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KBH vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? KB Home (KBH) vs. PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PulteGroup (PHM) boasts a much larger market capitalization of approximately $24.5 billion compared to KB Home's (KBH) $3.5 billion, reflecting greater scale in the homebuilding sector.
- PHM has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at +8.88%, outperforming KBH's +1.71% amid challenging market conditions for homebuilders.
- Both stocks trade at similar forward P/E ratios around 10-11, but PHM benefits from more optimistic analyst price targets and recent upgrades.
- Homebuilder sentiment has softened due to elevated mortgage rates near 6.55%, pressuring affordability, though PHM shows relative resilience.
- Recent earnings for KBH included lowered delivery guidance, while PHM anticipates stable gross margins.
Introduction
KB Home (KBH) and PulteGroup (PHM) are prominent players in the U.S. homebuilding industry, focusing on residential construction amid fluctuating housing demand. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors tracking the cyclical homebuilder sector, where macroeconomic factors like interest rates and affordability influence performance. Traders seeking relative value or momentum plays may find insights into their business models, recent trends, and market positioning valuable in the current environment of moderated builder confidence.
KBH Overview and Recent Performance
KB Home (KBH), a homebuilder targeting first-time and move-up buyers, operates in key U.S. markets with an emphasis on customizable homes. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $55, within a 52-week range of $48 to $69, reflecting volatility tied to sector headwinds. Its first-quarter 2026 earnings, reported in late March, showed diluted EPS (earnings per share) of $0.52, meeting expectations, alongside revenue of $1.08 billion. However, the company lowered full-year home delivery guidance to 10,000-11,500 units due to demand uncertainty from high mortgage rates. A strategic shift toward 70% built-to-order deliveries aims to bolster second-half margins. Sentiment has been cautious post-earnings, with the stock stabilizing amid broader homebuilder pressures, though analysts maintain an average price target near $55.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PulteGroup (PHM), one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, serves a broad customer base from entry-level to luxury homes across multiple regions. Recently, shares have hovered near $127, in a 52-week range of $95 to $145, with solid year-to-date gains. The company guides for stable gross margins of 24.5%-25% in 2026, targeting 3%-5% community count growth despite affordability challenges. Recent weeks have seen positive momentum, driven by analyst upgrades like Evercore ISI's endorsement amid a historic buy signal for homebuilders. Upcoming first-quarter earnings on April 23 anticipate some EPS pressure, but trailing twelve-month EPS stands at $11.12 with revenue of $17.3 billion. Market sentiment leans constructive, supported by a consensus "Buy" rating and average price target of $136.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both KBH and PHM operate in homebuilding, exposed to interest rates, labor costs, and buyer affordability, but differ in scale and positioning. PHM's diversified portfolio and larger footprint provide growth drivers through community expansion, contrasting KBH's focus on entry-level customization. Recent momentum favors PHM, with superior YTD returns and analyst upgrades, while KBH grapples with conservative guidance. Risk factors include softening builder confidence (index at 34) and elevated rates, though PHM's size offers stability. Market sentiment tilts toward PHM for relative performance in a tough sector.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor PulteGroup (PHM) over KB Home (KBH) based on stronger trend consistency, superior relative momentum, larger scale, and positive analyst catalysts. While both face sector risks, PHM's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in recent market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KBH is a Buy and PHM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KBH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KBH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KBH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KBH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KBH (@Homebuilding) experienced а -1.45% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was -2.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
KBH is expected to report earnings on Sep 23, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-1.45% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| KBH | PHM | KBH / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 3.72B | 25.3B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 470M | 2.79B | 17% |
| Gain YTD | 11.974 | 17.512 | 68% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.14 | 12.15 | 83% |
| Revenue | 5.92B | 16.8B | 35% |
| Total Cash | 202M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.92B | 2.28B | 84% |
KBH | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KBH's Valuation (9) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PHM (67). This means that KBH’s stock grew somewhat faster than PHM’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KBH (70). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than KBH’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as KBH (76). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to KBH’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as KBH (41). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to KBH’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as KBH (24). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to KBH’s over the last 12 months.
| KBH | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 79% | 7 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 66% | 17 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ACLC | 84.11 | 0.77 | +0.92% |
| American Century Large Cap Equity ETF | |||
| JHMM | 74.96 | 0.23 | +0.31% |
| JHancock Multifactor Mid Cap ETF | |||
| PMDE | 25.79 | 0.05 | +0.20% |
| PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December | |||
| TSLQ | 20.90 | N/A | N/A |
| Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF | |||
| NTSI | 46.60 | -0.06 | -0.13% |
| WisdomTree International Efficnt Cr ETF | |||
KBH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KBH has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KBH jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.
PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.