Advertisement
DPZ vs MCD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Domino's Pizza (DPZ) vs. McDonald's (MCD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DPZ and MCD have experienced downward pressure in recent market activity amid softening consumer demand in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector.
- DPZ shares have declined sharply following a first-quarter earnings miss and lowered full-year guidance, trading near the lower end of their 52-week range of $326.54–$499.08.
- MCD exhibits greater stability with a lower beta of 0.44 (a measure of volatility relative to the market) and remains supported by its dividend yield of 2.60%.
- Analyst consensus points to meaningful upside for both, with average price targets implying about 22% potential gain for DPZ ($413–$427) and 20% for MCD ($344–$345).
- MCD's larger market capitalization of $203.75 billion provides a buffer compared to DPZ's $11.24 billion.
- Year-to-date, MCD has shown relative resilience over DPZ in comparative performance metrics.
Introduction
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) and McDonald's (MCD) represent prominent players in the quick-service restaurant industry, with DPZ specializing in pizza delivery and carryout, and MCD offering a broad fast-food menu. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid shifting consumer spending patterns. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors focused on dividend stability or growth potential in consumer-facing stocks will find value in evaluating relative strengths, risks, and sentiment drivers in the current environment.
DPZ Overview and Recent Performance
Domino's Pizza (DPZ), a leading pizza chain with a franchise-heavy model emphasizing delivery innovation, has faced headwinds in recent weeks. The stock, currently around $338 with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.46, has retreated from its 52-week high of $499.08, down over 5% in the past 30 days. Key influences include a first-quarter earnings report showing $4.13 EPS (earnings per share), missing expectations, coupled with weaker-than-anticipated sales and a lowered full-year outlook, prompting an 8.2% single-day drop. Despite a $1 billion share buyback announcement, sentiment remains cautious due to slowing same-store sales growth and broader QSR challenges, reflected in a beta of 1.02 and dividend yield of 2.36%.
MCD Overview and Recent Performance
McDonald's (MCD), the global fast-food giant with extensive franchised operations, trades near $287, featuring a P/E ratio of 23.99 and market leadership in burgers and value meals. Shares have hovered close to the 52-week low of $283.47 after a roughly 7.6% decline over the past month, influenced by macroeconomic pressures on discretionary spending. Recent developments include menu innovations like new drinks and operational tweaks, such as eliminating certain customer perks, amid competitive dynamics with rivals closing locations. The stock's low beta of 0.44 underscores its defensive positioning, bolstered by a consistent 2.60% dividend yield, though year-to-date gains lag broader market trends.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of the platform's top-performing AI trading bots from its library of over 350 bots that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. Only 25 bots earn a spot in this trending section based on suitability for current market conditions, featuring diverse strategies like momentum in semiconductors, data centers, and volatility plays. Performance stats are compelling: annualized returns range from +23.53% to +163.10%, win rates from 51.30% to 88.33%, and profit factors up to 11.70, with average trade durations spanning 1 day to 49 days and absolute profits reaching $40,783 in examples. These bots employ varied timeframes and risk profiles, offering real-time signals with built-in risk management. Investors can explore these for potential edge in volatile markets—visit the Trending AI Robots page to review details.
Head-to-Head Comparison
DPZ and MCD share franchise-dominated business models but diverge in focus: DPZ leverages delivery tech for pizza dominance, while MCD benefits from diversified menu and global scale. Growth drivers for DPZ include store expansion, but recent momentum has faltered with earnings shortfalls versus MCD's steadier traffic from value promotions. Risk factors tilt higher for DPZ due to its elevated beta and sensitivity to delivery trends, compared to MCD's lower volatility and sector moat. Market sentiment favors MCD for relative outperformance year-to-date and over 12 months, though DPZ offers a lower P/E trade-off.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI tools, analyzing trend consistency and relative metrics, would likely favor MCD in the current environment. Its lower beta, superior year-to-date positioning versus DPZ, and resilient franchise model provide greater stability amid QSR headwinds, with comparable analyst upside but fewer near-term catalysts risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DPZ is a Hold and MCD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DPZ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMCD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DPZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DPZ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DPZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MCD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DPZ (@Restaurants) experienced а +0.49% price change this week, while MCD (@Restaurants) price change was +0.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Restaurants industry was +1.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
DPZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
MCD is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Restaurants (+1.51% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
| DPZ | MCD | DPZ / MCD | |
| Capitalization | 10.4B | 198B | 5% |
| EBITDA | 1.04B | 15B | 7% |
| Gain YTD | -23.732 | -5.984 | 397% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.99 | 22.97 | 78% |
| Revenue | 4.98B | 27.4B | 18% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.17B | - |
| Total Debt | 5.14B | 54.9B | 9% |
DPZ | MCD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 43 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 5 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCD's Valuation (12) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as DPZ (25). This means that MCD’s stock grew similarly to DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Restaurants industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DPZ (100). This means that MCD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's SMR Rating (5) in the Restaurants industry is significantly better than the same rating for DPZ (100). This means that MCD’s stock grew significantly faster than DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as DPZ (63). This means that MCD’s stock grew similarly to DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's P/E Growth Rating (62) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as DPZ (80). This means that MCD’s stock grew similarly to DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DPZ | MCD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 35% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 39% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 44% |
Advertisement
MCD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCD has been loosely correlated with YUM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MCD jumps, then YUM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCD | 100% | -1.43% | ||
| YUM - MCD | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.28% | ||
| DPZ - MCD | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| NATH - MCD | 28% Poorly correlated | -0.19% | ||
| ARCO - MCD | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.50% | ||
| DRI - MCD | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.09% | ||
More | ||||