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OKE vs PAGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ONEOK (OKE) vs. Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different midstream focuses: OKE is diversified across natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), refined products, and crude, while PAGP is increasingly concentrated in crude oil logistics following recent asset divestitures.
- Relative performance: PAGP has posted stronger year-to-date momentum (roughly 37%), while OKE has gained about 27% over the same stretch, reflecting divergent catalysts.
- Scale and reach: OKE carries a much larger market capitalization (near $58 billion) than PAGP (roughly $20 billion), giving it a broader integrated asset base.
- Growth strategies differ: OKE is expanding through acquisitions such as the Brazos Midstream Permian assets, while PAGP is simplifying toward a pure-play crude franchise and paying down debt.
- Income profiles: Both return cash to shareholders, but PAGP currently offers a higher indicated distribution yield, while OKE has been raising its dividend steadily.
- For deeper coverage of these names, explore OKE Major News and OKE Today's Price Move, as well as PAGP Major News and PAGP Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven systems are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors evaluating U.S. midstream energy exposure frequently weigh OKE and PAGP against one another. Both operate critical pipeline, gathering, processing, and storage infrastructure, yet they emphasize different parts of the hydrocarbon value chain. This stock comparison is most relevant for income-oriented investors, energy-sector allocators, and traders assessing relative performance and market positioning between a diversified midstream operator and a crude-focused logistics franchise. Understanding how each company's business model, growth catalysts, and risk profile differ can help readers form a clearer, data-driven view of where these two names stand in the current market environment.
OKE Overview and Recent Performance
ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) is a diversified midstream service provider that gathers, processes, fractionates, transports, stores, and exports natural gas and natural gas liquids, while also operating refined products and crude segments. The company has expanded aggressively through acquisition in recent years, most notably completing the roughly $4.4 billion purchase of Brazos Midstream's Permian Midland Basin natural gas gathering and processing assets.
In recent weeks, OKE has drawn attention for repeatedly raising its full-year financial guidance amid stronger volumes and project start-ups. Its recent quarterly results beat analyst expectations, and management lifted 2026 net income and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) midpoints while keeping capital spending disciplined. The stock has gained roughly 27% year-to-date and trades within a 52-week range of about $64 to just under $100. Sentiment has been supported by fee-based cash flows, a steadily rising dividend, and the promise of integration synergies, though tighter commodity spreads and an elevated debt load remain watch items.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure primarily for crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas through its indirect investment in Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. The company has been repositioning itself as a more focused crude oil logistics platform, selling most of its Canadian NGL assets and redeploying proceeds to reduce debt and fund higher-return Permian growth projects.
In recent market activity, PAGP has posted strong relative performance, gaining roughly 37% year-to-date and reaching a 52-week range of about $17 to just under $29. Its recent quarterly results showed sharply higher net income versus the prior-year period, and management raised adjusted EBITDA guidance while reducing leverage toward the lower end of its target range. The company has also maintained a steady quarterly distribution, which currently supports an indicated yield in the mid-single digits. Sentiment has been shaped by crude market strength, Permian basin activity, and the company's balance-sheet improvement, while concentration in crude and Permian exposure represents the principal risk consideration.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of tickers, each built with distinct trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance statistics, and target ticker lists. Because market conditions shift, only a subset of these bots is well-suited to the current environment at any given time. Tickeron curates the most relevant and best-performing of these systems into a dedicated section, allowing traders to focus on the strategies that align with today's trends rather than sifting through the full catalog. The Trending AI Robots page showcases these selected bots, highlighting their approach and performance so users can compare options across different asset types and horizons. Readers interested in seeing how automated systems are currently positioned may find this curated view a useful starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is focus versus diversification. OKE operates an integrated system spanning natural gas, NGLs, refined products, and crude, which can smooth earnings across commodity cycles but also exposes it to a wider set of operational and integration variables. PAGP, by contrast, is narrowing toward a crude-centric model concentrated in the Permian, which may sharpen its sensitivity to oil-linked activity but has also supported a simpler, more efficient capital story.
On growth, OKE has leaned heavily on mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and organic project completions, funded in part by rising debt and a notable nonvoting equity investment. PAGP has taken the opposite path, divesting non-core assets, paying down leverage, and funding targeted expansions. From a momentum standpoint, PAGP has outperformed on a year-to-date basis, while OKE offers greater scale and a longer dividend-growth track record. Risk profiles also differ: OKE carries a larger debt load and integration risk, whereas PAGP faces concentration risk in crude and the Permian basin.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability, and catalyst visibility, Tickeron's AI framework would likely lean toward PAGP in the current environment. Its stronger year-to-date momentum, improving balance sheet, and focused crude franchise offer a comparatively cleaner catalyst path, and its lower leverage reduces one of the key risks that weighs on OKE. That said, OKE's diversification, scale, and steady dividend growth provide attributes that could be favored under different market conditions. As with any probabilistic AI assessment, the relative ranking reflects current trend and positioning data and can shift as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is OKE is a Hold and PAGP is a Hold.
OKE sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
OKE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 04, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OKE as a result. In 49 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
OKE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for OKE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OKE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OKE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OKE advanced for three days, in 251 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
OKE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 248 cases where OKE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock slightly worse than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OKE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.341) is normal, around the industry mean (147.140). P/E Ratio (14.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.511). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.674) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.050) settles around the average of (15719315456.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.487) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
Momentum Indicator for PAGP turns negative, indicating new downward trend
PAGP saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 76 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PAGP turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.
PAGP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for PAGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAGP advanced for three days, in 256 of 389 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
PAGP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 237 of 351 cases where PAGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.229) is normal, around the industry mean (147.140). P/E Ratio (9.240) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.511). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.065) settles around the average of (15719315456.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
OKE | PAGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (35) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (62). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OKE (48). This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than OKE’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's SMR Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (53). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (51). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
OKE's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is significantly better than the same rating for PAGP (93). This means that OKE’s stock grew significantly faster than PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
| OKE | PAGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 14 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
OKE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PAGP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- OKE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PAGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
OKE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAGP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- OKE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PAGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
OKE (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -4.97% price change this week, while PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -7.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -0.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
OKE is expected to report earnings on Mar 01, 2027.
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Feb 05, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-0.79% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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OKE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OKE has been closely correlated with TRGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OKE jumps, then TRGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OKE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKE | 100% | +1.62% | ||
| TRGP - OKE | 75% Closely correlated | +2.81% | ||
| KMI - OKE | 74% Closely correlated | +2.03% | ||
| PBA - OKE | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| ET - OKE | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
| PAGP - OKE | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 97% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.81% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.34% | ||
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