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ESTC vs SNOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Elastic (ESTC) vs. Snowflake (SNOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) both operate in the data and analytics sector with exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing trends, yet they target distinct use cases—search and observability versus cloud data warehousing.
- Over recent weeks, ESTC has shown resilience with year-to-date returns near 18%, supported by fiscal 2026 revenue growth of 17% and new observability features.
- SNOW has posted stronger year-to-date gains around 22%, driven by AI Data Cloud adoption, strategic partnerships, and analyst price target increases.
- Both stocks trade above their 200-day moving averages amid broader technology sector momentum, though ESTC carries a lower valuation multiple compared with SNOW.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for data infrastructure names, with relative performance influenced by earnings delivery and AI-related catalysts rather than macroeconomic shifts alone.
Introduction
Elastic (ESTC) and Snowflake (SNOW) represent two prominent publicly traded companies in the expanding data management and analytics space. Investors and traders focused on technology growth stocks often evaluate these names together because both benefit from increasing enterprise demand for scalable data solutions and artificial intelligence applications. This comparison highlights differences in business models, recent price behavior, and positioning within the current market environment to assist those assessing relative opportunities in the software and cloud infrastructure sector.
ESTC Overview and Recent Performance
Elastic N.V. provides search, observability, and security solutions built on its open-source Elasticsearch platform. The company reported fiscal 2026 full-year revenue of $1.739 billion, reflecting 17% year-over-year growth, with the fourth quarter contributing $451 million, up 16%. In recent market activity, ESTC shares have traded near $62, delivering year-to-date returns of approximately 17.7% and one-year returns near 28%. Performance has been supported by product enhancements in observability and security, though the stock has experienced volatility following earnings releases, with a 52-week range spanning roughly $42 to $96.
SNOW Overview and Recent Performance
Snowflake Inc. operates a cloud-based data platform that enables secure data sharing and analytics across organizations. Recent quarters have highlighted expansion of its AI Data Cloud capabilities, accompanied by partnerships such as expanded collaborations with major cloud providers. In recent market activity, SNOW shares have traded near $267, with year-to-date returns of about 21.9% and one-year returns near 20.6%. The stock has benefited from analyst price target upgrades and positive sentiment around AI adoption, trading within a 52-week range of approximately $118 to $285.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Elastic focuses on search-powered observability and security, while Snowflake emphasizes cloud data warehousing and sharing, creating different exposure profiles within the broader data ecosystem. Recent momentum favors SNOW on a year-to-date basis, supported by AI-specific catalysts and higher analyst targets, whereas ESTC has delivered steadier returns with a comparatively modest valuation. Risk factors for both include competition in the cloud software space and sensitivity to technology spending cycles; however, ESTC operates with a lighter balance sheet footprint. Market sentiment remains broadly positive for data infrastructure, though relative positioning reflects Snowflake’s larger market capitalization and Elastic’s niche leadership in search analytics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent trend consistency, earnings delivery, and AI-related positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to SNOW over ESTC. Stronger year-to-date outperformance, multiple analyst upgrades, and expanding AI Data Cloud adoption contribute to this assessment, though both names exhibit favorable characteristics within the sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESTC is a Buy and SNOW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESTC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSNOW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ESTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SNOW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESTC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SNOW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESTC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SNOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ESTC (@Packaged Software) experienced а +6.65% price change this week, while SNOW (@Packaged Software) price change was +2.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESTC is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
SNOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.53% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ESTC | SNOW | ESTC / SNOW | |
| Capitalization | 6.49B | 93.1B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 34.7M | -936.8M | -4% |
| Gain YTD | -17.245 | 22.470 | -77% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.20 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 1.74B | 5.03B | 35% |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 2.96B | 46% |
| Total Debt | 592M | 2.77B | 21% |
ESTC | SNOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 94 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESTC's Valuation (71) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SNOW (93) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew similarly to SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
SNOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (94) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ESTC (100) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that SNOW’s stock grew similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's SMR Rating (31) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for SNOW (99) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew significantly faster than SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
SNOW's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ESTC (53) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that SNOW’s stock grew similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SNOW (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ESTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than SNOW’s over the last 12 months.
| ESTC | SNOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 7 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 77% | 22 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% |
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SNOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SNOW has been closely correlated with MDB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SNOW jumps, then MDB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SNOW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | 100% | +2.75% | ||
| MDB - SNOW | 67% Closely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| COIN - SNOW | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| NET - SNOW | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| CLSK - SNOW | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.81% | ||
| ESTC - SNOW | 60% Loosely correlated | +3.64% | ||
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