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GGG vs TTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. The Toro Company (TTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Diverging momentum: TTC trades near its 52-week high with roughly 47% trailing-year appreciation, while GGG sits well off its highs after a sharp post-earnings selloff.
- Earnings contrast: TTC has beaten estimates and raised full-year guidance; GGG reported record sales but missed on revenue, EPS (earnings per share), and forward guidance.
- Margin profile: GGG retains elite profitability but is experiencing operating-margin compression, while TTC is expanding margins through a productivity program.
- Different end markets: Graco serves fluid-handling and coatings applications; Toro serves outdoor, turf, and underground-construction equipment markets.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: TTC is the ticker of choice, based on stronger trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning.
- For deeper context, explore GGG Major News and GGG Today's Price Move, plus TTC Major News and TTC Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are currently favored, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two well-known industrial manufacturers that operate in different niches of the equipment landscape: GGG (Graco Inc.), a leader in fluid-handling and coating systems, and TTC (The Toro Company), a provider of turf, landscape, snow, and underground-construction equipment. Both are mature, dividend-paying businesses with strong institutional ownership, yet their recent relative performance has diverged sharply. Investors weighing quality industrial holdings against momentum and near-term catalysts, as well as those tracking sector rotation and sentiment shifts, may find this comparison useful for understanding how market positioning differs between a defensive, margin-rich franchise and a cyclical recovery story gaining traction.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
GGG, founded in 1926, designs and manufactures fluid-handling systems for contractors, industrial, and process applications, spanning paint, powder finishing, semiconductor, and adhesive markets. The company has historically posted elite operating margins, supported by a strong balance sheet with minimal debt and returns on invested capital (ROIC, a measure of how efficiently a company generates profit from its capital) above 20%.
In recent weeks, however, sentiment has cooled. Graco reported record quarterly sales of roughly $586 million, up about 8% year over year, with incoming organic orders rising 7%. Yet results narrowly missed consensus, and adjusted operating margin slipped as project-heavy powder-finishing mix and acquisition integration weighed on profitability. Forward revenue guidance also came in below analyst expectations. The shares dropped sharply following the report and now trade near the lower end of their 52-week range, with weak price momentum offsetting otherwise solid fundamentals and a modest dividend yield.
TTC Overview and Recent Performance
TTC provides outdoor-environment solutions, including professional turf and landscape maintenance, snow and ice management, underground construction, irrigation, and residential yard equipment through brands such as Toro, Ditch Witch, and Exmark. The company operates in more than 125 countries and has raised its dividend for over two decades.
Recent market activity has favored TTC. The company has delivered consecutive quarterly beats, including roughly 8% sales growth in its latest reported periods, and has raised full-year guidance twice. Strength has been concentrated in the professional segment, driven by underground construction, golf, and landscape-contractor demand, while the AMP (Accelerate, Maximize, Perform) productivity initiative has supported margin expansion. The stock trades near a 52-week high, though its elevated valuation and an overbought momentum reading reflect a market already pricing in continued execution.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a focused selection of the platform's best-performing automated trading bots from a library of hundreds of AI-driven strategies that trade thousands of different tickers. These bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and the sets of tickers they monitor, so only those best suited to current market conditions earn a place in this curated section. For traders seeking a systematic, data-driven complement to manual analysis, reviewing which strategies are currently trending can provide useful context on how algorithmic models are reading momentum, volatility, and trend strength across names like GGG and TTC. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to see today's top strategies.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different risk-return profiles. GGG is the higher-margin, lower-debt, quality compounder, but its recent narrative has been dominated by margin compression, softer guidance, and acquisition integration costs, which have weighed on price momentum. Its valuation has de-rated to a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in the low 20s. TTC, by contrast, carries a richer multiple (trailing P/E near 29) and more leverage, yet it is delivering stronger top-line growth, positive earnings revisions, and improving margins. Toro's exposure to weather, tariffs, and consumer discretionary spending adds cyclicality, whereas Graco's diverse industrial base is generally steadier but growing more slowly. In relative-performance terms, TTC has clearly led over the past year, while GGG has lagged despite stronger underlying profitability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings momentum, guidance revisions, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors TTC over GGG. Toro's sustained earnings beats, upward guidance revisions, and proximity to 52-week highs reflect a more consistent positive trend, whereas Graco's margin compression and softer outlook have interrupted its momentum despite superior long-term profitability. This is a probabilistic assessment of current conditions rather than a definitive forecast, and positioning could shift as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a StrongBuy and TTC is a StrongBuy.
GGG in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
GGG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 38 cases where GGG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GGG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 66 cases where GGG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GGG as a result. In 44 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GGG just turned positive on November 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where GGG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GGG advanced for three days, in 147 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 88 of 211 cases where GGG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
GGG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GGG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GGG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GGG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.357) is normal, around the industry mean (3.843). P/E Ratio (21.009) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.971). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.334) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.643) is also within normal values, averaging (189.487).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GGG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
Aroon Indicator for TTC shows an upward move is likely
TTC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 172 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 114 of the 172 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTC as a result. In 56 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
TTC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTC advanced for three days, in 172 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TTC moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 60 cases where TTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TTC turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
TTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TTC's P/B Ratio (7.427) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.143). P/E Ratio (27.883) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.467). TTC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.874) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.020). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.890) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
GGG | TTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GGG's Valuation (77) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as TTC (89) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to TTC’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (87) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's SMR Rating (36) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (45) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (71) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
TTC's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (77) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | TTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 47% | 10 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TTC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.78% price change this week, while TTC (@Tools & Hardware) price change was -0.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +2.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.20%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -2.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Feb 01, 2027.
TTC is expected to report earnings on Dec 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+2.87% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-2.24% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
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TTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTC has been loosely correlated with GGG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTC jumps, then GGG could also see price increases.
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| Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X ETF (GGLS) | |||
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| Convergence Long/Short Equity ETF (CLSE) | |||