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HDSN vs NGVT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hudson Technologies (HDSN) vs. Ingevity (NGVT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HDSN (Hudson Technologies) is a small-cap refrigerant reclamation and services company whose stock has fallen sharply in recent months on margin and pricing pressure.
- NGVT (Ingevity) is a specialty chemicals and activated carbon producer that has delivered stronger recent momentum and positive analyst sentiment.
- The two names differ materially in scale, sector exposure, balance-sheet leverage, and current trend direction.
- HDSN carries regulatory tailwinds from the AIM Act but faces near-term earnings compression; NGVT is benefiting from a portfolio streamlining toward higher-margin businesses.
- Relative performance, trend consistency, and catalyst visibility currently appear more favorable for NGVT, though each carries distinct risks.
Introduction
Comparing HDSN and NGVT places two very different industrial businesses side by side. Hudson Technologies operates in the refrigerant reclamation and management space, while Ingevity manufactures activated carbon and specialty chemicals. Despite both being tied to industrial and environmental demand, their recent market positioning has diverged considerably. This stock comparison is most relevant for traders and investors evaluating relative performance, sector-specific catalysts, and the trade-off between a beaten-down small-cap story and a recovering mid-cap chemicals name. Understanding how each stock has behaved in recent weeks offers a useful lens on momentum, sentiment, and risk.
HDSN Overview and Recent Performance
HDSN, or Hudson Technologies, is a leading provider of refrigerant and industrial gas services, including reclamation, laboratory testing, and system decontamination, headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. The company sits at the center of the U.S. phasedown of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), which are potent greenhouse gases, under the American Innovation and Manufacturing Act (AIM Act). In theory, this creates a structural demand tailwind for reclaimed refrigerant, but recent market activity tells a different short-term story.
Over recent weeks, HDSN shares have traded near the lower end of their 52-week range, with the stock down sharply on a trailing 12-month basis. Recent quarterly results highlighted a familiar tension: revenue has continued to grow, but profitability has compressed as refrigerant pricing and margins softened. Analysts have trimmed price targets while maintaining Buy ratings, reflecting a view that the regulatory catalyst is intact but delayed. The company also signed a joint development agreement with Icorium to commercialize extractive distillation technology, a longer-term efficiency initiative. Sentiment remains cautious as investors weigh near-term margin headwinds against a favorable multi-year regulatory backdrop.
NGVT Overview and Recent Performance
NGVT, or Ingevity Corporation, is a specialty chemicals and materials company based in North Charleston, South Carolina. It manufactures activated carbon used in automotive emissions control and purification, and it has streamlined its portfolio to emphasize its Performance Materials and Pavement Technologies businesses. This transformation has refocused the company on higher-margin, cash-generative operations.
In recent weeks, NGVT has shown comparatively stronger stock behavior, trading well above its 52-week low and delivering solid gains on a year-to-date and trailing 12-month basis. Recent earnings beat consensus expectations, and management commentary has emphasized disciplined capital allocation, cost reductions, and growth in advanced carbon solutions for hybrids and water-treatment applications. Analyst sentiment skews positive, with a Strong Buy consensus and price targets above the current share price. That said, the company carries a meaningfully higher debt load, and leverage remains a key risk factor investors should monitor.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is scale and momentum. NGVT is a roughly $2.4 billion company with positive recent returns and a lower short-interest profile, while HDSN is a micro-cap under $220 million that has been consolidating at depressed levels.
From a business-model standpoint, HDSN's earnings are highly sensitive to refrigerant pricing cycles and the pace of regulatory phasedowns, making its fundamentals somewhat volatile quarter to quarter. NGVT, by contrast, derives steadier demand from diversified end markets including automotive emissions control, water treatment, and pavement technologies, though it carries substantially more debt.
Risk factors also diverge. HDSN faces near-term margin compression and delayed regulatory catalysts but maintains a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. NGVT offers better trend consistency and clearer earnings momentum but must manage elevated leverage and exposure to industrial cyclicality. Sector exposure is another differentiator: HDSN is tied to HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and environmental regulation, while NGVT spans specialty chemicals and materials.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor NGVT in the current environment. The stock's more consistent uptrend, positive earnings revisions, stronger analyst consensus, and clearer catalyst visibility give it a relative edge in trend and stability. HDSN retains a compelling long-term regulatory narrative and a conservative balance sheet, but its weaker recent momentum and compressed profitability suggest the AI would assign it a lower probability of near-term outperformance. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and positioning could shift as earnings, pricing, and regulatory developments unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HDSN is a StrongBuy and NGVT is a Hold.
HDSN in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026
HDSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 31 cases where HDSN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HDSN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 54 cases where HDSN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HDSN as a result. In 63 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +1.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HDSN advanced for three days, in 193 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HDSN turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
HDSN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HDSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for HDSN entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.723) is normal, around the industry mean (2.284). P/E Ratio (19.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.392) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.885) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HDSN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HDSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
NGVT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NGVT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 05, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NGVT as a result. In 49 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NGVT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NGVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The 50-day moving average for NGVT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NGVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NGVT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 33 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NGVT advanced for three days, in 214 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
NGVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NGVT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NGVT's P/B Ratio (44.068) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.284). P/E Ratio (38.293) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.530) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.107) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NGVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
HDSN | NGVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 7 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HDSN's Valuation (54) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NGVT (99) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that HDSN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
HDSN's Profit vs Risk Rating (92) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as NGVT (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that HDSN’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's SMR Rating (18) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for HDSN (86) in the Environmental Services industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew significantly faster than HDSN’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as HDSN (74) in the Environmental Services industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew similarly to HDSN’s over the last 12 months.
HDSN's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NGVT (71) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that HDSN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
| HDSN | NGVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 17 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 74% | 7 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HDSN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NGVT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HDSN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NGVT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HDSN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGVT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HDSN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NGVT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HDSN (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +8.31% price change this week, while NGVT (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -2.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
HDSN is expected to report earnings on Mar 10, 2027.
NGVT is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-1.17% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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HDSN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HDSN has been loosely correlated with NGVT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HDSN jumps, then NGVT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HDSN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDSN | 100% | -0.67% | ||
| NGVT - HDSN | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| CE - HDSN | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| HUN - HDSN | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| OLN - HDSN | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.29% | ||
| ASIX - HDSN | 32% Poorly correlated | +2.01% | ||
More | ||||
NGVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGVT has been loosely correlated with MTX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGVT jumps, then MTX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NGVT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGVT | 100% | -2.01% | ||
| MTX - NGVT | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| FUL - NGVT | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| AVNT - NGVT | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.83% | ||
| KWR - NGVT | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| EMN - NGVT | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VNQI | 43.59 | 0.15 | +0.35% |
| Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF (VNQI) | |||
| THMR | 24.59 | 0.05 | +0.21% |
| THOR AdaptiveRisk Dynamic ETF (THMR) | |||
| PFRL | 49.40 | 0.06 | +0.13% |
| PGIM Floating Rate Income ETF (PFRL) | |||
| IAK | 152.49 | 0.03 | +0.02% |
| iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (IAK) | |||
| NUGY | 10.86 | -0.15 | -1.39% |
| GraniteShares YieldBOOST Gold Miners ETF (NUGY) | |||