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QXO vs SITE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? QXO, Inc. (QXO) vs. SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- QXO is an aggressively acquisitive building products distributor scaling revenue rapidly but still generating net losses, while SITE is a profitable, established wholesale landscape-supply distributor.
- Both stocks have fallen sharply in 2026 amid softer housing and renovation demand, but for different reasons: QXO faces integration and leverage risks, while SITE faces demand and margin pressure.
- QXO trades on a "show-me" growth narrative, whereas SITE offers positive earnings and a path toward margin expansion.
- Analyst sentiment is more favorable for SITE, which carries a consensus Buy rating, while estimate revisions for QXO have been trending downward.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two very different companies that nonetheless share exposure to construction, renovation, and outdoor living end markets. QXO is a fast-scaling, acquisition-driven distributor of building products, while SITE is the largest national wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States. Investors weighing relative performance and market positioning will find a useful contrast here: a high-growth, capital-intensive roll-up story versus a profitable, cash-generative consolidator with a steadier business model. The comparison is especially relevant to traders assessing momentum, trend consistency, and how each company responds to a softer housing cycle.
QXO Overview and Recent Performance
QXO is a Greenwich, Connecticut-based distributor of roofing, waterproofing, and complementary building products led by Chairman and CEO Brad Jacobs. The company has expanded rapidly through M&A (mergers and acquisitions), completing the acquisition of Beacon Roofing Supply and, more recently, Kodiak Building Partners and the roughly $17 billion TopBuild transaction. The company's stated goal is to reach $50 billion in annual revenue within a decade.
Recent market activity has been challenging. QXO shares have declined significantly so far in 2026, underperforming the broader market as investors weigh softer residential roofing demand, elevated channel inventory, and rising integration and debt burdens. The company reported strong top-line growth, with quarterly revenue up about 70% year over year, but remained unprofitable on a net basis. Increased leverage, including a $3 billion term loan tied to the TopBuild closing, and an elevated short-interest position have added to sentiment pressure. The appointment of a new President and COO (chief operating officer) signals a sharper focus on operational execution and integration.
SITE Overview and Recent Performance
SITE (SiteOne Landscape Supply) is the largest and only national full-line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, with an established presence in Canada. Its customers are primarily residential and commercial landscape professionals who design, install, and maintain outdoor spaces. The company grows through both organic initiatives and an active program of branch acquisitions.
SITE has also faced a difficult recent market environment, with its shares trading lower year to date and pressured in part by a downgrade from a major bank that trimmed its price target. Demand remains uneven, with maintenance-related activity growing while new residential construction and repair-and-upgrade spending stay soft. Despite this, the company remains profitable, generates cash, and has guided to a full-year Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) range of roughly $425 million to $455 million for fiscal 2026. Management continues to pursue gross-margin expansion through private-label growth and productivity improvements, supported by share repurchases.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies offer contrasting risk-reward profiles. QXO is a scale-first story: revenue is growing rapidly through acquisitions, but the business is still loss-making, heavily leveraged, and dependent on successful integration to convert top-line growth into earnings. Its sector exposure skews toward residential and non-residential roofing, making it sensitive to housing cycles. In contrast, SITE operates a more mature, profitable model with greater exposure to recurring maintenance demand, which tends to be more stable than new construction. Its growth drivers—private-label penetration, small-customer gains, and branch efficiency—are more incremental but carry lower execution risk.
On momentum, both stocks have trended lower in recent weeks, but SITE retains a more favorable analyst consensus and a clearer near-term path to profitability, whereas QXO faces negative estimate revisions and a larger debt load. Investors should weigh QXO's higher potential upside against its greater balance-sheet and integration risk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward SITE in the current environment. SITE offers more stable fundamentals, positive cash generation, a constructive analyst consensus, and a steadier demand profile anchored by maintenance spending. QXO carries a more speculative, momentum-driven profile with meaningful upside potential but also elevated leverage and unresolved profitability questions. The AI's preference would therefore be probabilistic rather than definitive, favoring the stock with the clearer trend and lower near-term execution risk while acknowledging that QXO could re-rate if integration and margin improvements materialize.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is QXO is a Buy and SITE is a Buy.
QXO's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for QXO moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 30 of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on QXO as a result. In 75 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QXO just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where QXO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +6.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QXO advanced for three days, in 216 of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
QXO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QXO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for QXO entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.229) is normal, around the industry mean (4.070). P/E Ratio (-12.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.373). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.947) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). QXO's Dividend Yield (9.478) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.467). P/S Ratio (0.839) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. QXO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QXO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.
SITE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
SITE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 38 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SITE as a result. In 47 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SITE just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where SITE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The 10-day moving average for SITE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +6.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SITE advanced for three days, in 185 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SITE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
SITE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SITE entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SITE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.868) is normal, around the industry mean (4.070). P/E Ratio (30.210) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.373). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.490) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.467) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.829) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SITE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.
QXO | SITE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 1 Undervalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 93 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 78 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QXO's Valuation (1) in the Information Technology Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SITE (60) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that QXO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SITE’s over the last 12 months.
QXO's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SITE (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that QXO’s stock grew similarly to SITE’s over the last 12 months.
SITE's SMR Rating (71) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as QXO (93) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SITE’s stock grew similarly to QXO’s over the last 12 months.
SITE's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QXO (76) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SITE’s stock grew somewhat faster than QXO’s over the last 12 months.
SITE's P/E Growth Rating (78) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as QXO (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SITE’s stock grew similarly to QXO’s over the last 12 months.
| QXO | SITE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 76% | 7 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
QXO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SITE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- QXO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SITE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
QXO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SITE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- QXO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SITE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
QXO (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +5.04% price change this week, while SITE (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +7.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
QXO is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
SITE is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+2.91% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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QXO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QXO has been loosely correlated with SITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if QXO jumps, then SITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QXO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QXO | 100% | -2.99% | ||
| SITE - QXO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| CNM - QXO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| BXC - QXO | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| FERG - QXO | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| WCC - QXO | 50% Loosely correlated | -6.44% | ||
More | ||||
SITE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SITE has been loosely correlated with QXO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SITE jumps, then QXO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SITE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SITE | 100% | +0.14% | ||
| QXO - SITE | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.99% | ||
| WSO - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| CNM - SITE | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| FERG - SITE | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| BXC - SITE | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.98% | ||
More | ||||
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