IEZ
Price
$24.57
Change
+$0.60 (+2.50%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
335.83M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDE
Price
$171.56
Change
+$0.29 (+0.17%)
Updated
Nov 9, 10:47 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
10.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IEZ vs VDE

IEZ vs VDE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ) vs. Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Key Takeaways

  • IEZ is a concentrated, pure-play oilfield services fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Equipment & Services Index, while VDE tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index and spans the entire energy value chain.
  • IEZ holds roughly 30–35 stocks heavily weighted to SLB and Baker Hughes; VDE holds more than 110 names led by ExxonMobil and Chevron.
  • Cost differs meaningfully: VDE charges a 0.09% expense ratio versus 0.37% for IEZ, a structural advantage for long-term holders of VDE.
  • Risk profiles diverge sharply — IEZ has historically carried higher beta (a measure of sensitivity to broad market moves) and volatility, while VDE offers a lower beta and a higher dividend yield.
  • The two funds are complementary rather than direct substitutes: IEZ expresses a view on upstream capital spending, while VDE provides diversified, integrated energy exposure.

Introduction

Energy remains one of the most cyclically sensitive corners of the equity market, driven by crude oil and natural gas prices, producer capital budgets, and shifts in global supply. Investors seeking energy exposure face an important choice: concentrate on the equipment and services providers that power drilling and completion activity, or own the broader sector including integrated majors, refiners, and pipeline operators. That is precisely the distinction between the iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ) and the Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE). This ETF comparison examines their structural differences, sector exposure, relative positioning, and how each fund performs across recent market cycles.

iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ) Overview

IEZ is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Equipment & Services Index, a benchmark of U.S. companies that supply equipment and services for oil exploration and extraction. The fund is classified as non-diversified, reflecting its concentrated, sub-industry focus.

The portfolio typically holds between roughly 30 and 35 securities, with extreme concentration at the top. SLB (formerly Schlumberger) and BKR (Baker Hughes) each account for roughly 22% of assets, followed by FTI (TechnipFMC), HAL (Halliburton), and NOV (NOV Inc.). Other notable positions include WFRD (Weatherford), NE (Noble Corporation), RIG (Transocean), and AROC (Archrock). The top 10 holdings frequently exceed 70% of total assets, and nearly all of the portfolio is allocated to the energy sector. The fund carries a 0.37% expense ratio and, given its narrow mandate, tends to exhibit elevated volatility compared with diversified energy peers.

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Overview

VDE is a passively managed, market-cap-weighted index fund that seeks to track the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, a benchmark spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. energy companies under the GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) framework. The 25/50 methodology caps any single issuer near 25% of index weight and limits the aggregate weight of issuers above 5%, supporting diversification.

The fund holds more than 110 securities and is led by integrated and diversified energy giants: XOM (ExxonMobil) at roughly 22% and CVX (Chevron) near 14%, followed by COP (ConocoPhillips), VLO (Valero), MPC (Marathon Petroleum), and PSX (Phillips 66). Midstream names such as WMB (Williams Companies) and KMI (Kinder Morgan) also feature, alongside exploration and production (E&P) operator EOG (EOG Resources). With a 0.09% expense ratio, VDE is among the least expensive products in the energy category and delivers a higher trailing dividend yield than IEZ.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the broader energy complex, but they respond to different levers. IEZ is tightly linked to oilfield activity, upstream capital expenditure (capex) budgets, rig counts, and offshore and completion spending — areas sensitive to producer discipline and the durability of drilling programs. VDE, by contrast, blends exposure to upstream producers, downstream refiners, and midstream infrastructure, which tend to benefit from more stable cash-flow profiles and dividend distributions.

The current environment has been shaped by resilient global demand, constrained spare capacity, and ongoing geopolitical and supply-chain considerations that support oil prices in a relatively elevated range. Producer emphasis on capital discipline and shareholder returns has kept equipment and services demand selective, while refiners and integrated majors have generated strong free cash flow. Regulatory and energy-transition policy developments remain a long-term overhang for the entire sector, affecting capital allocation across both funds.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and over recent market cycles, energy has been among the more resilient equity segments, though the two funds have moved on different trajectories. IEZ, with its higher beta and concentrated services exposure, has tended to amplify both upswings and drawdowns in energy prices, producing sharper relative moves as investors reassess upstream spending. VDE has generally displayed lower volatility, supported by its diversified mix of integrated majors, refiners, and midstream operators whose earnings are less directly tied to day-to-day commodity swings.

Fund performance has also reflected sector rotation within energy. Strength in refining margins and midstream cash flows has historically favored VDE's broader roster, while periods of rising rig activity and offshore contract momentum have benefited IEZ. Interest rate expectations and commodity price trends remain key swing factors, given their influence on producer capex decisions and the relative appeal of energy dividends. For investors, the choice is ultimately one of relative positioning: higher-octane, services-specific exposure versus diversified, lower-cost participation across the energy value chain.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending names, and breakout candidates more efficiently than manual screening, making it a practical companion for comparing funds like IEZ and VDE. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own energy-sector analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a measured preference for VDE in the current environment. VDE combines a meaningfully lower expense ratio, a substantially more diversified portfolio spanning integrated producers, refiners, and midstream operators, and a lower beta profile that tends to smooth returns across energy cycles. While IEZ offers greater torque to oilfield services and upstream capital spending — an advantage when drilling activity accelerates — its extreme top-heavy concentration and higher volatility present a comparatively less favorable risk-adjusted profile. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than prescriptive: for investors with a specific, high-conviction view on services capex, IEZ remains a more direct instrument. For diversified, cost-efficient energy exposure, VDE currently appears better positioned.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IEZ vs. VDE commentary
Nov 09, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IEZ is a Hold and VDE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IEZ with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

IEZ's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for IEZ moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEZ advanced for three days, in 292 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

IEZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IEZ as a result. In 73 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IEZ turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

IEZ moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for IEZ moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator for IEZ entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDE with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

VDE's RSI Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 342 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

VDE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 302 of 335 cases where VDE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VDE as a result. In 77 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VDE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

VDE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IEZVDE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
78%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 11 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
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IEZ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IEZ has been closely correlated with NOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IEZ jumps, then NOV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To IEZ
1D Price
Change %
IEZ100%
+2.50%
NOV - IEZ
85%
Closely correlated
+0.98%
SLB - IEZ
84%
Closely correlated
+0.56%
HAL - IEZ
82%
Closely correlated
-0.25%
FTI - IEZ
76%
Closely correlated
+3.13%
HOS - IEZ
75%
Closely correlated
-0.93%
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