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ICE vs MCO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) vs. Moody's Corporation (MCO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCO has outperformed ICE year-to-date with a 9.61% return compared to ICE's 2.78%.
- Both stocks maintain similar market capitalizations around $80-90 billion, reflecting their stature in financial services.
- MCO recently reported strong Q1 results with 8% revenue growth, while ICE approaches its earnings release with expected EPS growth.
- ICE trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.15 versus MCO's 33.05, suggesting relative value.
- Analyst consensus favors both with buy ratings and upside potential to targets exceeding current prices.
- Recent market volatility has supported activity in exchanges like ICE, while analytics demand bolsters MCO.
Introduction
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and Moody's Corporation (MCO) represent key players in the financial infrastructure space, providing essential services like exchanges, data analytics, and credit ratings. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders focused on financial services sectors, where market volatility, regulatory shifts, and data demand drive performance. By examining recent trends, business models, and momentum, readers can gauge relative positioning in today's environment of heightened trading activity and economic uncertainty. Both offer exposure to recurring revenue streams but differ in growth drivers and risk profiles.
ICE Overview and Recent Performance
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) operates global exchanges including the New York Stock Exchange, clearing houses, and provides data services and mortgage technology solutions. In recent market activity, ICE shares have traded in the mid-to-upper $150s range, reflecting modest gains amid broader sector pressures. Sentiment has been influenced by record market volumes reported in recent quarters, driven by volatility in commodities and equities. Investors anticipate Q1 2026 earnings on April 30, with projections for 29.1% EPS growth to $2.22 and 16.6% revenue increase to $2.88 billion. Key developments include investments in private credit intelligence and blockchain initiatives, supporting long-term data and tech expansion.
MCO Overview and Recent Performance
Moody's Corporation (MCO) delivers credit ratings through Moody's Ratings and risk analytics via Moody's Analytics. Recent weeks have seen MCO shares rise toward $460, buoyed by a strong Q1 2026 earnings report showing 8% revenue growth to $2.08 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.33, surpassing estimates. Performance reflects robust demand for analytics amid economic volatility and steady ratings issuance. Organic revenue grew 6% across segments, with adjusted operating income up 11%. Strategic AI integration and focus on high-growth areas like structured finance have enhanced sentiment, positioning MCO favorably in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ICE and MCO both thrive in financial data ecosystems but diverge in models: ICE benefits from transaction volumes and exchange fees, sensitive to market volatility, while MCO relies on ratings issuance and subscription-based analytics, offering more recurring stability. Growth drivers include ICE's mortgage tech and data expansions versus MCO's AI-enhanced analytics amid rising credit scrutiny. Recent momentum favors MCO with stronger YTD gains and post-earnings lift, contrasting ICE's steadier but lower trajectory ahead of results. Risk factors encompass regulatory oversight for both, though ICE faces higher cyclicality from trading volumes. Sector exposure aligns in financials, with positive market sentiment bolstered by analyst upgrades and economic resilience trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward MCO based on superior recent trend consistency, earnings momentum, and analytics growth catalysts positioning it ahead in relative performance. ICE presents attractive value with its lower valuation and upcoming earnings potential, but MCO's stability and outperformance suggest higher probability of near-term upside in probabilistic terms.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ICE is a StrongBuy and MCO is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ICE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMCO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ICE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ICE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ICE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ICE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -5.86% price change this week, while MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -1.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -4.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
ICE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-4.91% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| ICE | MCO | ICE / MCO | |
| Capitalization | 75.2B | 77.6B | 97% |
| EBITDA | 7.53B | 3.96B | 190% |
| Gain YTD | -17.310 | -12.036 | 144% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.12 | 32.09 | 60% |
| Revenue | 13.1B | 7.87B | 166% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.51B | - |
| Total Debt | 21B | 7.31B | 287% |
ICE | MCO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ICE's Valuation (57) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as MCO (86) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (71) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's SMR Rating (15) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ICE (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than ICE’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (64) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's P/E Growth Rating (73) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (92) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
| ICE | MCO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 43% |
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MCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCO has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCO jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCO | 100% | -0.74% | ||
| SPGI - MCO | 88% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| JEF - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MSCI - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| SF - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.37% | ||
| GS - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
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