding of specific investment vehicles. Both the Choppy Market Trader and Inverse ETF Trader strategies have proven their worth in certain market conditions, demonstrating the value of having a diverse toolkit of trading strategies at one's disposal.

Related Ticker: NET, SDOW

Momentum Indicator for NET turns positive, indicating new upward trend

NET saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 09, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NET just turned positive on October 09, 2024. Looking at past instances where NET's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NET moved above its 50-day moving average on October 04, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NET crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NET advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NET declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NET broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for NET entered a downward trend on September 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NET’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (42.373) is normal, around the industry mean (30.829). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.377) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (24.631) is also within normal values, averaging (56.744).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (null:MSFT), Oracle Corp (null:ORCL), Salesforce (null:CRM), Adobe (null:ADBE), Intuit (null:INTU), Uber Technologies (null:UBER), SERVICENOW (null:NOW), Shopify (null:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (null:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (null:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. ROWKF experienced the highest price growth at 852%, while INSSF experienced the biggest fall at -88%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 74%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 59% and the average quarterly volume growth was 92%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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a company, which engages in the provision of cloud-based services to secure websites

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