IYE
Price
$66.97Alerts
Change
+$1.21 (+1.84%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.77B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XES
Price
$100.70Alerts
Change
+$3.13 (+3.21%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:56 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
253.85M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IYE vs XES

IYE vs XES Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) vs. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES)

Key Takeaways

  • IYE is a broad, market-capitalization-weighted U.S. energy fund dominated by integrated majors and refiners, while XES is an equal-weighted, pure-play oil and gas equipment and services fund.
  • IYE concentrates roughly 40% of assets in its two largest names, whereas XES caps any single holding near 4–5%, producing far more balanced company-level exposure.
  • Costs are comparable: IYE carries a 0.37% expense ratio versus 0.35% for XES.
  • XES is structurally higher-beta and more sensitive to upstream capital spending and rig activity, while IYE offers lower-volatility mega-cap exposure.
  • Both funds are passive, but their weighting and rebalancing methodologies create meaningfully different risk and return profiles.

Introduction

Energy has re-emerged as a focal point for investors evaluating sector exposure, capital discipline, and sensitivity to commodity prices and geopolitical developments. The iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) and the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) both sit within the energy complex, yet they do not compete head-to-head. Instead, they represent distinct slices of the same sector: IYE captures the diversified, large-cap backbone of U.S. energy, while XES isolates the oilfield services and equipment supply chain. Comparing the two helps investors clarify whether they want broad, mega-cap energy exposure or a more concentrated, cyclical play on drilling and completion activity.

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Overview

IYE is a passive, market-capitalization-weighted fund that seeks to track a capped index of U.S. energy equities. It holds roughly 44 securities spanning integrated oil and gas majors, refiners, midstream operators, and exploration and production companies. Because of its market-cap weighting, the portfolio is top-heavy: ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) together account for close to 40% of assets, followed by ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Williams (WMB). The top 10 holdings represent roughly 70% of the portfolio. The fund carries a net expense ratio of 0.37% and is classified as non-diversified, meaning returns are heavily influenced by a handful of mega-cap names.

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) Overview

XES is a passive, equal-weighted fund tracking the S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Select Industry Index. It holds approximately 29–33 securities focused on drillers, well completions, pressure pumping, offshore services, and related equipment. Holdings include Tidewater (TDW), Oceaneering International (OII), Cactus (WHD), Select Water Solutions (WTTR), Seadrill (SDRL), TechnipFMC (FTI), and NOV (NOV). The equal-weight methodology keeps individual positions near 4–5%, so no single company dominates. With a 0.35% expense ratio and a mid- and small-cap tilt, XES delivers a concentrated, high-cyclicality play on the services segment rather than the broader energy value chain.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are shaped by the same macro currents: crude oil and natural gas prices, global supply-and-demand balances, OPEC+ production policy, and capital discipline among producers. Recent market cycles have favored shareholder returns over aggressive volume growth, which has supported large integrated companies while moderating demand for new drilling. At the same time, resilient upstream investment, offshore activity, and efficiency gains in shale have kept a floor under oilfield services demand. Rising interest rates and inflation have also influenced the cost of capital for energy projects, while geopolitical disruptions periodically lift risk premiums across the entire complex. These forces affect IYE broadly, but hit XES more directly through the capital-spending decisions of its exploration and production customers.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, the two funds have often diverged despite sharing an energy label. IYE's mega-cap, integrated-heavy portfolio has tended to be more defensive, supported by strong balance sheets, refining margins, and dividend programs. XES, by contrast, has been more volatile, levered to the pace of rig additions, completion activity, and offshore project awards. When commodity prices firm and producers signal higher budgets, XES has historically exhibited greater upside momentum; when prices soften or spending is cut, it has tended to underperform and draw down more sharply. From a relative positioning standpoint, IYE offers diversified, lower-beta sector exposure, while XES functions as a higher-octane expression of confidence in upstream activity and the services supply chain.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter thousands of stocks and ETFs based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can customize scans by industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics to surface trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your energy universe and identify setups that match your objectives.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IYE in the current environment. Its broader diversification, mega-cap balance-sheet strength, lower volatility profile, and exposure to integrated majors and refiners provide more consistent structural resilience. XES's equal-weighted, services-heavy portfolio offers stronger cyclical torque, but carries materially higher risk and depends on sustained upstream capital spending. For investors seeking steady, cost-efficient sector exposure, IYE's relative stability and diversification are compelling; for those with a higher risk tolerance and a constructive view on drilling activity, XES remains a valid, more aggressive alternative. This reflects relative positioning rather than a recommendation.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IYE vs. XES commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IYE is a Hold and XES is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IYE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

IYE's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 340 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 293 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 74 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XES with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

XES's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for XES moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XES advanced for three days, in 316 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

XES may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XES as a result. In 77 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XES turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

XES moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for XES moved below the 200-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for XES entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IYEXES
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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IYE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To IYE
1D Price
Change %
IYE100%
+0.40%
CVX - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
XOM - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
-0.16%
COP - IYE
87%
Closely correlated
+0.83%
EOG - IYE
86%
Closely correlated
+2.08%
OVV - IYE
84%
Closely correlated
+1.82%
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XES and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XES has been closely correlated with NOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XES jumps, then NOV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XES
1D Price
Change %
XES100%
-0.36%
NOV - XES
79%
Closely correlated
-0.06%
HP - XES
78%
Closely correlated
+0.82%
NBR - XES
78%
Closely correlated
+0.49%
HOS - XES
76%
Closely correlated
-2.97%
HAL - XES
76%
Closely correlated
-0.06%
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