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PAGP vs TRGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) vs. Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both PAGP and TRGP operate in the midstream energy sector, but TRGP focuses more on natural gas processing while PAGP emphasizes crude oil transportation.
- TRGP has outperformed with a year-to-date (YTD) return of approximately 39% compared to PAGP's 29% as of early May 2026.
- PAGP offers a higher dividend yield of about 6.7%, appealing to income-focused investors, versus TRGP's 1.7% (post recent increase).
- Recent market activity shows TRGP hitting new highs amid a 25% dividend hike and Permian expansion plans, boosting sentiment.
- PAGP maintains stability with lower beta (0.46), reflecting less volatility than TRGP (0.74).
- Market caps differ significantly: TRGP at $54.7B versus PAGP at $5.6B, indicating scale advantages for TRGP.
Introduction
Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) and Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) are prominent midstream energy companies providing critical infrastructure for oil and natural gas transport and processing. This stock comparison is relevant for energy sector investors seeking exposure to stable cash flows from pipelines and logistics amid fluctuating commodity prices. Traders may find value in evaluating their relative performance, dividend profiles, and growth catalysts in the current market environment, particularly with Permian Basin activity driving demand. Understanding these dynamics aids in portfolio diversification and informed positioning in midstream relative performance.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) owns and operates midstream infrastructure through its subsidiary Plains All American Pipeline, focusing on crude oil gathering, transportation via pipelines, trucks, and rail, as well as natural gas liquids (NGL) logistics. In recent market activity, PAGP shares have traded steadily around $23-24, reflecting resilience with a YTD gain of 29% and one-year return exceeding 44%. Sentiment has been supported by quarterly distribution announcements and strategic moves like a $3.75B Canadian NGL business sale and crude oil asset acquisitions, alongside cost-saving initiatives. These developments, combined with solid crude volumes, have bolstered investor confidence despite minor pullbacks in recent weeks.
TRGP Overview and Recent Performance
Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) is a leading midstream provider offering natural gas gathering, processing, NGL fractionation, and transportation services, with significant operations in the Permian Basin. Shares have shown strong momentum in recent weeks, reaching new 52-week highs near $260 before settling around $254, driven by a YTD return of about 39%. Key influences include a 25% quarterly dividend increase to $1.25 per share and plans for Permian expansion, signaling management optimism amid rising gas volumes. Positive analyst updates and upcoming Q1 earnings have further enhanced market positioning, though shares experienced a slight dip from peaks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, PAGP, as the general partner of an MLP structure, generates fee-based revenues from crude oil transport, providing predictable cash flows but exposing it to volume fluctuations. TRGP, a C-corporation, diversifies across gas processing and NGLs with higher growth potential from Permian demand. Growth drivers favor TRGP's expansion capex versus PAGP's asset sales for focus. Recent momentum tilts to TRGP with superior YTD gains and highs, while PAGP offers stability (lower beta). Risk factors include commodity sensitivity for both, but PAGP's higher leverage (debt/equity ~81%) contrasts TRGP's scale. Sector exposure overlaps in Permian, yet sentiment leans positive for TRGP on dividend growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently lean toward TRGP based on stronger trend consistency, higher YTD returns, recent dividend hike as a confidence signal, and Permian catalysts positioning it favorably relative to PAGP's steady but lower-momentum profile. However, PAGP remains attractive for yield seekers in stable conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAGP is a Hold and TRGP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAGP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTRGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TRGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAGP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRGP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAGP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TRGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -3.14% price change this week, while TRGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -1.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
TRGP is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+0.97% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| PAGP | TRGP | PAGP / TRGP | |
| Capitalization | 4.64B | 54.8B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 2.82B | 5.22B | 54% |
| Gain YTD | 27.197 | 39.686 | 69% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.45 | 26.06 | 117% |
| Revenue | 44.3B | 16.6B | 267% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 100M | - |
| Total Debt | 11.5B | 19.1B | 60% |
PAGP | TRGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 40 | 23 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (9) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRGP (47) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (9) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's SMR Rating (15) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PAGP (46) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PAGP (43) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRGP (67) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
| PAGP | TRGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 54% | 24 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 74% |
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | -0.26% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| ET - PAGP | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
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TRGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRGP has been closely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRGP jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRGP | 100% | +0.78% | ||
| OKE - TRGP | 72% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| KNTK - TRGP | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
| PAA - TRGP | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| VNOM - TRGP | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.20% | ||
| PAGP - TRGP | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.26% | ||
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