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WCN vs WM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Waste Connections (WCN) vs. Waste Management (WM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Waste Connections (WCN) and Waste Management (WM) operate in the same defensive waste services sector, offering investors exposure to essential services with relatively stable demand patterns.
- Both companies have demonstrated resilience in recent market activity, with performance influenced by steady operational execution and sector tailwinds from infrastructure and environmental regulations.
- WM maintains a larger scale with broader geographic reach, while WCN focuses on selective regional expansion and operational efficiency in its served markets.
- Recent sentiment for both has remained measured, supported by consistent cash flow generation and limited exposure to cyclical economic swings compared to other industries.
- Key trade-offs include WM’s established market position versus WCN’s potentially agile approach to acquisitions and service optimization.
- Relative performance reflects broader market conditions, with neither stock showing pronounced outperformance in the latest period of observation.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking defensive growth opportunities often compare companies within the waste management industry due to their predictable revenue streams and lower correlation to broader economic cycles. Waste Connections (WCN) and Waste Management (WM) represent two leading publicly traded players in this space, making them relevant for those evaluating relative value, sector positioning, and risk-adjusted returns. This comparison provides a factual overview of their business profiles, recent market behavior, and differentiating factors, assisting portfolio managers and individual investors who prioritize stability alongside moderate growth potential in essential services.
WCN Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Connections (WCN) provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services primarily across North America. The company emphasizes operational efficiency and targeted acquisitions to expand its footprint in secondary markets. In recent weeks, WCN stock has reflected steady sentiment amid consistent volume trends and cost management initiatives. Broader market activity has been shaped by regulatory developments in environmental compliance and infrastructure spending, contributing to measured price behavior without significant volatility spikes. Investors have noted the company’s focus on margin improvement as a supporting factor in its relative positioning.
WM Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Management (WM) delivers comprehensive waste collection, recycling, and disposal solutions with a dominant presence across the United States and select international markets. Its scale enables diversified revenue from residential, commercial, and industrial segments. During recent market activity, WM has exhibited stable performance driven by steady service demand and ongoing investments in technology and fleet modernization. Sentiment has been influenced by the company’s ability to maintain pricing power and integrate sustainability initiatives, resulting in consistent trading patterns aligned with sector norms rather than outsized movements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, both entities generate revenue through recurring service contracts, yet WM’s larger asset base supports greater economies of scale, while WCN pursues growth via selective tuck-in acquisitions. Growth drivers for the sector include population expansion, regulatory requirements for waste diversion, and corporate sustainability goals, with WM benefiting from wider geographic diversification and WM holding an edge in integrated recycling capabilities. Recent momentum has favored stability over acceleration for both, reflecting defensive characteristics amid mixed macroeconomic signals. Risk factors center on fuel costs, labor availability, and regulatory changes, with WM’s size potentially offering better absorption of these pressures. Market sentiment remains balanced, as neither has diverged markedly from peer averages in relative performance metrics during the observed period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as scale-driven trend consistency, established market positioning, and resilience to sector-specific variables, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to WM. This assessment stems from its broader operational footprint and historical ability to sustain performance through varying economic conditions, though outcomes remain contingent on ongoing execution and external developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is WCN is a Hold and WM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
WCN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- WCN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
WCN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- WCN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
WCN (@Environmental Services) experienced а -3.64% price change this week, while WM (@Environmental Services) price change was -2.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -6.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
WCN is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
WM is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-6.89% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| WCN | WM | WCN / WM | |
| Capitalization | 42.8B | 95.9B | 45% |
| EBITDA | 2.99B | 7.34B | 41% |
| Gain YTD | -3.786 | 8.892 | -43% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.97 | 276.41 | 15% |
| Revenue | 9.61B | 25.4B | 38% |
| Total Cash | 112M | 158M | 71% |
| Total Debt | 9.43B | 22.9B | 41% |
WCN | WM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 43 Fair valued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 33 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WM's Valuation (36) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (43). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (46). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WM's SMR Rating (34) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (63). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WCN (51). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to WCN’s over the last 12 months.
WM's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WCN (91). This means that WM’s stock grew somewhat faster than WCN’s over the last 12 months.
| WCN | WM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 47% |
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WCN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WCN has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WCN jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.
WM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WM has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WM jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.