FENY
Price
$34.70Alerts
Change
+$0.65 (+1.91%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
2.06B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XES
Price
$100.70Alerts
Change
+$3.13 (+3.21%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:56 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
253.85M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FENY vs XES

FENY vs XES Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) vs. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES)

Key Takeaways

  • FENY is a broad, market-cap-weighted U.S. energy fund with roughly 100+ holdings dominated by integrated oil majors and refiners, while XES is an equal-weighted fund concentrated in roughly 36 oil and gas equipment and services (OFS) companies.
  • FENY is heavily concentrated in mega-caps, with XOM and CVX alone representing over a third of assets; XES spreads weight evenly across small- and mid-cap service providers.
  • FENY carries a much lower expense ratio of 0.08% versus 0.35% for XES, a meaningful cost gap for long-term holders.
  • XES offers higher beta and greater cyclicality tied to rig counts, capital expenditure, and drilling activity, whereas FENY provides diversified exposure across exploration, refining, and midstream segments.
  • These funds do not compete directly; they represent different risk, size, and thematic profiles within the same broad energy complex.

Introduction

Energy remains one of the most closely watched sectors in the market, shaped by commodity price swings, capital discipline, and shifting global supply-demand dynamics. Comparing the Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) and the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) is instructive because, although both sit within the energy universe, they target fundamentally different parts of it. FENY offers diversified, large-cap sector exposure across integrated majors, refiners, and midstream operators. XES, by contrast, drills into a single sub-industry: the companies that supply equipment and services to producers. For investors weighing broad sector exposure against a higher-octane, cyclical niche, this ETF comparison clarifies the structural trade-offs in sector exposure and relative positioning.

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) Overview

FENY is a passive, index-tracking fund that seeks to replicate the performance of the MSCI USA IMI Energy 25/50 Index, a market-capitalization-weighted benchmark covering U.S. energy companies across the market-cap spectrum. The fund typically holds roughly 100 to 110 securities, but its portfolio is decisively top-heavy: XOM and CVX account for a large share of assets, followed by COP, refiners such as MPC, VLO, and PSX, midstream operator WMB, and oilfield services leader SLB. With an expense ratio of 0.08%, FENY is among the least expensive ways to own broad U.S. energy exposure. Its large-cap tilt and integrated business models provide a relatively balanced, diversified risk profile compared with niche energy funds.

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) Overview

XES is a passive, equal-weighted fund that tracks the S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Select Industry Index, a benchmark limited to the OFS sub-industry of the S&P Total Market Index. The fund holds roughly 36 stocks and rebalances periodically to restore equal weights, preventing any single name from dominating. Top positions include equipment and service providers such as FTI, NOV, BKR, TDW, OII, and HP. The portfolio skews toward small- and mid-cap names, with a weighted average market capitalization far below that of FENY. XES carries an expense ratio of 0.35%. Because its holdings are tied to drilling, completion, and production activity rather than integrated oil margins, XES exhibits a more cyclical, higher-volatility profile than a diversified energy fund.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within an energy sector defined by disciplined capital allocation, restrained supply growth, and heightened sensitivity to global demand signals. Producers have prioritized shareholder returns and free cash flow over aggressive drilling, which supports the integrated and midstream names in FENY while creating a more uneven environment for the service companies in XES. Oilfield services revenue depends on producers' willingness to spend on rigs, frac fleets, and subsea infrastructure. Factors such as OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies) production policy, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical risk can shift the outlook quickly. Regulatory and energy-transition pressures add a longer-term structural overhang, though near-term activity levels and service pricing remain the dominant drivers for XES specifically.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, the two funds have often diverged because they respond to different earnings engines. FENY's performance has been anchored by integrated majors whose refining, chemicals, and trading arms can cushion volatility in crude prices, alongside steady midstream cash flows. XES, in contrast, tends to amplify moves in energy activity and commodity sentiment, delivering stronger rallies during periods of rising capital expenditure and deeper drawdowns when producers pull back. Its equal-weight construction and small-cap tilt contribute to higher relative volatility. Consequently, FENY generally offers smoother, large-cap-driven exposure, while XES provides a more leveraged expression of the oilfield cycle and a materially different risk-reward profile for investors seeking relative positioning within energy.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to help identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. For investors evaluating energy funds and their underlying holdings, exploring the AI Screener can surface actionable, data-driven insights worth a closer look.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FENY for most long-term, diversified investors. Its 0.08% expense ratio, broad large-cap footprint, and exposure to integrated, cash-generative businesses offer superior cost efficiency, lower relative volatility, and a more resilient diversification profile than a single-sub-industry fund. XES, while potentially attractive for tactical investors seeking amplified exposure to a recovering oilfield services cycle, carries a higher fee, smaller average company size, and significantly greater cyclical risk. In probabilistic terms, FENY's combination of lower cost, broader sector exposure, and steadier earnings mix positions it as the more durable core holding, with XES best suited to those explicitly targeting oilfield activity momentum.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FENY vs. XES commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FENY is a Hold and XES is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FENY with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

FENY sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

FENY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FENY as a result. In 73 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

FENY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FENY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FENY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FENY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FENY advanced for three days, in 351 of 386 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

FENY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 308 of 346 cases where FENY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XES with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

XES's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for XES moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XES advanced for three days, in 316 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

XES may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XES as a result. In 77 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XES turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

XES moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for XES moved below the 200-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for XES entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FENYXES
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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XES and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XES has been closely correlated with NOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XES jumps, then NOV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XES
1D Price
Change %
XES100%
-0.36%
NOV - XES
79%
Closely correlated
-0.06%
HP - XES
78%
Closely correlated
+0.82%
NBR - XES
78%
Closely correlated
+0.49%
HOS - XES
76%
Closely correlated
-2.97%
HAL - XES
76%
Closely correlated
-0.06%
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