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GFL vs WCN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? GFL Environmental (GFL) vs. Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GFL Environmental and Waste Connections operate in the environmental services sector, providing non-hazardous solid waste management and recycling services across North America.
- WCN maintains a larger market capitalization of approximately $43.68 billion compared to GFL’s roughly $14.28 billion, reflecting differences in scale and operational footprint.
- Recent market activity shows WCN trading near $171.91 with upcoming quarterly earnings, while GFL has traded around $39.56 amid analyst target adjustments.
- Both stocks exhibit sector exposure to waste management demand drivers such as population growth and regulatory trends, with varying levels of volatility and leverage profiles.
- Relative performance over recent weeks has been influenced by broader market conditions and company-specific operational updates, without clear dominance by either name.
- Market sentiment remains tied to earnings visibility and macroeconomic factors affecting industrial and municipal waste volumes.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the environmental services industry often evaluate GFL and WCN as leading players in North American waste management. This comparison highlights differences in business scale, recent price behavior, and positioning within a sector supported by steady demand for collection, recycling, and disposal services. The analysis is relevant for those monitoring relative performance, sector rotation opportunities, and how macroeconomic or regulatory developments may affect these equities differently.
GFL Overview and Recent Performance
GFL Environmental Inc. provides integrated solid waste management services, including collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal, primarily in Canada and the United States. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced price fluctuations amid broader market activity and periodic analyst commentary. Trading activity has reflected sensitivity to operational updates and sector sentiment, with the share price hovering near recent levels around $39.56. Factors influencing performance include adjustments to price targets and ongoing integration of acquisitions, which have shaped investor focus on leverage and growth execution in the environmental services space.
WCN Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Connections, Inc. delivers similar non-hazardous solid waste management and recycling services across a broad North American footprint. Recent market activity has centered on preparations for the upcoming quarterly earnings release, with the stock trading near $171.91. Performance in recent weeks has shown resilience relative to some benchmarks, supported by consistent operational metrics and analyst expectations for earnings growth. Broader influences include volume trends in commercial and residential segments, alongside attention to efficiency initiatives and pricing dynamics within the waste management industry.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GFL Environmental and Waste Connections share core exposure to the waste management sector, yet differ in scale, with WCN operating a larger enterprise that supports broader geographic reach. Growth drivers for both include steady demand for essential services, though WCN’s established infrastructure may provide advantages in pricing power and margin stability. Recent momentum has varied, with WCN positioned ahead of earnings and GFL navigating target revisions. Risk factors encompass leverage differences—GFL has historically carried higher debt loads relative to its size—alongside common sector sensitivities to fuel costs and regulatory changes. Market sentiment for both remains neutral to cautious, reflecting macroeconomic influences on industrial activity without pronounced divergence in recent trading patterns.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference toward WCN due to its larger scale and upcoming earnings catalyst. However, outcomes depend on execution and broader market conditions, underscoring the probabilistic nature of such assessments rather than certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFL is a StrongBuy and WCN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWCN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- GFL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WCN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WCN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WCN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GFL (@Environmental Services) experienced а -1.77% price change this week, while WCN (@Environmental Services) price change was -3.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -6.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
WCN is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-6.89% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| GFL | WCN | GFL / WCN | |
| Capitalization | 14.3B | 42.8B | 33% |
| EBITDA | 1.95B | 2.99B | 65% |
| Gain YTD | -9.253 | -3.786 | 244% |
| P/E Ratio | 109.60 | 40.97 | 268% |
| Revenue | 6.7B | 9.61B | 70% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 112M | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 9.43B | - |
GFL | WCN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WCN's Valuation (43) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFL (85) in the null industry. This means that WCN’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFL’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as GFL (75) in the null industry. This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to GFL’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's SMR Rating (63) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as GFL (90) in the null industry. This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to GFL’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as GFL (56) in the null industry. This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to GFL’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's P/E Growth Rating (91) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as GFL (100) in the null industry. This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to GFL’s over the last 12 months.
| GFL | WCN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 9 days ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 31% |
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GFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFL has been loosely correlated with WCN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GFL jumps, then WCN could also see price increases.
WCN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WCN has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WCN jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.