FXD
Price
$69.57
Change
-$0.67 (-0.95%)
Updated
Nov 3, 02:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
264.53M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XHB
Price
$102.07
Change
-$2.51 (-2.40%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:15 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.64B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FXD vs XHB

FXD vs XHB Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) vs. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)

Key Takeaways

  • FXD tracks a multi-factor "smart beta" index of U.S. consumer discretionary stocks, holding roughly 119 names; XHB tracks an equal-weighted homebuilders and building products index of about 35–37 names.
  • FXD is broadly diversified across retail, autos, media, restaurants, and homebuilders, while XHB is structurally concentrated in homebuilding and building products.
  • XHB is meaningfully cheaper at a 0.35% expense ratio versus FXD's 0.60%, and XHB carries a larger asset base and greater trading liquidity.
  • XHB's narrower focus produces higher beta and volatility, whereas FXD's broader diversification tempers single-industry risk.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: XHB is the current preferred ticker of the two, based on cost efficiency, liquidity, and focused thematic positioning.

Introduction

FXD and XHB both live within the consumer cyclical universe, yet they represent very different ways of expressing an economic-recovery or consumer-spending view. FXD is a broadly diversified, multi-factor consumer discretionary fund, while XHB is a tightly focused, equal-weighted homebuilding and building-products vehicle. They are not direct substitutes, but they often compete for the same investor dollars seeking cyclical equity exposure. Comparing their index construction, sector allocation, cost, and risk profiles helps clarify which tool better fits a given market thesis.

First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) Overview

FXD seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Index, a modified equal-dollar-weighted benchmark that uses First Trust's AlphaDEX multi-factor selection methodology to choose stocks from the consumer discretionary segment of the Russell 1000 Index. The fund is a passively managed, rules-based "smart beta" strategy that screens for growth and value factors rather than simply weighting by market capitalization.

The fund holds roughly 119 stocks with low single-stock concentration; its top ten positions collectively account for only about 15–17% of assets. Representative top holdings have included PVH, Avis Budget Group, Harley-Davidson, Lithia Motors, The Gap, Lululemon Athletica, General Motors, and Macy's. Sector allocation is dominated by consumer discretionary (roughly 70–75%), with meaningful secondary exposure to communication services, industrials, and consumer staples. The expense ratio is 0.60%.

SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) Overview

XHB seeks to track the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index, a modified equal-weight index representing the homebuilding sub-industry of the S&P Total Market Index. Like FXD, it is passively managed, but its construction deliberately tilts away from the largest homebuilder names, giving mid- and small-cap building-product companies meaningful weight.

The fund holds roughly 35–37 stocks, with top ten positions representing about 34–36% of assets. Representative holdings have included SharkNinja, Allegion, Williams-Sonoma, Wayfair, Masco, D.R. Horton, The Home Depot, Lennar, and Toll Brothers. Industry exposure splits across homebuilding (about 49%), building products (about 34%), and home-furnishing/home-improvement retail. The expense ratio is 0.35%, roughly half of FXD's cost.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are sensitive to U.S. consumer confidence, employment, and interest rates, but through different channels. FXD's fortunes track discretionary spending across autos, apparel, travel, media, and dining — areas tied to wage growth and household balance sheets. XHB is anchored to the housing cycle, driven by mortgage rates, housing supply constraints, homebuilder order books, and renovation demand.

In the current environment, elevated borrowing costs have pressured housing affordability while historically tight single-family supply has supported homebuilder pricing power. Meanwhile, resilient but cautious consumer spending has kept discretionary earnings mixed. These divergent macro forces explain why the two funds can decouple despite overlapping sector labels.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, XHB has exhibited greater amplitude than FXD, consistent with its higher beta and concentrated, rate-sensitive exposure. Housing-linked names have responded sharply to shifts in interest-rate expectations, rallying on anticipated policy easing and retreating when rates reprice higher. FXD's broader footprint has produced comparatively steadier relative positioning, with performance driven by the earnings cycles of retailers, automakers, and media companies rather than a single macro variable.

From a relative positioning standpoint, XHB offers a purer thematic expression of the housing trade but with higher volatility and single-industry concentration. FXD provides diversified, multi-industry consumer exposure at a higher fee. Investors weighing these funds are effectively choosing between focused cyclical leverage and broader, lower-concentration consumer exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own comparative analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor XHB over FXD at present. The reasoning centers on cost efficiency (0.35% versus 0.60%), a materially larger asset base and stronger liquidity profile, and a focused, equal-weighted exposure to a housing theme supported by persistent supply constraints. While XHB carries higher beta and greater concentration risk, its lower fee and cleaner thematic expression give it a structural edge in the current macro backdrop. This is a probabilistic, data-driven assessment rather than a certainty, and it is not investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FXD vs. XHB commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FXD is a StrongBuy and XHB is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FXD with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

Momentum Indicator for FXD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FXD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXD just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

FXD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FXD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXD advanced for three days, in 237 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 254 cases where FXD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for FXD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

FXD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XHB with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

Momentum Indicator for XHB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XHB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XHB just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where XHB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

XHB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XHB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XHB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

XHB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XHB entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FXDXHB
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 26 days ago
81%
N/A
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
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FXD
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
XHB
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FXD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXD has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXD jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FXD
1D Price
Change %
FXD100%
+2.59%
PHM - FXD
75%
Closely correlated
+5.25%
WSM - FXD
74%
Closely correlated
+2.66%
TOL - FXD
74%
Closely correlated
+5.07%
FND - FXD
73%
Closely correlated
+3.26%
HD - FXD
72%
Closely correlated
+3.63%
More

XHB and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XHB has been closely correlated with TOL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XHB jumps, then TOL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XHB
1D Price
Change %
XHB100%
+3.58%
TOL - XHB
90%
Closely correlated
+5.07%
PHM - XHB
90%
Closely correlated
+5.25%
MTH - XHB
88%
Closely correlated
+7.04%
DHI - XHB
87%
Closely correlated
+4.75%
FBIN - XHB
86%
Closely correlated
+4.07%
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