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PAA vs PAGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) vs. Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PAA is the operating master limited partnership (MLP) that directly owns and runs crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) midstream infrastructure, while PAGP is the general-partner holding company whose economic interest is tied to that same underlying business.
- Both securities have delivered strong year-to-date and one-year total returns, supported by a completed Canadian NGL divestiture, higher Permian crude capital spending, and steady quarterly distributions.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: PAGP is the current ticker of choice, reflecting its structurally higher leverage to cash-flow growth through incentive distribution rights and a marginally stronger relative trend profile.
- For more detail on each name's headline developments and intraday moves, visit the PAA Major News and PAA Today's Price Move pages, along with the PAGP Major News and PAGP Today's Price Move pages.
- To see how algorithmic strategies are positioning across this pair and thousands of other tickers, explore the curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Plains All American Pipeline and Plains GP Holdings are two securities tied to the same midstream energy franchise, which makes their comparison both intuitive and instructive. PAA is the publicly traded operating partnership that gathers, transports, stores, and terminals crude oil and natural gas liquids across the United States and Canada. PAGP is the holding vehicle that owns the general-partner interest in that partnership. Because they share one underlying business yet offer different capital structures, yield profiles, and sensitivities to cash-flow growth, this stock comparison is especially relevant to income-focused investors and energy-sector traders evaluating relative performance and market positioning.
PAA Overview and Recent Performance
PAA (Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.) operates one of the largest crude oil and NGL midstream networks in North America, spanning gathering, pipeline transportation, terminalling, and storage. In recent market activity, the units have been among the stronger performers in the midstream group, supported by improving Permian Basin fundamentals and disciplined capital allocation. The company completed the sale of its Canadian NGL business for roughly US$3.3 billion in net proceeds, using the cash to reduce debt and simplify its profile toward core crude oil operations. Management also raised its 2026 guidance and lifted its budget for Permian crude projects by nearly 30% as pipeline egress tightened. Analysts have responded with a series of price-target increases, and the quarterly distribution has remained steady at US$0.4175 per unit. These catalysts have underpinned a notable year-to-date advance and a dividend yield in the low-to-mid single digits.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
PAGP (Plains GP Holdings, L.P.) is the general-partner holding company whose value is driven by its interest in Plains All American Pipeline's general partner. As a result, its economics are closely aligned with, but not identical to, those of PAA. In recent weeks, PAGP shares have posted a strong year-to-date and one-year total return, trading near the upper end of their 52-week range. The same catalysts that benefited the operating partnership — the Canadian NGL divestiture, debt reduction, raised guidance, and steady US$0.4175 distributions — have also supported the holding company. Because PAGP captures a disproportionate share of incremental cash flow through incentive distribution rights, its performance can amplify both the upside and downside of the underlying business, a characteristic that has contributed to its recent momentum.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of the platform's algorithmic trading bots. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, yet only the most suitable strategies for current market conditions earn a place in this featured section. Each bot operates with its own trading style, timeframe, performance statistics, and universe of tickers, ranging from swing and day-trading strategies to longer-horizon trend-following systems. Because no two bots are identical, the section helps users filter for approaches that align with their objectives and risk tolerance. Readers comparing PAA and PAGP can browse the Trending AI Robots to see which algorithmic strategies are currently active across the energy complex.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most important structural distinction is ownership design. PAA is the operating MLP that pays distributions directly to unitholders and carries the day-to-day operational and commodity-price exposure. PAGP is a general-partner holding company that derives its value from incentive distribution rights, giving it higher financial leverage to growth in the partnership's distributable cash flow. On valuation, PAA trades at a lower price-to-earnings multiple and offers a higher headline yield, while PAGP carries a smaller market capitalization, a lower beta, and a somewhat more elevated valuation relative to its own analyst targets. Both remain sensitive to crude oil volumes, Permian egress dynamics, and broader energy-sector sentiment. The key trade-off is therefore straightforward: PAA offers direct income exposure to the operating assets, whereas PAGP offers a more concentrated, higher-gearing claim on the same cash-flow stream.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, stability, catalyst alignment, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor PAGP over PAA. The preference reflects PAGP's structurally higher sensitivity to the partnership's improving cash-flow trajectory, its lower beta suggesting steadier price behavior, and its sustained relative momentum alongside the completed divestiture and deleveraging program. That said, this is a probabilistic read rather than a definitive forecast: the two securities are highly correlated, and PAA's higher direct yield and lower valuation multiple represent meaningful counterweights. Investors should weigh these characteristics against their own objectives before drawing conclusions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAA is a StrongBuy and PAGP is a Buy.
PAA in +1.23% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PAA advanced for three days, in 253 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAA as a result. In 51 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAA just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
PAA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PAA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 240 of 375 cases where PAA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAA moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 58 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 48%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
PAA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.635) is normal, around the industry mean (160.809). P/E Ratio (7.111) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.352) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.065) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.343) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for PAGP turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PAGP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 51 of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAGP just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAGP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
PAGP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PAGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAGP advanced for three days, in 256 of 389 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 224 of 351 cases where PAGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAGP moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 67 cases where PAGP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
PAGP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.441) is normal, around the industry mean (160.809). P/E Ratio (9.846) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.061) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
PAA | PAGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 39 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (33) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (47). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (2). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's SMR Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (39). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (38). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (95). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
| PAA | PAGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PAGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- PAA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAGP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PAGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PAA (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -2.89% price change this week, while PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -3.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -2.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAA is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-2.55% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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PAA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAA has been closely correlated with PAGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAA jumps, then PAGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAA | 100% | -3.17% | ||
| PAGP - PAA | 96% Closely correlated | -3.24% | ||
| AM - PAA | 77% Closely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| WES - PAA | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.71% | ||
| TRGP - PAA | 56% Loosely correlated | -6.43% | ||
| ET - PAA | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.73% | ||
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | -3.24% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 59% Loosely correlated | -3.63% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 57% Loosely correlated | -6.43% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.71% | ||
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