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EPD vs PAGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) vs. Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EPD and PAGP are large North American midstream energy operators, but EPD runs a broadly diversified system across natural gas liquids (NGLs), natural gas, crude oil, and petrochemicals, while PAGP is refocusing around crude oil logistics.
- Each stock has posted a strong year-to-date advance, with PAGP showing a higher one-year total return while EPD has leaned on record operating volumes and steady distribution growth.
- EPD offers a more diversified earnings base and a growing distribution, whereas PAGP offers a higher headline yield but a steadier payout and greater concentration in crude oil and Permian Basin flows.
- Recent catalysts differ: EPD is expanding export and processing capacity, while PAGP is divesting its Canadian NGL business and integrating the Cactus III pipeline system.
- Analyst consensus remains constructive on both, though average price targets sit above EPD's recent price and near or below PAGP's elevated share price.
- For further detail on the latest developments, visit the dedicated pages for EPD Major News and EPD Today's Price Move, as well as PAGP Major News and PAGP Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore the curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) and Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) are two prominent names in U.S. energy midstream, a sector that transports, stores, and processes hydrocarbons rather than drilling for them. Both generate largely fee-based cash flows and distribute a meaningful portion of earnings to unitholders, which makes them a natural pairing for investors focused on income and energy infrastructure. Yet their business mixes, growth priorities, and recent momentum differ in ways that can matter for portfolio positioning. This comparison is most relevant to income-oriented investors and traders evaluating relative performance, sector exposure, and risk across two widely followed midstream partnerships in the current market environment.
EPD Overview and Recent Performance
EPD, or Enterprise Products Partners L.P., is one of the largest publicly traded midstream partnerships in North America, operating pipelines, processing plants, fractionators, storage, and marine export terminals across NGLs, natural gas, crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. Recent market activity has been supported by record operating volumes across several systems, with management citing strong demand for the security and reliability of U.S. energy exports. In its most recent quarters, the partnership reported higher gross operating margin, record NGL pipeline and fractionation volumes, and record natural gas processing throughput, helped by newly commissioned Permian Basin plants and expanded export capacity. EPD has continued to raise its quarterly distribution, most recently by about 2.8% year over year, while maintaining a leverage ratio near 3.0 times and roughly $5.3 billion of major growth capital projects under construction. The stock has posted a double-digit year-to-date return, and analyst consensus remains broadly favorable with an average price target modestly above recent prices.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
PAGP, or Plains GP Holdings L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure primarily for crude oil and NGLs through its indirect investment in Plains All American Pipeline. In recent quarters, the company has advanced a strategic shift toward a more focused crude oil business, selling most of its Canadian NGL assets and redeploying the proceeds while integrating the Cactus III pipeline system. Management raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) guidance midpoint, citing optimization opportunities, tariff escalators, and stronger export demand. The stock has delivered one of the stronger one-year total returns among midstream peers and trades near its 52-week high, though its quarterly distribution has remained steady rather than growing. PAGP's profile is more concentrated around crude oil volumes and the Permian Basin, which has been a source of both momentum and concentration risk in recent weeks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI-powered trading bots, with hundreds of automated strategies that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Because not every bot suits every market regime, Tickeron curates a dedicated Trending AI Robots section highlighting only the strategies best aligned with current market conditions. These bots vary widely in trading style, timeframe, performance history, and the specific tickers they monitor, allowing users to filter by approach and risk preference rather than relying on a single generic signal. For readers comparing EPD and PAGP, exploring the Trending AI Robots page offers a way to see how data-driven systems are positioning across these and other securities.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two is diversification versus focus. EPD spreads its earnings across NGLs, natural gas, crude oil, and petrochemicals, which tends to smooth exposure to any single commodity. PAGP is deliberately narrowing its footprint toward crude oil midstream, which can amplify both upside and downside tied to crude volumes and Permian activity.
On income, EPD has a long track record of growing its distribution and currently offers a yield near the top of its peer group. PAGP carries a somewhat higher headline yield but has kept its payout flat, prioritizing balance-sheet flexibility and capital redeployment. Growth drivers also differ: EPD is investing in new processing plants and export terminals, while PAGP is capturing value through the Cactus III acquisition and NGL divestiture rather than a large greenfield buildout.
Risk profiles diverge accordingly. EPD's broader mix reduces single-commodity risk but still depends on continued export demand and project execution. PAGP's crude concentration offers clearer exposure to North American oil logistics but carries more sensitivity to crude demand trends and basin-level production, alongside transition risk as leadership and asset mix shift. On valuation, average analyst price targets remain above EPD's recent price, whereas PAGP's strong run has pushed its share price near or above its consensus target, reflecting how much optimism is already embedded in each name.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward EPD in the current environment. EPD combines a more diversified revenue base, consistent distribution growth, record operating volumes, and an analyst price target that still implies modest upside, suggesting a steadier trend with less valuation stretch. PAGP has demonstrated stronger recent momentum and a higher total return, but its share price sits near or above consensus targets and its earnings are more concentrated in crude oil, which can introduce greater volatility. Accordingly, the AI would view EPD as the comparatively more stable and consistent candidate, while acknowledging that PAGP may offer higher momentum and yield for investors comfortable with added concentration risk.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EPD is a Buy and PAGP is a Buy.
EPD in +5.06% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 29, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where EPD advanced for three days, in 178 of 400 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EPD as a result. In 37 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 41%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EPD just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where EPD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
EPD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 112 of 364 cases where EPD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 31%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EPD moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 41%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EPD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.
EPD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EPD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.664) is normal, around the industry mean (160.809). P/E Ratio (12.931) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.302) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.060) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.424) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
Momentum Indicator for PAGP turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PAGP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 51 of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAGP just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAGP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
PAGP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PAGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAGP advanced for three days, in 256 of 389 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 224 of 351 cases where PAGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAGP moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 67 cases where PAGP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
PAGP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.441) is normal, around the industry mean (160.809). P/E Ratio (9.846) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.061) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
EPD | PAGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (33) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as EPD (50). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to EPD’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as EPD (3). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to EPD’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's SMR Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as EPD (45). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to EPD’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as EPD (44). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to EPD’s over the last 12 months.
EPD's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAGP (95). This means that EPD’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
| EPD | PAGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 25% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 44% | 6 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 30% | 1 day ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 31% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 31% | 1 day ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EPD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while PAGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- EPD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EPD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAGP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EPD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EPD (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +2.47% price change this week, while PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -3.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -2.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
EPD is expected to report earnings on Feb 03, 2027.
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-2.55% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | -3.24% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 59% Loosely correlated | -3.63% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 57% Loosely correlated | -6.43% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.71% | ||
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