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RSG vs WCN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Republic Services (RSG) vs. Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Republic Services (RSG) and Waste Connections (WCN) are leading providers of non-hazardous waste collection, recycling, and disposal services in North America.
- Over the recent market activity period, RSG has delivered stronger year-to-date performance compared to WCN, reflecting differences in operational scale and market positioning.
- Both companies operate in the defensive waste management sector with low beta values, offering relative stability amid broader market volatility.
- RSG maintains a larger market capitalization and higher dividend yield, while WCN focuses on a more geographically concentrated footprint with exposure to energy exploration and production waste.
- Analyst sentiment remains constructive for both, with price targets suggesting upside potential, though recent trading has shown modest pressure on share prices.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in growth drivers, with RSG benefiting from broader U.S. coverage and WCN emphasizing efficiency in its core markets.
Introduction
Republic Services (RSG) and Waste Connections (WCN) represent two prominent players in the waste management industry, making them natural subjects for comparison among investors seeking exposure to essential services with defensive characteristics. This analysis examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating sector allocation or pair trades. Participants in the industrials sector or those focused on environmental services may find the comparison particularly relevant for assessing stability, dividend sustainability, and operational resilience in varying economic conditions.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) provides collection, recycling, and disposal services across the United States and Canada, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers through an extensive network of landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities. In recent market activity, RSG shares have demonstrated resilience, posting a year-to-date return of approximately 5.81% as of mid-July 2026, outpacing broader market benchmarks in relative terms. The stock has traded within a 52-week range of $196.41 to $246.25, with recent weeks reflecting steady institutional interest amid preparations for second-quarter earnings scheduled for early August. Factors influencing sentiment include consistent revenue growth in core segments and a conservative beta of 0.41, which has supported outperformance versus more cyclical peers during periods of market uncertainty.
WCN Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) delivers non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services primarily in the United States and Canada, with additional exposure to exploration and production waste from energy operations. During recent market activity, WCN shares have experienced relative underperformance, with a year-to-date return of approximately -1.54% as of mid-July 2026. The stock has fluctuated within a 52-week range of $146.89 to $191.91, showing modest pressure in recent weeks alongside analyst adjustments to price targets. Sentiment has been shaped by its more concentrated geographic presence and specialized E&P services, contributing to a slightly higher beta of 0.48 compared with larger sector counterparts, while maintaining focus on operational efficiency and landfill gas recovery projects.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, Republic Services (RSG) operates at greater scale with a nationwide U.S. footprint and higher revenue base of approximately $16.7 billion, whereas Waste Connections (WCN) emphasizes regional density and energy-sector waste handling with trailing twelve-month revenue near $9.61 billion. Growth drivers differ as RSG benefits from broader recycling and industrial volumes, while WCN derives incremental exposure from exploration and production activities that can introduce commodity-linked variability. Recent momentum has favored RSG with superior year-to-date returns and a higher dividend yield of 1.12% versus WCN’s 0.81%. Risk factors include both companies’ debt-to-equity ratios near 117%, though RSG’s larger size may provide greater access to capital markets. Sector exposure remains similar within waste management, yet market sentiment reflects RSG’s edge in analyst target premiums and earnings visibility ahead of its upcoming report.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference to Republic Services (RSG) due to its stronger year-to-date performance, lower beta, and upcoming earnings catalyst that could reinforce stability. Waste Connections (WCN) presents trade-offs through specialized revenue streams but has shown comparatively softer momentum. This assessment reflects data-driven pattern recognition rather than guarantees of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSG is a Buy and WCN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RSG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWCN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WCN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RSG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WCN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RSG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WCN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
RSG (@Environmental Services) experienced а -3.16% price change this week, while WCN (@Environmental Services) price change was -3.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -6.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
RSG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
WCN is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-6.89% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| RSG | WCN | RSG / WCN | |
| Capitalization | 66.7B | 42.8B | 156% |
| EBITDA | 5.13B | 2.99B | 172% |
| Gain YTD | 3.487 | -3.786 | -92% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.12 | 40.97 | 76% |
| Revenue | 16.7B | 9.61B | 174% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 112M | - |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 9.43B | 150% |
RSG | WCN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RSG's Valuation (40) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (43). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (46). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's SMR Rating (48) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (63). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (52). This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (91). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
| RSG | WCN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 9 days ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 24% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 31% |
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RSG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSG has been closely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSG jumps, then WM could also see price increases.
WCN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WCN has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WCN jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.