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HAYW vs POWL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hayward Holdings (HAYW) vs. Powell Industries (POWL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Hayward Holdings (HAYW), a leader in pool equipment, beat Q1 earnings estimates with 12% sales growth but saw shares decline amid broader market caution.
- Powell Industries (POWL) delivered robust recent performance, rising over 33% in the past month, fueled by a record backlog and a 3-for-1 stock split.
- POWL boasts a 330% 52-week gain, contrasting HAYW's more modest 19% annual return.
- Both stocks operate in cyclical sectors, but POWL's exposure to data centers and electrification provides stronger growth tailwinds than HAYW's seasonal pool market.
- Investor sentiment favors POWL for momentum trading, while HAYW appeals to value seekers post-earnings dip.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HAYW and POWL, two mid-cap companies navigating distinct market dynamics. Hayward Holdings focuses on residential pool products amid recovering leisure spending, while Powell Industries capitalizes on industrial electrification demands. Traders and investors analyzing relative performance may find value here, particularly those tracking sector rotations, earnings momentum, and AI-driven signals in volatile conditions. With recent earnings and macroeconomic shifts influencing sentiment, this analysis highlights key contrasts in growth potential, risk profiles, and market positioning for informed decision-making.
HAYW Overview and Recent Performance
Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) designs, manufactures, and markets energy-efficient pool equipment and automation systems, primarily serving North America, Europe, and Australia. The company benefits from seasonal demand in residential and commercial pools, with products including pumps, filters, and sanitizers.
In recent market activity, HAYW reported Q1 fiscal 2026 results, posting net sales of $255.2 million, up 12% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $0.13, surpassing consensus estimates by 18% and 6% respectively. The firm raised its full-year outlook, signaling confidence in volume recovery and margin expansion. However, shares fell around 7% post-earnings, reflecting investor concerns over persistent input costs and softer replacement demand in recent weeks. Broader sentiment remains cautious, with the stock down modestly over the past six months despite a 19% one-year gain.
POWL Overview and Recent Performance
Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) specializes in custom-engineered electrical power distribution and control systems for sectors like oil and gas, utilities, data centers, and mining. Its solutions support mission-critical infrastructure, including switchgear and motor controls.
Recent quarters have showcased POWL's strength, with shares surging over 33% in the past 30 days and 26.5% following a 3-for-1 stock split announcement alongside a record backlog update. The stock has climbed to near 52-week highs around $279 from lows of $55, delivering 330% annual gains. Momentum stems from robust demand in electrification and AI-related data center projects, bolstered by solid quarterly revenue growth and effective cost management. Positive analyst ratings underscore sustained backlog visibility, though rapid appreciation introduces valuation scrutiny in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HAYW and POWL diverge in business models: HAYW’s consumer-oriented pool products face seasonal cycles and weather sensitivity, while POWL’s B2B electrical systems thrive on long-cycle projects in high-growth areas like data centers. Growth drivers favor POWL, with explosive backlog expansion versus HAYW’s gradual recovery.
Recent momentum starkly contrasts: POWL’s 33% monthly surge outpaces HAYW’s post-earnings pullback. Risk factors include cyclicality for both, but POWL’s project concentration adds execution risks, offset by diversification. Sector exposure positions POWL in booming industrials, while HAYW ties to discretionary spending. Market sentiment leans bullish on POWL’s catalysts versus HAYW’s steady but unexciting trajectory.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors POWL over HAYW, driven by superior trend consistency, record backlog stability, and alignment with electrification megatrends. While HAYW shows earnings resilience, POWL’s relative strength suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance amid favorable sector positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HAYW is a StrongBuy and POWL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HAYW’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePOWL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- HAYW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- POWL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HAYW’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while POWL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HAYW’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- POWL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HAYW (@Electrical Products) experienced а +0.14% price change this week, while POWL (@Electrical Products) price change was -0.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electrical Products industry was -0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
HAYW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
POWL is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electrical Products (-0.72% weekly)The industry produces a diverse range of electricity-powered equipment, appliances and components, catering to both households and industries. The products include power, distribution and specialty transformers; electric motors, generators and motor-generator sets; switchgear and switchboard apparatus; light bulbs, tubes, fittings and electric signs etc. Consumer income, construction spending, and industrial production are major drivers of demand for this industry’s products. Large companies tend to have economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution, while smaller companies can potentially carve out their own market through niche or specialty offerings. The US electrical products manufacturing industry includes about 5,700 establishments (single-location companies and units of multi-location companies) with combined annual revenue of about $125 billion. (according to a study published in First Research). Emerson Electric Co., Hubbell Incorporated and Eaton Corporation plc are major electrical products makers in the U.S.
| HAYW | POWL | HAYW / POWL | |
| Capitalization | 3.21B | 10.6B | 30% |
| EBITDA | 312M | 232M | 134% |
| Gain YTD | -4.142 | 174.818 | -2% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.32 | 60.08 | 34% |
| Revenue | 1.15B | 1.13B | 102% |
| Total Cash | 231M | 545M | 42% |
| Total Debt | 963M | 1.96M | 49,258% |
POWL | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HAYW | POWL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 14 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 86% |
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HAYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HAYW has been loosely correlated with HUBB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HAYW jumps, then HUBB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HAYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAYW | 100% | -0.13% | ||
| HUBB - HAYW | 43% Loosely correlated | -5.46% | ||
| POWL - HAYW | 42% Loosely correlated | -5.30% | ||
| RUN - HAYW | 41% Loosely correlated | -5.95% | ||
| AYI - HAYW | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.14% | ||
| ENPH - HAYW | 40% Loosely correlated | -9.90% | ||
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POWL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, POWL has been loosely correlated with VRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if POWL jumps, then VRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To POWL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWL | 100% | -5.30% | ||
| VRT - POWL | 53% Loosely correlated | -11.07% | ||
| AEIS - POWL | 48% Loosely correlated | -5.99% | ||
| NVT - POWL | 46% Loosely correlated | -8.66% | ||
| ENS - POWL | 46% Loosely correlated | -4.08% | ||
| PLPC - POWL | 44% Loosely correlated | -4.43% | ||
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