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ICE vs TW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) vs. Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ICE, with a market capitalization of approximately $89 billion, offers diversified revenue from exchanges, fixed income data, and mortgage technology, while TW focuses on electronic trading platforms with a $24 billion market cap.
- Recent performance shows ICE down modestly over the past month amid broader market volatility, trading near $157, compared to TW's stability around $111.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated trading volumes in rates and fixed income, with upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30 for ICE and April 29 for TW anticipated to show growth.
- TW exhibits lower beta (0.78) indicating reduced volatility relative to the market, versus ICE's beta of 1.04.
- Tickeron's technical analysis scores favor TW (5 bullish, 5 bearish indicators) over ICE (3 bullish, 7 bearish).
Introduction
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and Tradeweb Markets (TW) are key players in the financial markets infrastructure space, providing electronic trading platforms and data services amid rising volumes in rates, fixed income, and derivatives. This comparison is relevant for traders seeking exposure to market volatility beneficiaries and investors evaluating growth in fintech-enabled trading venues. With both companies reporting upcoming earnings and benefiting from macroeconomic shifts like interest rate dynamics, understanding their relative performance, risk profiles, and positioning aids informed decision-making in the current environment.
ICE Overview and Recent Performance
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) operates regulated exchanges for derivatives and equities, alongside fixed income data services and mortgage technology solutions. Its diversified segments include global clearing houses and analytics for commodities, interest rates, and ETFs. In recent market activity, ICE shares have fluctuated in the mid-$150s to low-$160s range, reflecting broader volatility in financial markets that boosts trading volumes across its platforms. Sentiment has been supported by strong derivative activity and mortgage delinquency trends, though the stock has softened slightly over recent weeks. Key influences include anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 30, 2026, with expected EPS growth of 29.1% year-over-year to $2.22, driven by higher revenues from exchanges and data services. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 27.15, with a 52-week range of $143.17 to $189.35.
TW Overview and Recent Performance
Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) builds electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving institutional clients like asset managers and banks with pre-trade analytics, execution, and post-trade reporting. Its platforms facilitate request-for-quote and all-to-all trading in fixed income products. Over recent weeks, TW shares have held steady around $111, amid fluctuations tied to U.S. Treasury yield movements and geopolitical tensions impacting rates trading. Performance reflects resilience in electronic trading volumes, with the stock benefiting from steady institutional demand. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 29, 2026, are expected to highlight growth, following strong prior quarterly results. Trading at a PE ratio of 29.48, TW has a 52-week range of $97.06 to $149.25, underscoring its positioning in a high-volume fixed income environment.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the platform's top 25 AI trading bots out of 351 available, selected by AI analysis as most suitable for current market conditions across key industries. These bots employ varied trading styles—from signal agents to virtual and brokerage agents—targeting thousands of tickers with strategies spanning short-term trends, pattern recognition, and risk-adjusted returns. While specific performance stats vary, the trending selection highlights bots with strong historical win rates, profit factors, and annualized returns optimized for volatility and momentum plays. Traders can copy these automated systems to diversify approaches and adapt to dynamic markets. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to identify tools aligned with stocks like ICE and TW.
Head-to-Head Comparison
ICE and TW both thrive on trading volumes but differ in business models: ICE's broader ecosystem spans physical exchanges and mortgage tech for recurring data revenues, while TW specializes in institutional fixed income execution with protocol-agnostic platforms. Growth drivers include interest rate volatility favoring rates products, though ICE gains from equities and commodities exposure. Recent momentum tilts toward TW with balanced technical signals, versus ICE's bearish tilt. Risk factors show TW's lower beta (0.78) offering stability over ICE (1.04), amid shared sector risks from regulatory changes. Market sentiment remains positive for both ahead of earnings, with ICE commanding a larger scale but TW higher growth potential in electronic trading.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward TW based on its more balanced technical analysis score (5 bullish, 5 bearish indicators) compared to ICE (3 bullish, 7 bearish), alongside lower volatility and steady momentum in rates trading. Factors like upcoming earnings catalysts and relative stability position TW favorably in the near term, though ICE’s diversification provides resilience. This assessment reflects observable trends rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ICE is a StrongBuy and TW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ICE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ICE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ICE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ICE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ICE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -5.86% price change this week, while TW (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -4.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.89%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -2.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
ICE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TW is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-4.91% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-2.25% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| ICE | TW | ICE / TW | |
| Capitalization | 75.2B | 21.1B | 356% |
| EBITDA | 7.53B | 1.51B | 500% |
| Gain YTD | -17.310 | -8.425 | 205% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.12 | 24.25 | 79% |
| Revenue | 13.1B | 2.16B | 606% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.94B | - |
| Total Debt | 21B | 143M | 14,685% |
ICE | TW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ICE's Valuation (57) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TW (93) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew somewhat faster than TW’s over the last 12 months.
ICE's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (75) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
TW's SMR Rating (61) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as ICE (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that TW’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
ICE's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (75) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
ICE's P/E Growth Rating (92) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (95) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
| ICE | TW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 50% |
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TW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TW has been loosely correlated with ICE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TW jumps, then ICE could also see price increases.