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RSG vs WCN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Republic Services (RSG) vs. Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Republic Services (RSG) holds a larger market capitalization of approximately $63.8 billion, dwarfing Waste Connections' (WCN) $41 billion, reflecting greater scale in the waste management sector.
- Both stocks have faced headwinds over the past year, with RSG down around 16% and WCN similarly trailing the broader market.
- WCN recently beat Q1 earnings expectations with 6.4% year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth, signaling stronger near-term momentum compared to RSG's more modest quarterly growth.
- RSG offers a higher dividend yield of 1.21% versus WCN's 0.87%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Low betas (RSG at 0.44, WCN at 0.54) underscore their defensive nature amid market volatility.
- WCN's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.41 appears more attractive than RSG's 28.57, hinting at growth potential.
Introduction
Republic Services (RSG) and Waste Connections (WCN) are leading players in the essential waste management industry, providing collection, recycling, and disposal services across North America. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking defensive holdings with steady demand, regardless of economic cycles, as well as traders eyeing relative performance in a sector resilient to downturns. Amid recent market activity, understanding their business models, financial metrics, and momentum helps assess positioning for portfolio diversification or sector rotation strategies.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services (RSG), a major U.S.-focused provider of non-hazardous solid waste services, operates landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities. With trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $16.59 billion and net income of $2.14 billion, it demonstrates robust scale. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced a pullback, trading around $206 with a 52-week range of $201 to $259, influenced by broader sector pressures and mixed short-term returns. Key developments include the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) clearing its acquisition of Robinson Waste Services in Utah and opening an upgraded recycling facility in Peabody, bolstering operational efficiency and sustainability efforts. Year-to-date gains stand at about 2%, with upcoming earnings anticipated to shed light on pricing power and core growth. Sentiment remains supported by strong cash flows despite quarterly revenue growth of 2.2% YoY.
WCN Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Connections (WCN) delivers integrated waste management solutions, with a footprint spanning the U.S. and Canada, including solid waste collection and resource recovery. TTM revenue reached $9.61 billion, with quarterly growth at 6.4% YoY, underscoring expansion momentum. Recently, shares hovered near $161 within a 52-week range of $155 to $199, buoyed by a Q1 earnings beat where EPS of $1.23 surpassed estimates and revenues hit $2.37 billion. This performance, coupled with solid pricing at 6% in core solid waste, has driven post-earnings gains of over 3%. Acquisitions like Groot Industries and ongoing AI initiatives in operations have enhanced sentiment, though quarterly earnings dipped 9.2% YoY. The stock's lower beta reflects stability, with analysts noting potential from margin expansion outlook.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both RSG and WCN thrive on recurring revenue from essential services, but RSG edges in size and U.S. density, driving higher profitability (ROE of 18.3% vs. 13.1%). Growth drivers differ: WCN leverages Canadian exposure and faster revenue expansion (6.4% vs. 2.2% quarterly YoY), fueled by acquisitions and pricing, while RSG emphasizes recycling innovations. Recent momentum favors WCN post-earnings, contrasting RSG's pullback. Risk factors include regulatory shifts and competition, with both exhibiting low volatility (betas under 0.6). Market sentiment tilts toward WCN's lower forward P/E for growth trades, versus RSG's dividend appeal in stable portfolios.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Waste Connections (WCN) based on superior recent trend consistency, including a Q1 earnings beat and 6.4% revenue growth, alongside a more compelling forward P/E ratio signaling undervalued growth prospects relative to RSG. While RSG offers greater stability and scale, WCN's catalysts position it probabilistically stronger in the near term for momentum-driven strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSG is a Buy and WCN is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RSG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWCN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WCN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RSG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WCN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RSG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WCN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RSG (@Environmental Services) experienced а +2.10% price change this week, while WCN (@Environmental Services) price change was +1.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was +3.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
RSG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
WCN is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (+3.00% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| RSG | WCN | RSG / WCN | |
| Capitalization | 66.9B | 42.9B | 156% |
| EBITDA | 5.13B | 2.99B | 172% |
| Gain YTD | 3.449 | -3.311 | -104% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.80 | 37.42 | 82% |
| Revenue | 16.7B | 9.61B | 174% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 112M | - |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 9.43B | 150% |
RSG | WCN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RSG's Valuation (39) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (43). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (47). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's SMR Rating (48) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (63). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WCN's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (52). This means that WCN’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (93). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
| RSG | WCN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 38% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 11 days ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 27% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 32% |
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