Advertisement
HOOD vs IBKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Robinhood Markets (HOOD) vs. Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Robinhood Markets (HOOD) delivered record revenue in its latest quarter, but year-over-year growth slowed to roughly 12% — a sharp deceleration from triple-digit growth a year earlier — while Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) posted steadier, balance-sheet-driven expansion.
- HOOD has materially underperformed the broader market, down roughly 25% year to date and more than 40% below its 52-week high, whereas IBKR has outperformed brokerage peers on account, equity, and margin-balance growth.
- IBKR combines a roughly 78% pretax margin, a debt-free balance sheet, and a 71% dividend increase, signaling more diversified and stable earnings; HOOD remains more sensitive to crypto trading and retail risk appetite.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) — its trend consistency, profitability stability, and relative strength give it the edge over HOOD in the current market environment.
- For deeper context, explore HOOD Major News and HOOD Today's Price Move, along with IBKR Major News and IBKR Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-powered strategies are positioning across the market, browse the curated Trending AI Robots section.
Introduction
Robinhood Markets and Interactive Brokers Group are two of the most closely watched names in digital brokerage, yet they serve different ends of the investor spectrum. Robinhood built its brand around a young, mobile-first retail audience, while Interactive Brokers is a technology-driven platform favored by sophisticated, globally active traders and institutions. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing high-growth but volatility-sensitive exposure against a more diversified, higher-margin operator. Recent quarterly reports have widened the contrast between the two, making now a useful moment to assess relative performance, market positioning, and which name currently offers the more consistent trend for traders and long-term investors alike.
HOOD Overview and Recent Performance
Robinhood Markets (HOOD) operates a consumer-focused brokerage offering equities, options, futures, cryptocurrency, prediction markets, retirement accounts, and a growing banking suite. In its most recent quarter, the company reported record revenue of approximately $1.42 billion, up about 12% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit per share) modestly beat consensus. However, the pace of growth has cooled sharply from the prior year, and cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell by roughly 55%, underscoring how sensitive the business remains to shifts in crypto activity and retail risk appetite.
Sentiment has weakened in recent weeks. The stock trades well below its 52-week high and has underperformed the broader market and financial-sector peers over the past year. Even so, fundamentals show resilience: net deposits have remained strong, Robinhood Gold subscribers reached a record, and event-contract and prediction-market revenue has grown quickly. The central tension for HOOD is between a still-expanding customer base and a decelerating, crypto-dependent revenue mix trading at a premium price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple.
IBKR Overview and Recent Performance
Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) runs a highly automated global electronic brokerage, earning from commissions, net interest income on client balances, and margin lending. Its latest quarter showed revenue of roughly $1.91 billion and EPS that edged past estimates, supported by a 35% year-over-year rise in customer accounts, a 27% increase in customer equity, and a 36% jump in margin loans. Commission revenue and net interest income both advanced, even as equity and options trading volumes cooled sequentially.
In recent weeks, management raised the quarterly dividend by 71% — a signal of confidence backed by a debt-free balance sheet and a pretax margin near 78%. The company has also expanded internationally, adding market access in South Korea, Romania, and Brazil, and rolled out new offerings such as Ethereum staking and AI-assisted trading tools. Despite this, the stock has pulled back from its 52-week high as investors digested a slowdown in trading activity per account, even while the firm's longer-term account and asset growth remain among the strongest in the industry.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large ecosystem of AI-powered trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Because not every bot is suited to every market regime, only the strategies most aligned with current conditions are featured in the curated Trending AI Robots section. These bots span a wide range of trading styles, timeframes, risk profiles, performance statistics, and ticker universes, giving traders a way to evaluate systematic approaches rather than relying on discretion alone. For those interested in how algorithmic strategies are currently positioning across names like HOOD and IBKR, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can offer additional, data-driven context.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two firms differ most sharply in their revenue engines and client bases. HOOD leans on transaction-driven activity, including a volatile cryptocurrency franchise, and serves a younger, mass-market audience — producing fast growth but also greater earnings cyclicality. IBKR derives a larger share of profit from recurring net interest income and a global, multi-asset platform, which has made its results more balanced and its margins exceptionally high.
On momentum, IBKR has shown stronger relative performance and trend consistency over the past year, even after a recent pullback, while HOOD has lagged amid decelerating growth. In terms of risk, HOOD carries concentration risk tied to crypto and retail sentiment, whereas IBKR faces sensitivity to interest rates and trading-activity levels. Both trade at premium valuations relative to traditional brokers, but IBKR currently pairs its multiple with steadier profitability and a return of capital to shareholders.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors — trend consistency, earnings stability, balance-sheet strength, and relative positioning — Tickeron's AI would currently favor Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) over Robinhood Markets (HOOD). IBKR exhibits a steadier uptrend, exceptionally high and durable margins, a debt-free capital position, and diversified, balance-sheet-led growth, all of which tend to support more consistent price behavior. HOOD retains meaningful long-term growth potential, but its recent revenue deceleration, crypto sensitivity, and relative underperformance suggest a less stable near-term setup. This assessment reflects probabilistic, trend-based analysis rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HOOD is a Hold and IBKR is a Buy.
HOOD's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for HOOD moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOOD advanced for three days, in 259 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
HOOD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HOOD as a result. In 50 of 68 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
HOOD moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HOOD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOOD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator for HOOD entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOOD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HOOD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.673) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). HOOD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (35.026) as compared to the industry average of (6.734). HOOD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.033) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (19.455) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
IBKR in +4.08% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 04, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where IBKR advanced for three days, in 252 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IBKR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
IBKR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IBKR as a result. In 48 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IBKR turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.
IBKR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBKR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator for IBKR entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBKR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.818) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). P/E Ratio (29.968) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.406) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.498) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
IBKR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HOOD | IBKR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 79% | 7 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HOOD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while IBKR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HOOD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IBKR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HOOD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IBKR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HOOD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- IBKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HOOD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -4.80% price change this week, while IBKR (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -1.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
HOOD is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
IBKR is expected to report earnings on Jan 19, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.39% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
Advertisement
IBKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IBKR has been closely correlated with MS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IBKR jumps, then MS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IBKR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBKR | 100% | +4.25% | ||
| MS - IBKR | 69% Closely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| HOOD - IBKR | 68% Closely correlated | +3.21% | ||
| GS - IBKR | 67% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| RJF - IBKR | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| BMNR - IBKR | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
More | ||||