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PAGP vs TRGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) vs. Targa Resources (TRGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PAGP and TRGP are both midstream energy companies focused on natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil infrastructure.
- TRGP has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 54% compared to PAGP’s more moderate gains amid similar sector tailwinds.
- Recent analyst activity includes price target increases for both stocks, reflecting confidence in midstream fundamentals and capital spending plans.
- TRGP reported record first-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA and raised its dividend, while PAGP updated 2026 capital expenditure guidance upward following asset optimization moves.
- TRGP trades near its 52-week high with larger market capitalization and broader analyst coverage relative to PAGP.
- Sector exposure to energy infrastructure provides both names with exposure to commodity price stability and volume growth, though TRGP shows greater recent momentum in performance metrics.
Introduction
Midstream energy infrastructure companies play a critical role in transporting and processing natural gas, natural gas liquids, and crude oil. PAGP and TRGP represent two established players in this space, offering investors exposure to stable fee-based revenues and growth tied to production volumes. This comparison examines their recent stock performance, business models, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the energy sector. The analysis draws on observable market data and company developments over recent weeks to highlight key contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) serves as the general partner of Plains All American Pipeline, operating extensive midstream assets focused on crude oil transportation, storage, and related services primarily in the United States. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around the $26 level, reflecting gains from earlier 2026 levels amid broader energy sector interest. Developments such as updated 2026 capital spending guidance and the completion of a Canadian NGL business divestiture have shaped sentiment by streamlining operations toward core crude-focused activities. Analyst commentary in recent weeks has included several price target revisions upward, supporting a neutral-to-positive tone without dramatic shifts in positioning.
TRGP Overview and Recent Performance
Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) operates a large-scale midstream network handling natural gas gathering, processing, and NGL fractionation and transportation across key U.S. basins. The stock recently closed near $281, maintaining proximity to its 52-week high following strong year-to-date appreciation exceeding 50%. Record first-quarter 2026 financial results, including elevated adjusted EBITDA, alongside a dividend increase and ongoing share repurchases, have contributed to sustained investor interest. Recent analyst notes have highlighted operational scale and growth capital plans, with the name exhibiting consistent outperformance relative to broader market benchmarks during the period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate in the midstream energy sector, yet TRGP maintains a larger operational footprint in natural gas and NGL processing, while PAGP emphasizes crude oil logistics and has recently optimized its portfolio through divestitures. Growth drivers for TRGP include volume expansion and infrastructure investments, contrasted with PAGP’s focus on capital discipline and asset rationalization. Recent momentum favors TRGP, which has posted markedly higher returns and trades closer to peak levels. Risk factors for both include commodity price volatility and regulatory considerations affecting energy infrastructure, though TRGP’s scale may provide greater resilience. Market sentiment, as reflected in analyst revisions, remains constructive for the pair, with TRGP drawing broader attention due to its performance trajectory.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger recent price appreciation, proximity to highs, and consistent operational highlights, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to TRGP over PAGP for relative positioning in the current environment. Trend consistency and sector momentum appear more pronounced for TRGP, though outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and individual portfolio considerations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAGP is a Buy and TRGP is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAGP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTRGP’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TRGP’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAGP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRGP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TRGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +1.13% price change this week, while TRGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -3.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -0.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
TRGP is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-0.80% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| PAGP | TRGP | PAGP / TRGP | |
| Capitalization | 5.21B | 58B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 2.81B | 5.22B | 54% |
| Gain YTD | 45.098 | 48.705 | 93% |
| P/E Ratio | 33.76 | 27.62 | 122% |
| Revenue | 45.3B | 16.6B | 273% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 100M | - |
| Total Debt | 11.6B | 19.1B | 61% |
PAGP | TRGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 32 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 19 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (9) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (32) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (7) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's SMR Rating (15) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAGP (57) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PAGP (39) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRGP (63) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
| PAGP | TRGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 5 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 76% |
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | +0.62% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.04% | ||
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TRGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRGP has been closely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRGP jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRGP | 100% | +1.23% | ||
| OKE - TRGP | 73% Closely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| KMI - TRGP | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| WMB - TRGP | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| PAGP - TRGP | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| KNTK - TRGP | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
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