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ICE vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) vs. S&P Global (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ICE has delivered stronger year-to-date performance relative to SPGI amid broader market volatility.
- Both companies benefit from recurring revenue streams tied to financial markets infrastructure and data services.
- ICE reported record first-quarter 2026 revenues driven by diversified operations including exchanges and mortgage technology.
- SPGI completed the separation of its Mobility division in early July 2026, streamlining its focus on core ratings and data segments.
- Upcoming second-quarter earnings reports for both stocks (late July 2026) are expected to provide clarity on recent trading volumes and organic growth.
- Market sentiment remains influenced by interest rate expectations and overall equity trading activity for both names.
Introduction
This comparison examines ICE and SPGI, two established players in financial market infrastructure and information services. Investors and traders seeking exposure to stable, fee-based business models often evaluate these stocks for their defensive characteristics and sensitivity to market activity levels. The analysis highlights recent relative performance, operational developments, and positioning within the current environment to support informed portfolio decisions.
ICE Overview and Recent Performance
Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across equities, fixed income, and commodities. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience supported by strong trading volumes reported for June 2026, with year-over-year growth in open interest across multiple asset classes. Record first-quarter revenues of $3.0 billion reflected broad-based demand for its mission-critical platforms. Recent market activity has been shaped by investor focus on macroeconomic uncertainty and the company’s diversified revenue streams, including mortgage technology. Analysts anticipate second-quarter results on July 30, 2026.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global provides credit ratings, benchmarks, and analytics to global financial markets. The company completed the separation of its Mobility division into an independent public entity on July 1, 2026, sharpening focus on its core segments. Recent performance reflects steady demand for ratings and index services, though the stock has faced pressure from broader market rotations. Second-quarter earnings are scheduled for July 28, 2026, with expectations centered on organic growth and margin trends. Sentiment in recent weeks has been influenced by credit market conditions and the post-separation corporate structure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ICE operates a broader exchange and clearing ecosystem with exposure to trading volumes, while SPGI maintains a leading position in credit ratings and benchmark indices, both generating substantial recurring revenue. Growth drivers differ: ICE benefits from expanding derivatives and data offerings, whereas SPGI leverages its ratings oligopoly and index licensing. Recent momentum has favored ICE on stronger volume-related catalysts, while SPGI offers a more streamlined post-separation profile. Risk factors include volume cyclicality for ICE and credit-cycle sensitivity for SPGI. Market sentiment currently reflects caution around interest rates for both, though ICE shows comparatively greater year-to-date stability in available data.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to ICE based on more consistent trend behavior, superior year-to-date relative performance, and positive operational catalysts such as elevated trading activity. SPGI presents competitive strengths in benchmark dominance but shows comparatively softer recent momentum. The assessment remains subject to incoming earnings data and evolving macroeconomic conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ICE is a StrongBuy and SPGI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ICE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSPGI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ICE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ICE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ICE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ICE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +2.05% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -2.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was +1.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
ICE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (+1.72% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| ICE | SPGI | ICE / SPGI | |
| Capitalization | 77.9B | 130B | 60% |
| EBITDA | 7.53B | 8.14B | 93% |
| Gain YTD | -14.406 | -10.985 | 131% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.04 | 27.69 | 72% |
| Revenue | 13.1B | 15.7B | 83% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 21B | 13.8B | 152% |
ICE | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 41 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ICE's Valuation (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (78) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
ICE's Profit vs Risk Rating (70) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (72) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
SPGI's SMR Rating (58) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (61) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
SPGI's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (63) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
SPGI's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (93) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
| ICE | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 8 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 56% |
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ICE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ICE has been loosely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ICE jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ICE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 100% | +1.78% | ||
| MCO - ICE | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.73% | ||
| SPGI - ICE | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.70% | ||
| TW - ICE | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.86% | ||
| TRU - ICE | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.59% | ||
| MSCI - ICE | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.57% | ||
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SPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGI has been closely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPGI jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGI | 100% | +1.70% | ||
| MCO - SPGI | 88% Closely correlated | +1.73% | ||
| NDAQ - SPGI | 68% Closely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| MSCI - SPGI | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.57% | ||
| FDS - SPGI | 64% Loosely correlated | +6.47% | ||
| MORN - SPGI | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
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