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FUTU vs IBKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Futu Holdings (FUTU) vs. Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Futu Holdings (FUTU) operates a digital brokerage platform focused on retail investors in Asia and globally, while Interactive Brokers (IBKR) provides a comprehensive electronic brokerage serving professional and retail clients worldwide with advanced trading tools.
- In recent market activity, FUTU shares experienced sharp volatility following regulatory scrutiny in China related to cross-border trading, resulting in a significant single-day decline exceeding 27%.
- IBKR has demonstrated consistent account growth and expanded service offerings, including access to new markets and prediction platforms, supporting steadier relative performance in the same period.
- FUTU faces higher exposure to regulatory risks in its primary markets, whereas IBKR benefits from broader geographic diversification and established infrastructure for institutional trading.
- Both companies operate in the online brokerage sector, yet IBKR shows stronger year-to-date momentum and analyst stability compared to FUTU’s recent sentiment shift.
- Market positioning highlights a trade-off between FUTU’s growth potential in emerging retail segments and IBKR’s emphasis on execution quality and global reach.
Introduction
Investors and traders evaluating online brokerage platforms often compare Futu Holdings (FUTU) and Interactive Brokers (IBKR) due to their distinct approaches within the fintech and financial services sector. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent relative performance, and market positioning to help institutional and retail participants assess opportunities in a dynamic regulatory and technological environment. The analysis draws on observable developments from recent weeks to provide a factual basis for understanding how these equities have responded to broader market conditions and company-specific catalysts.
FUTU Overview and Recent Performance
Futu Holdings (FUTU) runs the Moomoo platform, an online brokerage emphasizing accessible trading for retail clients across Asia-Pacific and international markets. In recent market activity, the stock faced notable pressure from regulatory developments in China concerning cross-border securities activities, compounded by an analyst downgrade. This led to heightened volatility and a sharp price adjustment in the latest sessions. Sentiment shifted as investors positioned ahead of the company’s upcoming first-quarter 2026 earnings report, with broader macro factors also contributing to caution. The episode underscores FUTU’s sensitivity to policy changes in its core operating regions.
IBKR Overview and Recent Performance
Interactive Brokers (IBKR) delivers a sophisticated electronic brokerage platform serving both retail and institutional clients with low-cost execution, advanced analytics, and access to global markets. In recent market activity, the stock maintained relatively stable trading patterns amid ongoing business expansions, including new offerings in prediction markets and Korean equities. The company reported continued account growth and client outperformance metrics in prior periods, supporting a constructive backdrop. Analyst sentiment has remained generally positive, with the shares reflecting steady demand for IBKR’s infrastructure amid evolving market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ markedly: FUTU targets retail investors through a user-friendly mobile-first platform with strong emphasis on Asian markets, while IBKR prioritizes professional-grade tools, margin efficiency, and multi-asset global access. Growth drivers for FUTU center on expanding retail adoption in high-growth regions, offset by regulatory exposure. IBKR’s drivers include account acquisition, volume increases, and service expansions that enhance client retention. Recent momentum favors IBKR’s steadier trajectory versus FUTU’s event-driven volatility. Risk factors include FUTU’s concentration in policy-sensitive jurisdictions compared with IBKR’s diversified operations. Sector exposure remains similar within financial technology, yet market sentiment reflects greater near-term uncertainty around FUTU amid regulatory headlines.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative stability in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to Interactive Brokers (IBKR) over Futu Holdings (FUTU). IBKR’s positioning benefits from sustained account growth and service expansions that support more consistent performance patterns, while FUTU’s recent volatility tied to regulatory developments introduces greater near-term uncertainty. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FUTU is a Hold and IBKR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FUTU’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileIBKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FUTU’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- IBKR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FUTU’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IBKR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FUTU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- IBKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FUTU (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -0.12% price change this week, while IBKR (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was +4.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -2.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
FUTU is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
IBKR is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-2.25% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| FUTU | IBKR | FUTU / IBKR | |
| Capitalization | 13.7B | 42.2B | 32% |
| EBITDA | 14.9B | 9.42B | 158% |
| Gain YTD | -38.126 | 50.865 | -75% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.04 | 41.55 | 27% |
| Revenue | 24B | 10.6B | 226% |
| Total Cash | 23.6B | 5.09B | 464% |
| Total Debt | 22.5B | 12M | 187,500% |
FUTU | IBKR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FUTU's Valuation (12) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for IBKR (94) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew significantly faster than IBKR’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is significantly better than the same rating for FUTU (100) in the null industry. This means that IBKR’s stock grew significantly faster than FUTU’s over the last 12 months.
FUTU's SMR Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as IBKR (45) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that FUTU’s stock grew similarly to IBKR’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FUTU (85) in the null industry. This means that IBKR’s stock grew somewhat faster than FUTU’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is significantly better than the same rating for FUTU (89) in the null industry. This means that IBKR’s stock grew significantly faster than FUTU’s over the last 12 months.
| FUTU | IBKR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 81% | 14 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
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FUTU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUTU has been closely correlated with TIGR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUTU jumps, then TIGR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUTU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUTU | 100% | +3.48% | ||
| TIGR - FUTU | 78% Closely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| IBKR - FUTU | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.85% | ||
| CIFR - FUTU | 37% Loosely correlated | -3.56% | ||
| XP - FUTU | 35% Loosely correlated | +4.51% | ||
| HUT - FUTU | 35% Loosely correlated | -2.77% | ||
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IBKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IBKR has been closely correlated with HOOD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IBKR jumps, then HOOD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IBKR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBKR | 100% | +0.85% | ||
| HOOD - IBKR | 68% Closely correlated | -2.26% | ||
| RJF - IBKR | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MS - IBKR | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| GS - IBKR | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| SCHW - IBKR | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.36% | ||
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