Energy has re-emerged as one of the most closely watched corners of the U.S. equity market, driven by commodity price swings, capital discipline among producers, and shifting global supply dynamics. Investors seeking sector exposure often confront a key question: should they own a broad equal-weight basket of energy giants or a factor-driven portfolio that tilts toward smaller, higher-momentum names? This ETF comparison examines the First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund (FXN) against the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF (RSPG), two funds that compete for the same investor dollar yet pursue meaningfully different construction methods and risk profiles.
The First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund seeks to track the StrataQuant Energy AlphaDEX Index, a rules-based benchmark that selects and ranks large- and mid-cap U.S. energy stocks from the Russell 1000 Index using a blend of growth and value factors combined with relative strength. The result is a modified, tiered equal-dollar-weighted portfolio rather than a straight market-cap weighting. FXN typically holds about 40 to 42 positions, with a top-10 concentration near 44% of assets.
Its recent top holdings have included DINO (HF Sinclair), APA, DVN (Devon Energy), RRC (Range Resources), AR (Antero Resources), EQT, and COP (ConocoPhillips). Energy represents roughly 96% of the portfolio, with a pronounced weighting toward independent E&P and natural-gas names. The fund charges a net expense ratio of approximately 0.63% and has been available since May 2007, positioning it as a factor-tilted, more mid-cap-oriented vehicle within the energy universe.
The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF seeks to track the S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy Plus Index, which equally weights the energy constituents of the S&P 500 as classified under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), the sector taxonomy used by S&P and MSCI. The index holds a minimum of 22 names and is rebalanced quarterly. RSPG generally holds about 22 to 24 positions and employs full replication of the index.
Because every holding is reset to an equal weight each quarter, no single mega-cap dominates. Recent top holdings have included MPC (Marathon Petroleum), VLO (Valero Energy), PSX (Phillips 66), XOM (ExxonMobil), KMI (Kinder Morgan), and CVX (Chevron). The fund is essentially 100% allocated to energy, spans integrated oil majors, refiners, and oilfield services, and carries a lower net expense ratio of 0.40%. Launched in November 2006, it is among the more established equal-weight sector products.
Both funds sit squarely within the energy sector, but their behavior is shaped by distinct segments of the value chain. Global oil supply discipline, natural-gas demand tied to electrification and data centers, and capital-allocation priorities among producers have all influenced sector flows in recent market cycles. Refiners and integrated majors tend to be more sensitive to crack spreads and downstream margins, while independent E&P and gas producers are more directly levered to commodity prices and drilling economics.
Interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar also matter, as energy equities have historically displayed meaningful sensitivity to macro shifts. Regulatory and geopolitical developments, including export policies and supply disruptions, remain recurring catalysts. For a sector known for cyclicality, the principal risk shared by both funds is a sharp, sustained pullback in oil or natural-gas prices.
In recent weeks and across recent market cycles, the two funds have generally tracked the broader energy complex but with notable divergence in relative positioning. FXN, with its heavier mid-cap and gas-producer exposure, has tended to amplify moves in commodity prices and in higher-beta E&P names, contributing to somewhat elevated volatility. RSPG, by contrast, has offered a steadier, large-cap-dominated profile because its equal-weight structure smooths out single-stock risk across integrated majors, refiners, and diversified energy companies.
From a structural standpoint, RSPG's lower expense ratio and broader subsector diversification provide a more cost-efficient core allocation, while FXN's factor-driven tilt can deliver differentiated returns when smaller, value-oriented energy names outperform. Relative positioning therefore comes down to whether an investor favors disciplined broad diversification or a more dynamic, mid-cap-leaning factor exposure.
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Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward RSPG in the current environment. Its materially lower expense ratio, broad subsector diversification across integrated majors, refiners, and oilfield services, and more predictable quarterly rebalancing provide a steadier, lower-cost core within a volatile sector. While FXN offers greater potential upside through its mid-cap and natural-gas tilt, that same tilt introduces higher concentration and volatility risk. The AI's preference reflects a probabilistic assessment favoring cost efficiency and diversification, rather than any certainty about near-term commodity prices.
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FXN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 59 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FXN as a result. In 70 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FXN turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
The 10-day moving average for FXN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FXN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXN advanced for three days, in 350 of 385 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FXN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 326 cases where FXN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
RSPG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RSPG as a result. In 65 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
RSPG moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RSPG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 20 of 24 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RSPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RSPG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RSPG advanced for three days, in 361 of 396 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
RSPG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 306 of 343 cases where RSPG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
| FXN | RSPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 89% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXN has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXN jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSPG has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSPG jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RSPG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSPG | 100% | +2.07% | ||
| EOG - RSPG | 86% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| DVN - RSPG | 86% Closely correlated | +3.55% | ||
| COP - RSPG | 86% Closely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| CVX - RSPG | 85% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| OXY - RSPG | 84% Closely correlated | +0.60% | ||
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