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MTX vs NGVT
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTX is a Hold and NGVT is a Hold.
MTX's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for MTX entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 165 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 111 of the 165 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTX as a result. In 54 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTX turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.
The 50-day moving average for MTX moved below the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTX advanced for three days, in 194 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
MTX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.347) is normal, around the industry mean (6.363). P/E Ratio (14.246) is within average values for comparable stocks, (209.940). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.998) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MTX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
NGVT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NGVT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NGVT as a result. In 57 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
NGVT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NGVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NGVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for NGVT entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NGVT advanced for three days, in 214 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
NGVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NGVT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NGVT's P/B Ratio (53.191) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.363). P/E Ratio (102.451) is within average values for comparable stocks, (209.940). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.530) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.107) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NGVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
MTX | NGVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTX's Valuation (57) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NGVT (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that MTX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
MTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as NGVT (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that MTX’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's SMR Rating (18) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTX (92) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTX’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MTX (61) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew similarly to MTX’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTX (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew significantly faster than MTX’s over the last 12 months.
| MTX | NGVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 29 days ago 65% | 10 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTX’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NGVT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MTX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NGVT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGVT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NGVT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTX (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -3.26% price change this week, while NGVT (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -3.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -2.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTX is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NGVT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-2.90% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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NGVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGVT has been loosely correlated with AVNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGVT jumps, then AVNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NGVT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGVT | 100% | +1.46% | ||
| AVNT - NGVT | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| FUL - NGVT | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| MTX - NGVT | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.40% | ||
| PPG - NGVT | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| KWR - NGVT | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.47% | ||
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