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IONQ vs RGTI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IonQ (IONQ) vs. Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IONQ and RGTI are both quantum computing stocks, but they use different architectures and business scopes: IonQ runs a diversified trapped-ion quantum platform, while Rigetti Computing focuses on superconducting quantum hardware.
- Both names have de-rated sharply in 2026: IONQ is down roughly 28% year to date, while RGTI is down about 47%, with the latter also off more than 60% over the trailing year.
- IonQ's revenue base is larger and more diversified after its SkyWater foundry acquisition, while Rigetti's revenue remains minimal and dependent on the timing of system deliveries and government contracts.
- Rigetti secured $100 million in CHIPS Act funding, whereas IonQ completed a roughly $2 billion equity offering; both remain deeply unprofitable as they invest heavily in research and development.
- Valuation multiples diverge sharply: IonQ trades near 17 times forward enterprise value to revenue, versus roughly 126 times for Rigetti.
- For more detail on these names, explore IONQ Major News and IONQ Today's Price Move, plus RGTI Major News and RGTI Today's Price Move.
- To see curated strategies that trade these and thousands of other tickers, visit Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Quantum computing has become one of the most closely watched speculative themes in the technology market, and IONQ and RGTI are two of its most prominent pure-play representatives. Investors often pair these tickers because they compete for the same pool of capital chasing early-stage quantum technology, yet they differ meaningfully in architecture, revenue scale, and financial strategy. This stock comparison is relevant for growth-oriented traders and longer-horizon investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and risk across the quantum sector. Both stocks have experienced sharp price swings, making a balanced, fact-based comparison valuable for anyone assessing how the two companies stack up in the current market environment.
IONQ Overview and Recent Performance
IonQ (IONQ) positions itself as a full quantum platform and "merchant supplier," delivering integrated solutions across computing, networking, sensing, and security using trapped-ion technology. Headquartered in College Park, Maryland, the company serves customers through all major cloud providers and partners that include Amazon Web Services and AstraZeneca.
Recent market activity has been mixed. IonQ completed a roughly $2 billion follow-on equity offering in recent weeks, and its all-stock agreement to acquire Zero Trust cybersecurity firm Elisity added to dilution concerns. At the same time, the company raised its full-year revenue outlook substantially after closing the SkyWater foundry acquisition, and it unveiled its Superion 256-qubit system, with first customer deliveries targeted for 2027. Despite these catalysts, the stock has declined roughly 28% year to date and sits well below its one-year peak, as investors weigh execution risk, ongoing operating losses, and a still-elevated valuation against a maturing commercialization story.
RGTI Overview and Recent Performance
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is a quantum hardware company focused on superconducting systems, including its modular, chiplet-based architecture and on-premises Novera QPU (quantum processing unit) systems. The company has aimed to scale toward utility-scale quantum computing through a roadmap targeting roughly 1,000 qubits over the coming years.
Recent performance has reflected both catalysts and caution. Rigetti signed a definitive agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce for $100 million in CHIPS Act funding to accelerate superconducting quantum R&D, a deal that gives the government a minority, non-controlling equity stake. Quarterly revenue rose sharply on higher Novera system sales, though the top line remains small and dependent on the timing of large orders, including an $8.4 million system contract with India's C-DAC expected to be recognized later in the year. Over the past year, the stock has fallen by roughly two-thirds, and its operating losses remain several times larger than its revenue, keeping sentiment volatile.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies contrast most clearly in scope and revenue scale. IonQ has diversified beyond pure quantum computing into networking, sensing, security, and chip foundry services, which supports a larger and faster-growing revenue base. Rigetti remains a more focused superconducting hardware play whose revenue hinges on system sales and government programs.
Growth drivers also differ. IonQ's catalysts include the SkyWater integration, cybersecurity expansion, and new hardware milestones, while Rigetti's include the $100 million CHIPS Act award and its 108-qubit system roadmap. On risk, both carry significant execution and dilution risk, but IonQ's larger balance sheet and broader customer base provide a comparatively steadier footing, whereas Rigetti's order-timing sensitivity makes its results more volatile quarter to quarter.
Valuation underscores the trade-off: IonQ's roughly 17 times forward enterprise value to revenue looks far less stretched than Rigetti's roughly 126 times, reflecting the market's differing growth expectations. In terms of market sentiment, both names have been pressured by the broader de-rating of speculative quantum stocks, but IonQ's pullback has been shallower.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, revenue diversification, balance-sheet strength, and the breadth of catalysts, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward IONQ as the more favorably positioned of the two. IonQ's larger and more diversified revenue base, deeper balance sheet, and multiple growth levers suggest a comparatively more stable relative positioning, even though both stocks remain high-risk and deeply unprofitable. Rigetti's government funding and hardware progress are meaningful positives, but its order-timing sensitivity and higher valuation multiple introduce greater uncertainty. This is a probabilistic assessment of relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and both names remain subject to substantial volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IONQ is a Hold and RGTI is a Hold.
IONQ's Stochastic Oscillator reaching overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for IONQ moved into overbought territory on November 10, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
IONQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IONQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IONQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
IONQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for IONQ entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IONQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IONQ as a result. In 66 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IONQ just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where IONQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +33.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IONQ advanced for three days, in 228 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.972) is normal, around the industry mean (-6.197). P/E Ratio (-8.429) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (51.020) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. IONQ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. IONQ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
RGTI's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for RGTI moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 28 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RGTI just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where RGTI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +31.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RGTI advanced for three days, in 217 of 253 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
RGTI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RGTI as a result. In 72 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RGTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for RGTI entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RGTI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.297) is normal, around the industry mean (-6.197). P/E Ratio (-15.260) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. RGTI's P/S Ratio (370.370) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (51.774).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RGTI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
IONQ | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| IONQ | RGTI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 86% | 10 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IONQ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RGTI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- IONQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RGTI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IONQ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGTI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IONQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RGTI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IONQ (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +16.67% price change this week, while RGTI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was +9.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -1.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -21.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
IONQ is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
RGTI is expected to report earnings on Mar 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-1.51% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
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RGTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGTI has been closely correlated with QBTS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 94% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGTI jumps, then QBTS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 100% | -6.39% | ||
| QBTS - RGTI | 94% Closely correlated | -8.63% | ||
| QUBT - RGTI | 88% Closely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| IONQ - RGTI | 86% Closely correlated | -0.99% | ||
| UMAC - RGTI | 64% Loosely correlated | -6.60% | ||
| SSYS - RGTI | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.80% | ||
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