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GGG vs TTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. The Toro Company (TTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Graco Inc. (GGG) reported a Q1 2026 earnings miss with organic sales declining, leading to negative year-to-date stock performance around -7%.
- The Toro Company (TTC) delivered a Q1 2026 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance, contributing to stronger year-to-date returns exceeding 14%.
- GGG operates in industrial fluid handling and finishing equipment, while TTC focuses on outdoor power equipment and turf solutions, exposing each to distinct end markets.
- Recent market activity shows TTC exhibiting more resilient momentum compared to GGG amid broader sector challenges.
- Both companies maintain dividend programs, with TTC declaring a quarterly payout of $0.39 per share in May 2026.
- Relative positioning favors TTC on near-term catalysts, though GGG offers exposure to industrial recovery themes.
Introduction
This comparison examines Graco Inc. (GGG) and The Toro Company (TTC), two industrial companies with specialized equipment portfolios. Investors and traders evaluating relative performance in the capital goods sector may find this analysis relevant, particularly those focused on earnings trends, organic growth dynamics, and sector-specific demand. The article highlights recent developments to illustrate contrasts in business exposure and market response without projecting future outcomes.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) designs and manufactures fluid handling systems, pumps, and related equipment primarily for industrial, construction, and automotive applications. In recent market activity, the company reported first-quarter 2026 results that missed analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings per share, with organic sales declining despite acquisition contributions. This outcome weighed on sentiment, contributing to year-to-date share price declines of approximately 7%. Broader industrial demand softness and margin considerations have influenced performance in recent weeks, keeping the stock near lower levels relative to prior periods.
TTC Overview and Recent Performance
The Toro Company (TTC) provides outdoor environment solutions including turf maintenance, snow removal, and irrigation equipment for residential, commercial, and agricultural markets. Recent results showed a first-quarter 2026 earnings beat alongside revenue strength, prompting an upward revision to full-year guidance. These developments supported positive market response, with year-to-date returns exceeding 14% and outperformance versus broader benchmarks. Seasonal demand factors and operational execution have shaped sentiment in recent months, positioning the shares at higher levels compared to earlier in the year.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Graco Inc. (GGG) and The Toro Company (TTC) differ in core business models, with GGG centered on fluid handling and industrial applications while TTC emphasizes outdoor power and turf equipment. Growth drivers reflect contrasting exposures: GGG to manufacturing and construction cycles, TTC to residential and professional landscaping demand. Recent momentum has favored TTC following its earnings beat and guidance increase, whereas GGG faced pressure from organic declines. Risk factors include GGG’s sensitivity to industrial slowdowns and TTC’s exposure to weather and consumer spending patterns. Sector sentiment currently reflects relative stability for TTC amid its positive catalysts, while GGG contends with valuation adjustments post-earnings. Market positioning highlights trade-offs between industrial recovery potential at GGG and consistent operational delivery at TTC.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings consistency, guidance revisions, and relative price behavior in recent periods, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to The Toro Company (TTC) over Graco Inc. (GGG). TTC’s demonstrated beat and raised outlook provide clearer near-term support compared to GGG’s organic challenges, though both remain subject to broader economic variables.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a Buy and TTC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TTC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.48% price change this week, while TTC (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +4.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
TTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+0.18% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| GGG | TTC | GGG / TTC | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 8.68B | 142% |
| EBITDA | 744M | 620M | 120% |
| Gain YTD | -7.257 | 18.127 | -40% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.68 | 26.57 | 93% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 4.66B | 48% |
| Total Cash | 712M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.9M | 1.2B | 4% |
GGG | TTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 6 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTC's Valuation (24) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (25) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as TTC (100) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to TTC’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's SMR Rating (40) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (60) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | TTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 49% | 6 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 67% |
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GGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GGG has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GGG jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GGG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGG | 100% | -0.68% | ||
| LECO - GGG | 74% Closely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| ITW - GGG | 73% Closely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| AOS - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| NDSN - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| ROP - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -1.56% | ||
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TTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTC has been loosely correlated with GGG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTC jumps, then GGG could also see price increases.