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EXE vs GPOR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Expand Energy (EXE) vs. Gulfport Energy (GPOR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: EXE is North America's largest natural gas producer with a market capitalization near $21 billion, while GPOR is a small-cap gas-weighted producer valued near $3.5 billion.
- Diversification: EXE has expanded into natural gas marketing through its Twin Eagle acquisition, whereas GPOR remains a focused exploration and production (E&P) operator in the Utica, Marcellus, and SCOOP basins.
- Sentiment divergence: EXE posted a third-quarter earnings beat, while GPOR recently drew downgrades from major brokerages on near-term natural gas price risk.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, the observable trend and stability profile currently favor EXE.
- For deeper coverage, explore EXE Major News and EXE Today's Price Move, or GPOR Major News and GPOR Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the market, browse the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Natural gas producers are drawing renewed investor attention as growing demand from liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and power-hungry data centers reshapes the commodity's outlook. Within that theme, EXE and GPOR offer two very different ways to gain exposure. One is a large-cap, increasingly diversified operator; the other is a small-cap, high-free-cash-flow pure play. This stock comparison examines how each is positioned, how the market has treated them in recent weeks, and where their relative performance may diverge. It is most relevant for energy-focused investors and traders weighing scale and stability against smaller-company upside and buyback-driven returns.
EXE Overview and Recent Performance
EXE, Expand Energy Corporation, is North America's largest natural gas producer, formed through the merger of Chesapeake Energy and Southwestern Energy. In recent weeks the company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.46 per share, above consensus estimates, supported by higher production of roughly 7.5 billion cubic feet equivalent per day (Bcfe/d) and stronger oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) pricing. Natural gas still accounts for about 92% of output.
Sentiment has been shaped by the company's push beyond pure production. Its September closing of the Twin Eagle acquisition added a coast-to-coast marketing and commercial platform that management expects to reach $500 million in annual EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) by 2028. A new permanent CEO, Dan Brown, and a 20-year LNG offtake agreement with Delfin have reinforced the integrated-gas narrative. The stock trades at a relatively low earnings multiple and carries an investment-grade balance sheet with a leverage ratio near 0.8 times, though softer Appalachian gas pricing and cost inflation remain watchpoints.
GPOR Overview and Recent Performance
GPOR, Gulfport Energy Corporation, is a natural gas-weighted E&P operator concentrated in the Utica and Marcellus shales of Ohio and Appalachia, complemented by SCOOP assets in Oklahoma. Its recent market activity has been mixed: the shares have rebounded from a weaker year-to-date stretch but remain below prior highs. Recent analyst actions leaned cautious, with Jefferies downgrading the stock to Hold and JPMorgan moving to Underweight, both citing near-term natural gas price risk heading into 2027.
Positively, Gulfport continues to generate strong free cash flow and has retired a meaningful portion of its shares through repurchases, while hedging roughly a third of its 2027 program at favorable prices near $3.85 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf). The company has also expanded its inventory through discretionary acreage purchases, adding roughly 20% more Appalachian locations. A leadership transition, including a new CEO and a departing CFO, adds a degree of execution uncertainty that investors are weighing against the company's low-cost, high-return drilling inventory.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a selection of the platform's automated trading systems. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots covering thousands of different tickers, each built around its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and set of underlying securities. Because market conditions change, only the bots judged most suitable for the current environment earn a place in the Trending section. For traders who prefer systematic, rules-based approaches over discretionary stock-picking, this page offers a practical way to observe which strategies are currently in favor. Explore the Trending AI Robots to see how automated signals are positioning across the market right now.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most obvious contrast between EXE and GPOR is scale and diversification. EXE operates across multiple basins and now layers a large marketing business on top of production, giving it multiple revenue streams and direct exposure to Gulf Coast LNG demand. GPOR is a more concentrated bet on a smaller set of basins, which can amplify both upside and downside when regional gas prices move.
Growth drivers also differ. EXE's catalysts center on integrating Twin Eagle, capturing LNG and data-center demand, and maintaining a stable production base with a growing dividend. GPOR's story leans on free cash flow generation, aggressive share repurchases, inventory expansion, and a rising liquids mix. On risk, GPOR's recent brokerage downgrades reflect concerns about near-term gas prices and added balance-sheet leverage for acreage bolt-ons, while EXE's risks center on margin compression and its ability to execute a complex integration. In short, EXE offers broader stability, while GPOR offers a higher-beta, buyback-oriented profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward EXE over GPOR. The preference reflects a combination of trend consistency, scale-driven stability, an investment-grade balance sheet, and multiple identifiable catalysts, including the Twin Eagle integration and LNG-linked demand growth. By contrast, GPOR's recent analyst downgrades, leadership transitions, and higher sensitivity to near-term natural gas pricing introduce more uncertainty into its trend profile. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and relative positioning could shift as commodity prices and each company's execution evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXE is a Buy and GPOR is a Hold.
EXE in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026
The 10-day moving average for EXE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXE advanced for three days, in 196 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 187 of 262 cases where EXE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXE moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXE as a result. In 55 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXE turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
EXE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
EXE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.067) is normal, around the industry mean (3.856). P/E Ratio (7.672) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.063). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.787) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.557) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EXE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
GPOR's Stochastic Oscillator penetrating overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for GPOR moved into overbought territory on November 02, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPOR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GPOR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GPOR as a result. In 70 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPOR just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where GPOR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
GPOR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPOR advanced for three days, in 259 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 162 of 227 cases where GPOR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GPOR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.622) is normal, around the industry mean (3.856). P/E Ratio (6.319) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.063). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.180) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
EXE | GPOR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXE's Valuation (47) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as GPOR (63) in the null industry. This means that EXE’s stock grew similarly to GPOR’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as EXE (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to EXE’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's SMR Rating (36) in the null industry is in the same range as EXE (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to EXE’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's Price Growth Rating (50) in the null industry is in the same range as EXE (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to EXE’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the null industry is in the same range as EXE (96) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to EXE’s over the last 12 months.
| EXE | GPOR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while GPOR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- EXE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GPOR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPOR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- GPOR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
EXE (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -4.85% price change this week, while GPOR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +0.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -6.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXE is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
GPOR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-6.66% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
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EXE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXE has been closely correlated with AR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXE jumps, then AR could also see price increases.
GPOR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPOR has been closely correlated with EXE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GPOR jumps, then EXE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPOR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPOR | 100% | +0.64% | ||
| EXE - GPOR | 75% Closely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| AR - GPOR | 72% Closely correlated | -3.42% | ||
| EQT - GPOR | 70% Closely correlated | -0.98% | ||
| CRK - GPOR | 70% Closely correlated | -4.48% | ||
| CNX - GPOR | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
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