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HZO vs KMX
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HZO is a Hold and KMX is a StrongBuy.
HZO in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
HZO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 53 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +0.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HZO advanced for three days, in 202 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
HZO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HZO moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HZO as a result. In 76 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HZO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for HZO entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HZO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HZO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.216) is normal, around the industry mean (2.368). HZO's P/E Ratio (308.353) is considerably higher than the industry average of (17.442). HZO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.536) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
KMX sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 16, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for KMX moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 45 of the 57 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KMX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMX just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +7.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in 213 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
KMX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for KMX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for KMX entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.194) is normal, around the industry mean (1.320). P/E Ratio (31.981) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.107). KMX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.417) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.324) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
HZO | KMX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 10 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMX's Valuation (83) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HZO (97). This means that KMX’s stock grew similarly to HZO’s over the last 12 months.
HZO's Profit vs Risk Rating (94) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KMX (100). This means that HZO’s stock grew similarly to KMX’s over the last 12 months.
KMX's SMR Rating (86) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HZO (90). This means that KMX’s stock grew similarly to HZO’s over the last 12 months.
HZO's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KMX (52). This means that HZO’s stock grew similarly to KMX’s over the last 12 months.
KMX's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HZO (8). This means that KMX’s stock grew similarly to HZO’s over the last 12 months.
| HZO | KMX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 7 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 75% | 11 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HZO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while KMX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HZO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KMX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HZO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HZO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KMX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HZO (@Specialty Stores) experienced а +0.06% price change this week, while KMX (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +0.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +0.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.78%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
HZO is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
KMX is expected to report earnings on Dec 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+0.52% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.73% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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