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GPRE vs LYB
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GPRE is a Hold and LYB is a StrongBuy.
GPRE's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for GPRE entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 277 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 247 of the 277 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GPRE as a result. In 81 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GPRE turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
GPRE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for GPRE moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPRE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +8.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPRE advanced for three days, in 208 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
GPRE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPRE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.121) is normal, around the industry mean (1.145). P/E Ratio (7.439) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.185). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.870) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.139) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.634) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPRE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for LYB turns positive, indicating new upward trend
LYB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 102 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 63 of the 102 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LYB just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where LYB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
LYB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LYB advanced for three days, in 183 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for LYB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LYB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
LYB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LYB entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 27 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.915) is normal, around the industry mean (2.359). P/E Ratio (-56.491) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.526) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.670) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LYB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LYB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
GPRE | LYB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LYB's Valuation (27) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPRE (87). This means that LYB’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPRE’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as GPRE (100). This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to GPRE’s over the last 12 months.
GPRE's SMR Rating (55) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LYB (92). This means that GPRE’s stock grew somewhat faster than LYB’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as GPRE (59). This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to GPRE’s over the last 12 months.
GPRE's P/E Growth Rating (62) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LYB (98). This means that GPRE’s stock grew somewhat faster than LYB’s over the last 12 months.
| GPRE | LYB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 75% | 7 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 11 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GPRE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while LYB’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GPRE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LYB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GPRE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LYB’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GPRE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LYB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GPRE (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -5.09% price change this week, while LYB (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +3.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +0.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
GPRE is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
LYB is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-2.10% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (+0.09% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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GPRE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPRE has been loosely correlated with REX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPRE jumps, then REX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPRE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPRE | 100% | -1.77% | ||
| REX - GPRE | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.40% | ||
| ALB - GPRE | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| LYB - GPRE | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.32% | ||
| DD - GPRE | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| CC - GPRE | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.70% | ||
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LYB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LYB has been closely correlated with DOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LYB jumps, then DOW could also see price increases.