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ESTC vs SNOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Elastic (ESTC) vs. Snowflake (SNOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) both operate in the data and artificial intelligence ecosystem but serve distinct roles: Elastic focuses on search and observability, while Snowflake emphasizes cloud data warehousing and analytics.
- Recent market activity shows ESTC trading near $55 with notable year-over-year declines, ahead of its fiscal Q4 earnings release scheduled for May 28, 2026.
- SNOW has experienced sharper year-to-date pressure in 2026, trading around $172 amid broader software sector rotation, despite consistent revenue expansion in its core product offerings.
- Both companies highlight AI-driven product enhancements, with Elastic introducing multimodal embedding models and Snowflake advancing its AI Data Cloud capabilities.
- Relative performance reflects differing investor sentiment toward growth sustainability and valuation multiples in the current environment.
- Short-term technical indicators from comparative analyses suggest stronger momentum signals for ESTC versus a more neutral stance on SNOW.
Introduction
Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) represent two prominent players in the technology sector where data management intersects with artificial intelligence applications. Investors and traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure often evaluate these names side-by-side due to their complementary yet differentiated offerings in search, observability, and cloud data platforms. This comparison provides a factual overview of business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning to assist those assessing relative opportunities within the software and cloud computing space. The analysis draws on observable developments from recent weeks without projecting future outcomes.
ESTC Overview and Recent Performance
Elastic N.V. develops search-powered solutions for data ingestion, analysis, and visualization, with growing emphasis on AI-enabled search capabilities. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in the mid-$50 range, reflecting a substantial decline from 52-week highs near $96. Performance over the trailing year shows notable weakness amid broader sector rotation. Key influences include anticipation surrounding the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results, set for release after market close on May 28, 2026. Recent product updates, such as the launch of multimodal embedding models supporting text, image, audio, and video, have contributed to discussions around its positioning in AI search workflows. Sentiment appears tempered by valuation considerations and macroeconomic factors affecting growth-oriented technology equities.
SNOW Overview and Recent Performance
Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform designed for storage, processing, and analytics at scale, with expanding integration of artificial intelligence tools. In recent weeks, shares have fluctuated around the $170 level, marking a meaningful year-to-date decline in 2026. The company has reported continued product revenue growth, supported by AI-related workloads and customer expansions. Market reaction has incorporated broader concerns regarding software sector valuations and consumption-based revenue dynamics. Analyst commentary has included a mix of rating affirmations and price target revisions, while upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 results remain a focal point. Overall positioning reflects resilience in core metrics alongside sensitivity to shifts in investor appetite for high-growth cloud names.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) differ fundamentally in their core value propositions. Elastic centers on real-time search and observability across structured and unstructured data, whereas Snowflake specializes in scalable cloud data warehousing and analytics with consumption-based pricing. Growth drivers for ESTC include AI search enhancements and enterprise adoption of its platform, while SNOW benefits from expanding data workloads and AI integrations within its ecosystem. Recent momentum has favored neither uniformly, with ESTC showing relative stability in short-term technical signals and SNOW facing more pronounced valuation compression. Risk factors encompass execution on AI roadmaps for both, alongside exposure to technology spending cycles. Sector overlap exists in cloud and data infrastructure, yet market sentiment appears more cautious toward consumption-model businesses amid shifting multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, relative technical positioning, and recent catalysts such as product launches and earnings timing, Tickeron’s AI framework currently assigns a higher probability of favorable short-term characteristics to Elastic (ESTC) compared with Snowflake (SNOW). This assessment reflects comparative stability signals rather than absolute outperformance expectations and remains subject to evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESTC is a Hold and SNOW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESTC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSNOW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ESTC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SNOW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESTC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SNOW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SNOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ESTC (@Packaged Software) experienced а -5.73% price change this week, while SNOW (@Packaged Software) price change was -5.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -1.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESTC is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
SNOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-1.58% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ESTC | SNOW | ESTC / SNOW | |
| Capitalization | 6.13B | 79.9B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 38.4M | -936.8M | -4% |
| Gain YTD | -22.150 | 3.296 | -672% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.12 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 1.68B | 5.03B | 33% |
| Total Cash | 1.25B | 2.96B | 42% |
| Total Debt | 592M | 2.77B | 21% |
ESTC | SNOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESTC's Valuation (73) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SNOW (92) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew similarly to SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SNOW (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew similarly to SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's SMR Rating (95) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SNOW (99) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew similarly to SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
SNOW's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ESTC (58) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that SNOW’s stock grew similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SNOW (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
| ESTC | SNOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 75% | 13 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
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ESTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESTC has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ESTC jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESTC | 100% | -0.41% | ||
| COIN - ESTC | 66% Closely correlated | +0.97% | ||
| CLSK - ESTC | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| DT - ESTC | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| CRM - ESTC | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| SNOW - ESTC | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.45% | ||
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SNOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SNOW has been closely correlated with MDB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SNOW jumps, then MDB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SNOW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | 100% | -2.45% | ||
| MDB - SNOW | 67% Closely correlated | -4.08% | ||
| COIN - SNOW | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.97% | ||
| NET - SNOW | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
| CLSK - SNOW | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| ESTC - SNOW | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.41% | ||
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