Investors evaluating technology exposure often compare specialized exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that address overlapping yet distinct segments of the innovation landscape. Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) both target high-growth technology areas but employ different strategies and scopes. FDTX pursues active management of disruptive companies, while SMH delivers passive, index-based exposure focused narrowly on semiconductors. These ETFs serve as alternatives for investors seeking sector exposure without direct competition, allowing differentiation based on active versus passive approaches, breadth of holdings, and cost structures within the broader technology theme.
Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund launched in 2020 that seeks long-term capital growth by investing at least 80% of assets in securities of disruptive technology companies. The fund identifies firms developing innovative products or services with potential to displace incumbents, spanning areas such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and next-generation hardware. It holds approximately 30-31 securities with top positions including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and NVIDIA (NVDA). Sector allocation is heavily weighted toward technology at over 85%, with smaller exposures to communication services and consumer cyclical. The expense ratio stands at 0.50%. As a non-diversified, active strategy, FDTX employs fundamental analysis for security selection and rebalancing rather than strict index rules.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund launched in 2011 that seeks to replicate the performance of the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index before fees and expenses. The index tracks 25 leading U.S.-listed companies involved in semiconductor production and equipment. The fund typically holds 25-26 securities, with top holdings dominated by NVIDIA (NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), and Micron Technology (MU). Sector allocation centers almost entirely on technology, specifically semiconductors and related equipment. The expense ratio is 0.35%. SMH is non-diversified and uses physical replication with periodic index rebalancing to maintain alignment with the benchmark methodology.
The semiconductor and broader disruptive technology sectors continue to benefit from sustained demand driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout, data center expansion, and digital transformation initiatives. Capital flows into semiconductor supply chains remain robust amid geopolitical efforts to diversify manufacturing and regulatory support for domestic production in key regions. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate trajectories and corporate capital expenditure cycles influence sector momentum, while risks include supply chain disruptions, export restrictions, and cyclical inventory adjustments. Both ETFs operate within this environment of technological advancement tempered by concentration and geopolitical considerations.
In recent market cycles, SMH has exhibited strong alignment with semiconductor earnings growth and AI-related capital spending trends, benefiting from its concentrated holdings in leading chipmakers. FDTX has provided differentiated exposure through active selection across software and hardware disruptors, potentially capturing opportunities in adjacent themes during periods of broader technology rotation. Volatility differences arise from SMH’s narrower focus, which can amplify moves tied to semiconductor-specific catalysts, versus FDTX’s slightly wider thematic spread. Relative positioning highlights SMH’s efficiency in capturing pure-play semiconductor momentum, while FDTX offers flexibility in adapting to evolving disruptive trends across multiple sub-sectors.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs like FDTX and SMH may find the platform useful for refining their analysis.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest edge to VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) in the current environment. Its lower expense ratio, established passive methodology, larger scale, and concentrated alignment with semiconductor sector momentum provide a favorable combination of cost efficiency and thematic consistency. Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX) remains competitive for investors prioritizing active management and broader disruptive technology exposure, though its higher cost and smaller scale introduce relative trade-offs. This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation of durable characteristics rather than short-term outcomes.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The Stochastic Oscillator for FDTX moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 34 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 81%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDTX moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDTX turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 18 of the 26 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
FDTX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDTX as a result. In 51 of 54 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FDTX moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDTX advanced for three days, in 226 of 245 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 218 cases where FDTX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 73 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 39 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 302 of 323 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| FDTX | SMH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 90% | 10 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IBGA | 22.47 | 0.09 | +0.39% |
| iShares iBonds Dec 2044 Term Treasury ETF (IBGA) | |||
| EZM | 72.70 | 0.15 | +0.21% |
| WisdomTree U.S. MidCap Fund (EZM) | |||
| ACWI | 160.69 | 0.06 | +0.04% |
| iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI) | |||
| HELS | 24.34 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| Hedgeye 130/30 Equity ETF (HELS) | |||
| SHOC | 107.41 | -0.86 | -0.80% |
| Strive U.S. Semiconductor ETF (SHOC) | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FDTX has been closely correlated with MU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FDTX jumps, then MU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FDTX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDTX | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| MU - FDTX | 74% Closely correlated | -3.62% | ||
| MRVL - FDTX | 73% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| AMD - FDTX | 69% Closely correlated | +1.90% | ||
| ASML - FDTX | 69% Closely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| MPWR - FDTX | 68% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
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