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GM vs TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? General Motors (GM) vs. Toyota Motor (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- General Motors (GM) delivered stronger recent quarterly results with raised full-year 2026 guidance following a Q2 earnings beat driven by North American operations.
- Toyota Motor (TM) reported mixed global sales trends with a modest H1 2026 decline, while maintaining a lower valuation multiple compared to GM.
- GM shares have posted robust year-to-date and longer-term returns, outperforming broader market benchmarks in recent market activity.
- TM stock has exhibited more volatility with recent price pressure ahead of its upcoming earnings release.
- Both automakers face sector-wide pressures including tariffs and electrification transitions, though their geographic exposures differ significantly.
- Relative momentum favors GM in the near term based on earnings momentum and guidance revisions.
Introduction
This comparison examines General Motors (GM) and Toyota Motor (TM), two leading global automakers with distinct business profiles and market exposures. GM operates primarily as a U.S.-centric manufacturer with a growing focus on electric vehicles and North American profitability. TM represents one of the world’s largest vehicle producers with a diversified international footprint and emphasis on hybrid and hydrogen technologies. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, risk factors, and positioning within the automotive sector amid evolving market conditions, tariff impacts, and technological shifts.
GM Overview and Recent Performance
General Motors (GM) manufactures and sells vehicles under brands including Chevrolet, GMC, and Cadillac, with significant operations in North America. In recent market activity, the company reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of approximately $48 billion and raised its full-year EBIT-adjusted guidance following a beat on earnings expectations. North American results provided key support, contributing to improved margins. The stock has shown resilience, trading near multi-year highs with positive year-to-date returns that have modestly exceeded the S&P 500 in the recent period. Sentiment has been influenced by the earnings upgrade and dividend declaration, though broader sector concerns around tariffs and EV adoption remain relevant factors.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor (TM) produces a wide range of vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brands, with leadership in hybrid technology and expanding hydrogen initiatives. Recent market activity reflects mixed sales trends, including a 2.3% dip in global volumes for the first half of 2026, offset by stronger U.S. sales growth in electrified models. The stock closed near $189 in late July, showing some near-term pressure ahead of the next earnings report. TM maintains a conservative valuation profile relative to peers, supported by its scale and diversified production base. Performance in recent weeks has been shaped by global demand fluctuations and competitive pressures in key markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
General Motors (GM) and Toyota Motor (TM) differ markedly in business models and exposure. GM derives the majority of its profits from North American operations with a stronger emphasis on trucks and SUVs, while TM maintains broader global reach and leads in hybrid powertrains. Recent momentum has favored GM following its earnings beat and guidance increase, whereas TM has faced headwinds from softer international volumes. Risk factors include tariff exposure for both, though GM’s U.S. focus may offer relative insulation. Sector sentiment remains cautious on electrification timelines, with TM benefiting from proven hybrid demand. Valuation metrics show TM trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio, presenting a contrast in perceived growth versus stability. Market positioning reflects these trade-offs: GM offers higher cyclical upside tied to domestic trends, while TM provides defensive characteristics through diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings momentum, guidance revisions, and trend consistency, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of relative outperformance to General Motors (GM) over Toyota Motor (TM) in the near term. GM’s Q2 results and upward adjustments provide clearer positive catalysts, while TM awaits its earnings release amid softer sales data. This assessment remains probabilistic and contingent on evolving market conditions, without constituting investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GM is a Hold and TM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GM (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -2.07% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +0.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -1.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
GM is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
TM is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-1.46% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| GM | TM | GM / TM | |
| Capitalization | 75.6B | 228B | 33% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 7.63T | 0% |
| Gain YTD | 4.951 | -11.810 | -42% |
| P/E Ratio | 38.46 | 8.73 | 441% |
| Revenue | 186B | 50.69T | 0% |
| Total Cash | 24.7B | 16.64T | 0% |
| Total Debt | 128B | 43.21T | 0% |
GM | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TM's Valuation (12) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as GM (19). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to GM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TM (85). This means that GM’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (63) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as GM (86). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to GM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's Price Growth Rating (22) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (59). This means that GM’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (54). This means that GM’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
| GM | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 71% | 7 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 59% |
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GM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GM has been loosely correlated with F. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GM jumps, then F could also see price increases.