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PAA vs PAGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) vs. Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PAA and PAGP are closely linked entities in the midstream energy sector, with PAGP serving as the general partner of PAA.
- Both companies reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter 2026 results and raised full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance amid favorable oil market conditions.
- Recent quarterly distribution announcements reflect stable cash flow generation and a focus on returning capital to unitholders.
- PAA offers direct exposure to pipeline and storage operations, while PAGP provides leveraged participation through its general partner interest.
- Market sentiment remains constructive following updated capital spending guidance and positive macro tailwinds in the energy midstream space.
- Relative performance has been influenced by broader sector trends rather than company-specific divergences in the recent period.
Introduction
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) and Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) represent interconnected investment vehicles within the U.S. midstream energy infrastructure sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent operational updates, and market positioning to assist institutional and retail investors evaluating midstream exposure. Traders and long-term holders interested in stable distributions, energy volume trends, and general-partner economics may find the analysis particularly relevant amid evolving commodity price environments and capital allocation decisions.
PAA Overview and Recent Performance
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) operates an extensive network of crude oil and natural gas liquids pipelines, storage facilities, and terminals across key North American production basins. In recent weeks, the partnership benefited from constructive oil macro conditions that supported volume growth and margin expansion. First-quarter 2026 results, released in May, exceeded expectations and prompted an upward revision to full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance, reflecting stronger contributions from natural gas liquids activities. Updated capital spending plans announced in mid-June further underscored management’s confidence in organic growth opportunities. Distribution declarations in early July reinforced the partnership’s commitment to unitholder returns, with sentiment supported by steady operational execution rather than isolated events.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) functions as the general partner of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA), holding incentive distribution rights and a direct ownership stake that provides economic leverage to the underlying midstream assets. Recent performance has mirrored developments at the operating partnership, including the May 2026 earnings release and subsequent guidance increase. Capital spending updates and quarterly distribution announcements in June and July highlighted aligned incentives between the two entities. Market activity in recent weeks has reflected the general partner’s higher sensitivity to cash flow improvements at PAA, while broader sector sentiment influenced relative price behavior without material divergence in fundamentals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PAA delivers direct operational exposure to midstream infrastructure, generating fee-based revenues from volume throughput and storage services that tend to exhibit lower volatility. In contrast, PAGP’s general partner structure introduces leverage through incentive distributions, amplifying returns in strong environments but also heightening sensitivity to distribution coverage ratios. Both entities share identical sector exposure and benefit from the same volume and pricing tailwinds; however, PAGP typically trades at a valuation premium reflecting its economic upside. Recent momentum has been broadly comparable, driven by the same earnings catalysts and macro factors, while risk considerations center on commodity price sensitivity and regulatory developments affecting pipeline assets. Market sentiment has remained aligned, with limited differentiation beyond structural trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent earnings momentum, stability of distribution coverage, and positive macro positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to PAA for investors prioritizing direct asset exposure and lower structural leverage. PAGP may appeal more to those seeking amplified participation in favorable conditions. This assessment reflects relative positioning within the observed period and remains subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAA is a Buy and PAGP is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePAGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- PAA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAGP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PAA (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +0.30% price change this week, while PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +0.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +3.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+3.45% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| PAA | PAGP | PAA / PAGP | |
| Capitalization | 16.6B | 5.05B | 329% |
| EBITDA | 2.91B | 2.81B | 103% |
| Gain YTD | 36.947 | 38.595 | 96% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.05 | 72.83 | 28% |
| Revenue | 45.3B | 45.3B | 100% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 11.6B | 11.6B | 100% |
PAA | PAGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAA's Valuation (5) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (9). This means that PAA’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (4). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (74). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (45). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is significantly better than the same rating for PAA (81). This means that PAGP’s stock grew significantly faster than PAA’s over the last 12 months.
| PAA | PAGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 67% | 16 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 49% | 9 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 65% |
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PAA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAA has been closely correlated with PAGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAA jumps, then PAGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAA | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| PAGP - PAA | 97% Closely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| AM - PAA | 77% Closely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| WES - PAA | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| TRGP - PAA | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| ET - PAA | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | +0.16% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 97% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
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