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EMR vs SWK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Emerson Electric (EMR) vs. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EMR and SWK operate in the industrials sector but serve distinct end markets, with EMR focused on automation and process control while SWK emphasizes tools and outdoor equipment.
- As of July 31, 2026, EMR traded near $149.82 with a year-to-date return of 13.78%, outperforming the S&P 500’s 9.41% but trailing SWK’s 30.12% gain.
- SWK reported a second-quarter 2026 earnings beat, raised full-year guidance, and saw its stock deliver a 46.18% one-year return versus EMR’s 4.64%.
- EMR enters its August 4, 2026 earnings report with recent analyst upgrades citing backlog strength and long-cycle project support.
- Both companies maintain solid balance sheets and dividend histories, though EMR carries a larger market capitalization of approximately $83.9 billion compared with SWK’s $14.3 billion.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has favored SWK on earnings momentum, while EMR benefits from sector positioning in automation and software.
Introduction
Investors and traders comparing industrial stocks often seek clarity on how companies with overlapping sector exposure but different business models perform under current market conditions. EMR (Emerson Electric Co.) and SWK (Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.) provide a useful lens for evaluating relative strength in automation versus tools and outdoor products. This comparison highlights observable differences in recent price behavior, earnings trends, and market positioning that may interest portfolio managers, sector analysts, and active traders monitoring industrial cyclicality.
EMR Overview and Recent Performance
Emerson Electric Co. delivers automation solutions, measurement instrumentation, and control systems primarily for process and hybrid industries. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience supported by analyst commentary on project backlog and long-cycle opportunities. As of July 31, 2026, shares closed at $149.82, contributing to a year-to-date gain of 13.78%. Sentiment received a lift from a July analyst upgrade to Overweight, which highlighted expected second-half support from major projects. The company is scheduled to report third-quarter results on August 4, 2026, with market participants focused on revenue trends and margin dynamics amid broader industrial demand patterns.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. manufactures hand and power tools, outdoor equipment, and engineered fastening solutions across professional and consumer channels. Recent weeks featured a second-quarter earnings release that exceeded expectations, prompting management to raise full-year adjusted earnings guidance. As of July 31, 2026, the stock closed at $94.58, reflecting a year-to-date advance of 30.12% and a one-year return of 46.18%. Positive drivers included productivity improvements and tariff-related benefits, although the company noted ongoing cost pressures. The stronger recent momentum has positioned SWK ahead of broader industrial peers in relative performance terms.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EMR operates with greater scale and exposure to automation software and process industries, providing relative stability through long-cycle projects and recurring service revenue. In contrast, SWK maintains a more consumer- and construction-oriented profile within tools and outdoor segments, which has translated into sharper recent earnings momentum and higher year-to-date returns. Growth drivers differ: EMR benefits from industrial digitalization trends, while SWK has leveraged operational efficiencies and brand strength in its latest quarter. Risk factors include EMR’s sensitivity to capital expenditure cycles and SWK’s exposure to raw-material inflation and housing-related demand. Market sentiment currently reflects greater near-term optimism around SWK’s guidance raise, whereas EMR draws support from analyst upgrades tied to backlog visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings delivery, guidance revisions, and relative price momentum, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to SWK for near-term positioning. The stock’s second-quarter beat and raised outlook provide measurable catalysts that align with trend-consistency signals, while EMR offers greater scale and sector stability ahead of its earnings release. Any assessment remains conditional on evolving data and should be evaluated against individual objectives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EMR is a StrongBuy and SWK is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EMR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSWK’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EMR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SWK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EMR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SWK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EMR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SWK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EMR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +5.63% price change this week, while SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +9.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +4.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.32%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +4.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
EMR is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+4.36% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+4.80% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| EMR | SWK | EMR / SWK | |
| Capitalization | 88.3B | 15.7B | 562% |
| EBITDA | 5.05B | 1.81B | 278% |
| Gain YTD | 19.160 | 39.006 | 49% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.63 | 25.40 | 136% |
| Revenue | 18.3B | 15.2B | 120% |
| Total Cash | 1.79B | 592M | 303% |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 4.76B | 296% |
EMR | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 9 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (4) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as EMR (35) in the Electrical Products industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to EMR’s over the last 12 months.
EMR's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Electrical Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that EMR’s stock grew significantly faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
EMR's SMR Rating (64) in the Electrical Products industry is in the same range as SWK (82) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that EMR’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (9) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as EMR (25) in the Electrical Products industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to EMR’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as EMR (50) in the Electrical Products industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to EMR’s over the last 12 months.
| EMR | SWK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 20 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 66% |
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EMR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMR has been closely correlated with ROK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EMR jumps, then ROK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EMR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMR | 100% | -3.42% | ||
| ROK - EMR | 71% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| AME - EMR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| LECO - EMR | 69% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| KMT - EMR | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| NDSN - EMR | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.54% | ||
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