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GM vs TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? General Motors (GM) vs. Toyota Motor (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GM shares have surged over 65% in the past year, vastly outperforming TM's near-flat returns of around 2%.
- Recent weeks have seen GM exhibit volatility with a 4% weekly drop to $78.05, yet maintaining positive momentum amid strong truck sales.
- TM has faced sharper declines, down about 10% over five days to $192.32, pressured by supply chain issues and tariffs.
- TM trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 11 versus GM's 26, offering potential value for long-term investors.
- Both stocks highlight contrasting strategies: GM's U.S.-centric EV push versus TM's global hybrid dominance.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits GM, a leading U.S. automaker focused on trucks, SUVs, and electric vehicles (EVs), against TM, the global giant renowned for hybrids and diversified production. Investors tracking the automotive sector amid the shift to electrification, supply chain recovery, and tariff concerns will find value here. Recent market activity underscores divergent paths: GM's robust North American performance versus TM's exposure to currency fluctuations and material costs. Traders seeking relative strength or value plays can use this analysis for informed positioning in a volatile industry.
GM Overview and Recent Performance
General Motors Company (GM) is a Detroit-based automaker with a stronghold in North American trucks and SUVs, alongside its Ultium EV platform. The company reported a market cap of approximately $70 billion and boasts strong profitability from high-margin internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. In recent market activity, shares closed at $78.05 after a 4% weekly decline amid broader sector pressures, yet year-to-date and one-year gains reflect resilience. Sentiment has been buoyed by leadership in U.S. sales, share buybacks exceeding $23 billion, and a dividend increase, though EV sales dips and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 28 introduce caution. Analyst consensus leans toward buy ratings with targets around $92-$98.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) stands as a global leader in hybrid technology and vehicle production, with operations spanning Japan, North America, and beyond. Its $250 billion market cap underscores scale, supported by a 3% dividend yield and P/E ratio near 11. Recent weeks brought declines, with shares at $192.32 after a 1.9% daily drop and 10% five-day loss, driven by aluminum supply disruptions, tariff impacts, and inflationary costs. Performance reflects challenges in EV transition and currency headwinds, despite hybrid strength and Q3 earnings beats. Analysts maintain hold-to-buy stances with targets up to $290, ahead of May 8 results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GM and TM represent contrasting business models: GM's North America-heavy focus yields 8-10% margins on trucks but exposes it to U.S. labor and EV losses, while TM's global diversification mitigates risks via hybrids yet contends with yen strength and supply chains. Growth drivers differ—GM leverages U.S. market share gains, TM hybrid volumes—but recent momentum favors GM's 65% annual rise over TM's stagnation. Risk factors include GM's union contracts and EV ramp-up versus TM's tariffs and materials. Market sentiment tilts toward GM for relative performance, though TM's lower valuation offers trade-offs for stability seekers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI would currently favor GM over TM, based on superior trend consistency, one-year momentum exceeding 65%, and stronger North American catalysts amid recent volatility. While TM provides defensive qualities like dividends and lower P/E, GM's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in the auto sector recovery.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GM is a Hold and TM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GM (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -0.74% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -1.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was +0.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
GM is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (+0.19% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| GM | TM | GM / TM | |
| Capitalization | 73.5B | 226B | 33% |
| EBITDA | 18.3B | 7.63T | 0% |
| Gain YTD | 0.676 | -18.271 | -4% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.74 | 9.51 | 313% |
| Revenue | 185B | 50.69T | 0% |
| Total Cash | 24.4B | 16.64T | 0% |
| Total Debt | 128B | 43.21T | 0% |
GM | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TM's Valuation (10) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as GM (19). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to GM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TM (81). This means that GM’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (65) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as GM (88). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to GM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (73). This means that GM’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
GM's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TM (29). This means that GM’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
| GM | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 19 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 48% |
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TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with HMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then HMC could also see price increases.