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FER vs TPC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ferrovial SE (FER) vs. Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FER (Ferrovial SE) is a global toll-road, airport, and construction operator trading at a premium valuation, while TPC (Tutor Perini Corporation) is a U.S. heavy-construction contractor riding a record earnings cycle.
- TPC has shown stronger recent momentum, hitting an all-time high after a record quarter and a raised full-year outlook, whereas FER has lagged the market over the past year despite solid underlying fundamentals.
- FER offers steadier, concession-style cash flows but trades at a much higher earnings multiple, while TPC offers lower valuation and faster earnings growth with higher execution risk.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on observable trend consistency, earnings catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors TPC over FER.
- For more detail, explore FER Major News and FER Today's Price Move, as well as TPC Major News and TPC Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI trading systems are positioning across the market, visit the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors evaluating infrastructure and construction exposure often weigh global toll-road operators against pure-play U.S. builders. FER, the stock of Spanish-founded infrastructure group Ferrovial SE, and TPC, the stock of Los Angeles-based Tutor Perini Corporation, represent two distinct ways to invest in similar end markets. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors and traders deciding between a stable, concession-heavy operator and a higher-beta (a measure of volatility relative to the market) contractor currently delivering accelerating earnings. By examining business models, recent performance, and market positioning side by side, readers can better assess which profile aligns with their objectives.
FER Overview and Recent Performance
Ferrovial SE operates toll highways, airports, construction, and energy assets across North America and Europe. Its crown jewels include Canada's 407 Express Toll Route (ETR) and the New Terminal One project at New York's JFK Airport. In recent weeks, the company reported strong nine-month results, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rising roughly 11% and 22%, respectively, on a like-for-like basis. The construction order book reached a record level, supported by major U.S. managed-lane awards in Georgia. However, FER shares have underperformed over the trailing year, pressured by a JFK terminal schedule delay and a valuation that remains elevated relative to peers. Analysts broadly maintain a Buy rating, but the stock's premium multiple continues to weigh on sentiment.
TPC Overview and Recent Performance
Tutor Perini Corporation provides civil, building, and specialty contracting services, primarily for public agencies and large commercial clients. Recent market activity has been notably favorable: TPC posted a record quarter with revenue up about 22% year over year and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) well above consensus, prompting the company to raise its full-year adjusted EPS guidance. The stock surged to an all-time high on the news, and the backlog climbed to roughly $20 billion, providing multi-year revenue visibility. A strengthened balance sheet, now in a net cash position, and a pipeline of more than $200 billion in potential projects have reinforced analyst optimism. Consensus ratings on TPC are at Strong Buy, with price targets implying further upside.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of the platform's AI trading bots. While Tickeron offers hundreds of bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, only those best suited to current market conditions earn a place in this featured section. These bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and the sets of tickers they follow, giving users a broad menu of approaches to explore. The section highlights bots demonstrating notable recent statistics, helping traders identify strategies that align with prevailing volatility and trend conditions. For those curious how algorithmic systems are currently positioning across the market, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page offers a useful starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ sharply in business model and risk profile. FER derives much of its value from long-dated concessions with inflation-linked pricing, producing steadier, higher-margin cash flow but slower headline growth and a richer valuation. Its sector exposure spans transportation infrastructure and airports, with sensitivity to interest rates and regulatory toll-setting. TPC, by contrast, is a fixed-price contractor whose earnings depend on project execution, bidding discipline, and the public infrastructure funding cycle. It offers faster near-term growth and a lower forward valuation, but carries execution and margin risk, and its higher beta reflects greater share-price volatility. On momentum, TPC is trending upward with fresh record highs and raised guidance, while FER is consolidating after a period of underperformance. Growth drivers also differ: FER leans on toll-rate increases and new managed-lane awards, while TPC leans on backlog conversion and margin expansion.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, earnings catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward TPC in this stock comparison. The company's record results, upwardly revised guidance, all-time-high share price, and improving balance sheet present a more favorable near-term technical and fundamental setup than FER, whose steadier cash flows are offset by a premium valuation and softer recent momentum. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: it reflects current observable conditions, which can shift as new data emerges. Investors should treat the verdict as one input among many when evaluating these two distinct infrastructure-related profiles.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FER is a Buy and TPC is a Hold.
FER in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FER crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FER as a result. In 32 of 48 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FER just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where FER's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 34 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
FER moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FER advanced for three days, in 92 of 147 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FER declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
FER broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FER entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FER’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.390) is normal, around the industry mean (15.143). P/E Ratio (69.071) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.534). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (10.243) is also within normal values, averaging (3.522). Dividend Yield (0.064) settles around the average of (0.215) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.471) is also within normal values, averaging (2.886).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FER’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
TPC in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TPC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPC as a result. In 78 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPC just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
TPC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +8.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPC advanced for three days, in 254 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
TPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TPC entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.043) is normal, around the industry mean (15.143). P/E Ratio (38.589) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.534). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (3.522). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.215) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.686) is also within normal values, averaging (2.886).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TPC | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 20 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FER | TPC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 50% | 10 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FER’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TPC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FER’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FER’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FER’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TPC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FER (@Engineering & Construction) experienced а +7.70% price change this week, while TPC (@Engineering & Construction) price change was +17.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was +11.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
FER is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
TPC is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Engineering & Construction (+11.60% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
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TPC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPC has been loosely correlated with EME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPC jumps, then EME could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TPC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPC | 100% | +2.88% | ||
| EME - TPC | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| FIX - TPC | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| PWR - TPC | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| MYRG - TPC | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.31% | ||
| IESC - TPC | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.86% | ||
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