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ESTC vs SNOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Elastic (ESTC) vs. Snowflake (SNOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Elastic (ESTC) delivered stronger recent earnings momentum with a 15% year-over-year revenue increase to $478 million and raised full-year guidance, triggering a sharp stock rally.
- Snowflake (SNOW) maintains robust top-line growth near 30% annually with a market capitalization exceeding $113 billion, supported by ongoing AI product adoption.
- ESTC shares reached new 52-week highs above $100 following its latest results, while SNOW trades near $328 amid steady sector sentiment and an upcoming earnings release.
- Both companies operate in the data and analytics space with significant exposure to artificial intelligence workloads, though Elastic emphasizes search and observability while Snowflake focuses on cloud data warehousing.
- Recent market activity shows ESTC exhibiting higher short-term volatility and outperformance relative to SNOW’s more measured gains in the past several weeks.
- Risk factors include execution on AI initiatives for both, with Snowflake noting margin pressure from lower-gross-margin AI products.
Introduction
Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) represent two prominent players in the enterprise data and analytics sector, each leveraging artificial intelligence to differentiate their platforms. This comparison examines their recent stock performance, business positioning, and market sentiment in the current environment. Investors and traders focused on technology growth stocks, particularly those tracking AI-driven data solutions, may find this analysis relevant for assessing relative opportunities and risks. The review draws on observable financial results and trading patterns from recent market activity to provide a balanced perspective without forward-looking speculation.
ESTC Overview and Recent Performance
Elastic (ESTC) provides search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elasticsearch platform, increasingly incorporating artificial intelligence features to help customers derive insights from data. In its most recent quarter ended July 31, 2026, the company reported total revenue of $478 million, up 15% year over year, with subscription revenue also advancing 15%. Adjusted earnings per share reached $0.70, exceeding consensus estimates, and management raised full-year revenue guidance to approximately $2 billion while lifting adjusted earnings per share outlook. These results, driven by AI use-case adoption and customer expansion, prompted a significant stock advance of more than 20% in subsequent trading, establishing new 52-week highs. Broader recent market activity has reflected positive sentiment around the company’s execution on growth initiatives.
SNOW Overview and Recent Performance
Snowflake (SNOW) operates a cloud-based data platform that enables organizations to store, analyze, and share data, with expanding artificial intelligence capabilities including Cortex tools and dynamic model routing. The company has sustained revenue growth near 30% annually, reaching $4.68 billion in fiscal 2026, while reporting narrower net losses in recent periods. Shares have traded around $328 in recent sessions, contributing to year-to-date gains near 50%. Recent developments highlight continued focus on AI features to improve cost efficiency for customers. With its second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings scheduled for early September 2026, market attention remains on demand trends and margin dynamics amid competitive pressures in the data cloud space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) both serve enterprise customers seeking to manage and analyze large datasets, yet their core offerings differ: Elastic centers on search-powered observability and security with AI enhancements, while Snowflake provides a scalable cloud data warehouse optimized for analytics and AI workloads. Growth drivers for ESTC include expanding AI customer adoption and subscription momentum, whereas SNOW benefits from product revenue acceleration tied to its Cortex platform. Recent momentum favors ESTC following its earnings beat and guidance raise, contrasted with SNOW’s steadier performance ahead of its own report. Risk factors encompass execution challenges in a competitive AI landscape for both, with SNOW noting potential margin impacts from newer AI offerings. Sector exposure remains similar in software and data infrastructure, though market sentiment has shown greater near-term reactivity to ESTC’s results in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, upward guidance revisions, and positive price reaction, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Elastic (ESTC) over Snowflake (SNOW) for relative positioning in the near term. The strength of ESTC’s latest results and resulting trend stability provide a clearer signal compared to SNOW’s awaiting catalyst. This assessment reflects data-driven analysis of trend consistency and catalyst impact rather than any guarantee of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESTC is a Hold and SNOW is a Hold.
| ESTC | SNOW | ESTC / SNOW | |
| Capitalization | 8.93B | 117B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 18.4M | -813.42M | -2% |
| Gain YTD | 12.712 | 50.903 | 25% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.29 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 1.8B | 5.44B | 33% |
| Total Cash | 1.46B | 2.35B | 62% |
| Total Debt | 596M | 2.76B | 22% |
ESTC | SNOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESTC's Valuation (73) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SNOW (92) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew similarly to SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
SNOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ESTC (100) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that SNOW’s stock grew similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's SMR Rating (31) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for SNOW (98) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew significantly faster than SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
SNOW's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ESTC (39) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that SNOW’s stock grew similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for SNOW (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew significantly faster than SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
| ESTC | SNOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 78% | 7 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 3 days ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESTC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SNOW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ESTC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SNOW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESTC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SNOW’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SNOW’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ESTC (@Packaged Software) experienced а -1.79% price change this week, while SNOW (@Packaged Software) price change was -0.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +0.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESTC is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
SNOW is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (+0.20% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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SNOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SNOW has been closely correlated with MDB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SNOW jumps, then MDB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SNOW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| MDB - SNOW | 67% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| COIN - SNOW | 63% Loosely correlated | -4.42% | ||
| NET - SNOW | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| CLSK - SNOW | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| ESTC - SNOW | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.15% | ||
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