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DPZ vs MCD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Domino's Pizza (DPZ) vs. McDonald's (MCD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DPZ has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, with the stock rallying approximately 22% over the past month amid promotional campaigns and strategic initiatives, while MCD has traded near multi-year lows with year-to-date declines exceeding 11%.
- Both companies operate in the consumer discretionary sector with franchise-heavy models, but DPZ focuses primarily on pizza delivery and carryout, whereas MCD offers a broader quick-service restaurant portfolio including burgers and breakfast items.
- DPZ reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.19 billion, up 4.3% year-over-year, with mixed same-store sales results, contrasting with MCD's more challenged comparable sales trends and broader underperformance relative to the S&P 500.
- Risk factors for DPZ include promotional dependency and international sales softness, while MCD faces ongoing pressure from value-conscious consumers and macroeconomic headwinds affecting traffic.
- Market sentiment has favored DPZ in recent weeks due to visible catalysts, whereas MCD sentiment remains cautious pending clearer evidence of stabilization.
- Relative positioning highlights a trade-off between DPZ's higher volatility with upside potential and MCD's defensive dividend profile amid sector-wide pressures.
Introduction
This comparison examines DPZ and MCD to provide traders and investors with an objective view of their relative performance and positioning in the current market. Both stocks represent established quick-service restaurant operators with global franchise networks, making them relevant for those analyzing consumer discretionary trends, dividend strategies, or sector rotation opportunities. The analysis focuses on verifiable developments from recent market activity to assist in evaluating business models, momentum, and risk profiles without speculation.
DPZ Overview and Recent Performance
Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates a franchise-based model centered on pizza delivery and carryout, with a significant international presence. In recent market activity, the stock has shown notable resilience, rallying about 22% over the past month following Q2 2026 results that included revenue of $1.19 billion, representing a 4.3% year-over-year increase. Same-store sales were essentially flat globally, with modest U.S. growth offset by slight international declines. Key influences on sentiment include a summer promotional campaign offering 50% off menu-priced pizzas and net store additions of 209 units. Broader performance metrics indicate positive year-to-date returns, though longer-term comparisons reveal variability against broader indices.
MCD Overview and Recent Performance
McDonald's Corporation runs one of the world's largest quick-service restaurant chains, emphasizing burgers, breakfast, and value offerings through an extensive franchise system. Recent market activity has reflected ongoing challenges, with the stock trading near two-year lows and posting year-to-date declines of approximately 11.4%. Performance over the past year has also lagged, down around 10.6%, underperforming the S&P 500. Factors influencing sentiment include softer consumer traffic amid value-seeking behavior and macroeconomic pressures, with limited positive catalysts emerging in the most recent period. The company maintains a focus on operational efficiency and menu innovation to address these dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Domino's Pizza and McDonald's both rely on franchise models that generate revenue through royalties and fees, providing asset-light growth potential, yet differ in menu focus and geographic emphasis. DPZ benefits from delivery-centric operations that have gained traction in recent periods, while MCD contends with broader competitive pressures in quick-service dining. Momentum has favored DPZ amid promotional activity and store expansion, contrasting with MCD's more muted recent trajectory and positioning near support levels. Risk considerations include DPZ's exposure to promotional cycles and international volatility versus MCD's sensitivity to discretionary spending shifts. Sector exposure remains similar within consumer discretionary, but sentiment divergence reflects DPZ's clearer near-term catalysts against MCD's defensive yield appeal at lower valuations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable momentum to DPZ over MCD, citing stronger short-term price behavior and identifiable growth initiatives. MCD presents a more stable but challenged profile that may appeal in defensive scenarios. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to ongoing market conditions rather than guarantees of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DPZ is a Buy and MCD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DPZ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMCD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DPZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DPZ’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DPZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MCD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DPZ (@Restaurants) experienced а +4.35% price change this week, while MCD (@Restaurants) price change was +2.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Restaurants industry was +4.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.60%.
Reported Earning Dates
DPZ is expected to report earnings on Oct 08, 2026.
MCD is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Restaurants (+4.07% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
| DPZ | MCD | DPZ / MCD | |
| Capitalization | 11.5B | 192B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 1.05B | 15B | 7% |
| Gain YTD | -15.706 | -10.350 | 152% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.70 | 22.31 | 88% |
| Revenue | 5.03B | 27.4B | 18% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.17B | - |
| Total Debt | 5.14B | 54.9B | 9% |
DPZ | MCD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 5 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCD's Valuation (24) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as DPZ (25). This means that MCD’s stock grew similarly to DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Restaurants industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DPZ (100). This means that MCD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's SMR Rating (5) in the Restaurants industry is significantly better than the same rating for DPZ (100). This means that MCD’s stock grew significantly faster than DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
DPZ's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as MCD (59). This means that DPZ’s stock grew similarly to MCD’s over the last 12 months.
MCD's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as DPZ (79). This means that MCD’s stock grew similarly to DPZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DPZ | MCD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 36% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 39% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 36% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 7 days ago 42% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 7 days ago 43% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 50% |
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DPZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DPZ has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DPZ jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DPZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPZ | 100% | -1.37% | ||
| FRSH - DPZ | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.84% | ||
| JACK - DPZ | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.18% | ||
| WEN - DPZ | 31% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| YUMC - DPZ | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.68% | ||
| PTLO - DPZ | 28% Poorly correlated | -1.08% | ||
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MCD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCD has been loosely correlated with YUM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MCD jumps, then YUM could also see price increases.