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FCNCA vs KEY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FCNCA is a Hold and KEY is a Hold.
FCNCA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026
FCNCA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 52 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for FCNCA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCNCA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for FCNCA entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FCNCA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 55 cases where FCNCA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FCNCA as a result. In 63 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FCNCA just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FCNCA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +0.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCNCA advanced for three days, in 204 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
FCNCA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FCNCA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.177) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (11.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.989) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). FCNCA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.004) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (2.739) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
KEY in -1.49% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 14, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where KEY declined for three days, in 201 of 287 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KEY as a result. In 57 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for KEY entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KEY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 59 cases where KEY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KEY just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where KEY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +0.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KEY advanced for three days, in 179 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
KEY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.258) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (11.930) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.332) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.040) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.996) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KEY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KEY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FCNCA | KEY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KEY's Valuation (25) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FCNCA (73) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that KEY’s stock grew somewhat faster than FCNCA’s over the last 12 months.
FCNCA's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KEY (81) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FCNCA’s stock grew somewhat faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
FCNCA's SMR Rating (6) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (7) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FCNCA’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
FCNCA's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (60) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FCNCA’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
FCNCA's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KEY (88) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FCNCA’s stock grew somewhat faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
| FCNCA | KEY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 12 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FCNCA’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while KEY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FCNCA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KEY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FCNCA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KEY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FCNCA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KEY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FCNCA (@Regional Banks) experienced а +1.52% price change this week, while KEY (@Regional Banks) price change was -0.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
FCNCA is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
KEY is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+1.27% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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