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ITRN vs LITE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) vs. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ITRN delivers steady growth with 41% YTD returns and a 10% dividend yield, supported by recurring telematics revenue.
- LITE shows explosive momentum, up 170% YTD and over 1,400% in one year, fueled by AI-driven optical demand.
- ITRN offers lower volatility (beta 0.75) and value metrics (P/E 20), while LITE trades at a premium (P/E 283) with higher risk (beta 1.53).
- Recent LITE earnings beat estimates with 90% revenue growth, though shares dipped on debt concerns; ITRN hit 52-week highs amid subscriber gains.
- Both in technology sector, but ITRN focuses on stable location services, LITE on high-growth photonics.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight diverse strategies, aiding relative performance analysis in varying market conditions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ITRN and LITE, two technology firms navigating distinct market dynamics. Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN) provides telematics services like stolen vehicle recovery and fleet management, appealing to value-oriented investors seeking stability and dividends. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) specializes in optical and photonic components for data centers and AI infrastructure, attracting growth traders amid surging demand. Traders comparing relative performance, momentum, and risk in the current environment—marked by AI hype and economic uncertainty—will find insights into trade-offs between consistent returns and high-upside potential. This analysis draws from recent market data for objective positioning.
ITRN Overview and Recent Performance
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN), headquartered in Israel, operates in the scientific and technical instruments industry, offering location-based telematics services and products. Its segments include Telematics Services—encompassing stolen vehicle recovery (SVR), fleet management, and connected car platforms—and Telematics Products like tracking devices. With 2,917 employees, ITRN generates recurring revenue from subscribers in Israel, Brazil, and beyond, serving insurers, OEMs, and fleets.
In recent market activity, ITRN shares reached 52-week highs near $59.78, reflecting about 11% gains over the past month and 41% YTD. This momentum stems from record 2025 results, including 13% Q4 revenue growth to $93.5 million and EPS of $0.77, driven by subscriber additions and 15% subscription revenue rise. Partnerships like Stellantis for Fiat connectivity in South America bolstered sentiment. A 10.21% dividend yield (payout ratio 68%) and low beta of 0.75 enhance appeal amid volatility, with market cap at $1.16 billion and P/E of 20 signaling value.
LITE Overview and Recent Performance
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), based in California, is a communication equipment provider manufacturing optical and photonic products for cloud networking, AI data centers, and industrial applications. Its Cloud & Networking segment supplies components to hyperscalers and equipment makers, while Industrial Tech covers lasers. Employing 10,562 people, LITE benefits from AI infrastructure buildouts.
Recent weeks saw LITE volatility, with shares dipping post-Q3 earnings despite 90% revenue surge to $808.4 million and adjusted EPS of $2.37 beating estimates. Q4 guidance of $2.85-$3.05 EPS topped consensus, supported by Nvidia commitments and backlog through 2028. YTD returns hit 170%, with 1-year gains over 1,400%, pushing market cap to $71 billion. High beta (1.53) and elevated P/E (283 trailing) reflect growth pricing, tempered by debt concerns from convertible notes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ITRN and LITE both anchor in technology but diverge sharply. Business models contrast: ITRN's subscription-heavy telematics (76% recurring) yields stability via SVR and fleet services, while LITE's hardware focus ties to cyclical AI/datacenter capex. Growth drivers differ—ITRN from OEM deals and Latin America expansion; LITE from Nvidia optics and 90% market share in 200Gbps transceivers.
Recent momentum favors LITE's 170% YTD vs. ITRN's 41%, but ITRN shows consistency with dividends and lower drawdowns. Risk profiles highlight trade-offs: ITRN's beta (0.75) and 10% yield suit defensives; LITE's beta (1.53), no dividend, and short interest (13%) signal volatility. Sector exposure overlaps in connectivity, yet ITRN's instruments niche insulates from semis swings, while LITE rides AI sentiment. Valuation gaps—ITRN P/E 20, Price/Sales 3.2; LITE P/E 283, Price/Sales 36—underscore value vs. growth positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors LITE for its superior trend consistency, AI catalysts, and relative outperformance amid data center expansion. Explosive revenue growth and backlog visibility outweigh debt risks, positioning LITE probabilistically stronger short-term. ITRN's stability suits conservative plays, but lacks LITE's momentum edge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ITRN is a Hold and LITE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ITRN’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileLITE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ITRN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LITE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ITRN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LITE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ITRN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LITE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ITRN (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) experienced а -6.15% price change this week, while LITE (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was +7.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +0.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.15%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +3.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +16.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +69.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
ITRN is expected to report earnings on May 26, 2026.
LITE is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+0.17% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
@Telecommunications Equipment (+3.21% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| ITRN | LITE | ITRN / LITE | |
| Capitalization | 1.13B | 75.5B | 1% |
| EBITDA | 95.5M | 552M | 17% |
| Gain YTD | 37.012 | 163.355 | 23% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.57 | 170.90 | 11% |
| Revenue | 348M | 2.49B | 14% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 3.17B | - |
| Total Debt | 4.85M | 3.31B | 0% |
ITRN | LITE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 3 Undervalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ITRN's Valuation (3) in the Other Consumer Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for LITE (87) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ITRN’s stock grew significantly faster than LITE’s over the last 12 months.
LITE's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ITRN (8) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that LITE’s stock grew similarly to ITRN’s over the last 12 months.
ITRN's SMR Rating (34) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as LITE (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ITRN’s stock grew similarly to LITE’s over the last 12 months.
LITE's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ITRN (40) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that LITE’s stock grew similarly to ITRN’s over the last 12 months.
ITRN's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Other Consumer Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for LITE (92) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ITRN’s stock grew significantly faster than LITE’s over the last 12 months.
| ITRN | LITE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 70% | 7 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 78% |
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ITRN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITRN has been loosely correlated with ZBRA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ITRN jumps, then ZBRA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ITRN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITRN | 100% | -2.80% | ||
| ZBRA - ITRN | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| HPE - ITRN | 42% Loosely correlated | -3.02% | ||
| BDC - ITRN | 42% Loosely correlated | -3.60% | ||
| LITE - ITRN | 42% Loosely correlated | -3.11% | ||
| MKSI - ITRN | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.39% | ||
More | ||||
LITE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LITE has been loosely correlated with CIEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LITE jumps, then CIEN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LITE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITE | 100% | -3.11% | ||
| CIEN - LITE | 64% Loosely correlated | -6.27% | ||
| AAOI - LITE | 61% Loosely correlated | -6.49% | ||
| VIAV - LITE | 52% Loosely correlated | -3.16% | ||
| CRNT - LITE | 43% Loosely correlated | -5.28% | ||
| ITRN - LITE | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.80% | ||
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