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FUTU vs TIGR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Futu Holdings (FUTU) vs. UP Fintech (TIGR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both FUTU and TIGR are Asia-focused online brokerages that posted sharp double-digit revenue and profit growth in 2025, yet both stocks have pulled back from earlier highs.
- FUTU is the larger and more profitable platform, with roughly 3.4 million funded accounts and a net margin near 50%, versus about 1.25 million funded customers for TIGR.
- TIGR has grown faster off a smaller base, with net income rising sharply and strong traction in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Australia.
- Both names carry concentrated exposure to Hong Kong and China equity sentiment, making them sensitive to the same macro and regulatory catalysts.
- Relative performance diverged in recent months, with TIGR experiencing a steeper drawdown than FUTU despite comparable fundamental momentum.
Introduction
Futu Holdings and UP Fintech are two of the most closely followed names in the digital brokerage space, both operating mobile-first trading platforms that target retail investors across Greater China and Southeast Asia. Futu runs the Futubull and moomoo apps, while UP Fintech operates Tiger Brokers. Because the two companies compete for similar users, products, and markets, they are frequently benchmarked against one another. This stock comparison is especially relevant for investors and traders seeking to understand how scale, profitability, and market positioning translate into relative performance. The analysis below reviews recent results, momentum, risk factors, and how Tickeron's AI tools currently assess the two names.
FUTU Overview and Recent Performance
Futu Holdings is a Hong Kong-headquartered fintech company offering online brokerage, margin financing, wealth management, and IPO (initial public offering) distribution services. For full-year 2025, the company reported revenue of roughly HK$22.8 billion, an increase of about 68% year over year, while net income more than doubled. Total funded accounts reached approximately 3.4 million, up about 40% from the prior year, and client assets rose to roughly HK$1.23 trillion.
In recent weeks, however, FUTU shares have faced downward pressure despite the strong fundamentals. Management has noted that a sharp downturn in Hong Kong equities weighed on client asset values and slowed client acquisition in that market, even as growth in Japan, Malaysia, and the United States picked up. The stock's relative performance has reflected this mixed picture: robust earnings and expanding international reach, tempered by softer sentiment toward China-linked technology and financial names.
TIGR Overview and Recent Performance
UP Fintech, the parent of Tiger Brokers, is a Singapore-headquartered online brokerage offering equities, options, futures, wealth products, and crypto trading across multiple global markets. For fiscal 2025, total revenues increased 56.3% to about US$612 million, and net income attributable to ordinary shareholders rose roughly 181% to about US$170.9 million. Total account balance climbed 45.7% to approximately US$60.8 billion, while customers with deposits reached about 1.25 million.
Despite these gains, TIGR has traded with notable volatility in recent months and experienced a deeper price decline than many peers. The company has emphasized its post-2022 pivot away from mainland China toward Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia, and New Zealand, where client assets have grown rapidly. It has also expanded its corporate business, underwriting 47 U.S. and Hong Kong IPOs during the year. These operational strengths have not fully insulated the stock from broader risk-off sentiment toward China-related financials.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both companies operate similar business models, their profiles differ in important ways. FUTU enjoys greater scale, deeper profitability, and a commanding position in Hong Kong, where it holds the largest market share among online brokers. Its higher net margin reflects operating leverage and a diversified revenue mix spanning brokerage, interest income, and wealth management. TIGR, by contrast, is a faster-growing but smaller platform with more concentrated geographic diversification into Singapore and Australia and a heavier emphasis on options, futures, and corporate services such as ESOP (employee stock ownership plan) administration.
Growth drivers also diverge. Futu has leaned on broad-based client additions across Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Japan, plus rising wealth-management assets. Tiger has focused on affluent, tech-savvy users in Singapore and Hong Kong and on self-clearing capabilities and AI-driven tools. On the risk side, both face regulatory oversight, geopolitical tension, and cyclical sensitivity to trading volumes and equity-market sentiment. Market positioning currently favors Futu on stability and margin quality, while Tiger screens as a higher-beta, turnaround-oriented exposure with a lower valuation but greater recent price drawdown.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, profitability, and relative stability, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FUTU over TIGR in the current environment. Futu's larger scale, stronger margins, and steadier relative price action suggest a more consistent trend profile, whereas Tiger's deeper drawdown and higher volatility imply a less established near-term setup despite impressive growth. That said, the assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: if risk appetite toward China-linked financials recovers, the higher-beta TIGR could respond more sharply. Traders should weigh these trade-offs against their own objectives and may find value in monitoring Tickeron's AI-driven signals as conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FUTU is a Hold and TIGR is a Hold.
FUTU in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FUTU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 50 cases where FUTU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FUTU turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
FUTU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FUTU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator for FUTU entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FUTU's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FUTU as a result. In 67 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +10.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FUTU advanced for three days, in 256 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
FUTU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.380) is normal, around the industry mean (3.472). P/E Ratio (1.324) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.162). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.099) settles around the average of (6.992) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.699) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FUTU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FUTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TIGR in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TIGR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TIGR as a result. In 75 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
TIGR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TIGR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for TIGR entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TIGR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +8.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TIGR advanced for three days, in 197 of 238 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
TIGR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.821) is normal, around the industry mean (3.472). P/E Ratio (7.941) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.162). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (6.992) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.257) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TIGR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TIGR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
FUTU | TIGR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 81 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 19 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FUTU's Valuation (60) in the null industry is in the same range as TIGR (63) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew similarly to TIGR’s over the last 12 months.
FUTU's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the null industry is in the same range as TIGR (100) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew similarly to TIGR’s over the last 12 months.
FUTU's SMR Rating (33) in the null industry is in the same range as TIGR (59) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew similarly to TIGR’s over the last 12 months.
FUTU's Price Growth Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as TIGR (81) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew similarly to TIGR’s over the last 12 months.
TIGR's P/E Growth Rating (85) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as FUTU (96) in the null industry. This means that TIGR’s stock grew similarly to FUTU’s over the last 12 months.
| FUTU | TIGR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 82% | 14 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 79% | 6 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FUTU’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TIGR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FUTU’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TIGR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FUTU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TIGR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FUTU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TIGR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FUTU (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -7.24% price change this week, while TIGR (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -8.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -8.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
FUTU is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
TIGR is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-8.05% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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FUTU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUTU has been closely correlated with TIGR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUTU jumps, then TIGR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUTU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUTU | 100% | -3.93% | ||
| TIGR - FUTU | 82% Closely correlated | -6.03% | ||
| IBKR - FUTU | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.88% | ||
| XP - FUTU | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.70% | ||
| HOOD - FUTU | 40% Loosely correlated | -4.92% | ||
| BMNR - FUTU | 39% Loosely correlated | -7.28% | ||
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TIGR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TIGR has been closely correlated with FUTU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TIGR jumps, then FUTU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TIGR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIGR | 100% | -6.03% | ||
| FUTU - TIGR | 82% Closely correlated | -3.93% | ||
| IBKR - TIGR | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.88% | ||
| BMNR - TIGR | 44% Loosely correlated | -7.28% | ||
| HOOD - TIGR | 42% Loosely correlated | -4.92% | ||
| SBET - TIGR | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.46% | ||
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